He rules out a lot of stuff that has too
much tail risk, or he has no edge on the market.
Not exact matches
But those rose - tinted glasses can cloud investing decisions, leading savers to assume too
much risk at the
tail end of a bull market.
Tail risk is a technical measure of portfolio
risk that arises when there is an increased probability that an investment will experience a price swing
much larger than it would be expected to under normal conditions.
The fuse is there to protect items from getting too
much juice, so increasing the fuse rating to allow for a brighter headlight will also mean that other items (possibly your horn, blinkers,
tail / brake light etc.) at greater
risk of overload as well.
You can't have a concentrated portfolio that's high
risk — it must be, «heads I win,
tails I don't lose
much»
Note the 50 % retrace entry of the pin bar, this is an entry technique we teach on our courses and it works good on long -
tailed pins, giving you a
much better
risk reward potential due to the tighter stop loss distance.
The idea of finding assets that offer a large upside while minimizing the downside
risk is embedded in said mantra: «Heads, I win;
tails, I don't lose
much.»
The Dhandho Way: Heads, I win;
tails, I don't lose
much The distinction between
risk and uncertainty is the perfect bridge to what I consider the heart of value investing: the Dhandho - mantra.
In part II, you were informed that value investing is a
risk - averse strategy that seeks to identify undervalued assets — bargains — that offer margins of safety based on the Dhandho - mantra: «Heads, I win;
tails, I don't lose
much.»
I'm not suggesting my portfolio's some absolute return
tail -
risk hedged uber - vehicle (though I'm not averse to all that, resources permitting), I really mean it in the old - fashioned sense (& purpose) of a hedge fund — I worry as
much about preserving my wealth, as I do about increasing my wealth.
2) Participate in investment opportunities that have minimal downside
risk but high upside potential: «Heads, I win;
Tails, I don't lose
much.»
I don't pay
much attention to trading / investing / market /
risk statistics any longer —
tail risk and
risk management itself are so neglected / misunderstood 95.45 % of the time!
To be useful in a
risk context, climate change assessments therefore need a
much more thorough exploration of the
tails of the distributions of physical variables such as sea level rise, temperature, and precipitation, where our scientific knowledge base is less complete, and where sophisticated climate models are less helpful.