I've also been reading some reports about
much warmer ocean temperatures in the Arctic, another reason sea - bed methane could be released.
Not exact matches
Ecologists have watched in horror as unusually
warm ocean temperatures have prompted corals to «bleach», or expel the symbiotic algae that provide
much of their food.
Southern
Ocean seafloor water
temperatures are projected to
warm by an average of 0.4 °C over this century with some areas possibly increasing by as
much as 2 °C.
However, when
temperatures warm over the Antarctic regions, deep waters rise from the floor of the
ocean much closer to the continent.
El Niño has helped to boost
temperatures this year, as it leads to
warmer ocean waters in the tropical Pacific, as well as
warmer surface
temperatures in many other spots around the globe, including
much of the northern half of the U.S..
Unusually
warm ocean temperatures, referred to as «the Blob,» encompassed
much of the West Coast beginning about 2014, combining with an especially strong El Nino pattern in 2015.
According to the Land &
Ocean Temperature Percentile map above, a region of coastal west Africa, part of Greece, northwestern Iran,
much of the southern Philippines, and central and south central Australia were record
warm for the period.
«The average
ocean temperature is
much warmer than Siberia, initially suggesting that the formation of subsea pingos could not be recent, as anticipated for pingos in cold Siberian environments.
«
Ocean temperatures rose substantially during that
warming episode — as
much as 7 to 9 degrees Celsius (about 12 to 16 degrees Fahrenheit) in some areas of the North Atlantic.
The research published in Nature Communications found that in the past, when
ocean temperatures around Antarctica became more layered - with a
warm layer of water below a cold surface layer - ice sheets and glaciers melted
much faster than when the cool and
warm layers mixed more easily.
The warmth was due to the near - record strong El Niño that developed during the Northern Hemisphere spring in the eastern and central equatorial Pacific
Ocean and to large regions of record warm and much warmer - than - average sea surface temperatures in parts of every major ocean b
Ocean and to large regions of record
warm and
much warmer - than - average sea surface
temperatures in parts of every major
ocean b
ocean basin.
Not surprisingly, given that the surface
ocean is responsible for
much of atmospheric
warming,
ocean warming and global surface air
temperatures vary largely in phase with one another.
Nearly all of Eurasia, Africa, and the remainder of South America were
much warmer than average, or within the top 10 percent of their historical records for their regions, according to the Land &
Ocean Temperature Percentiles map above.
Most of Earth's land surfaces were
warmer than average or
much warmer than average, according to the Land &
Ocean Temperature Percentiles map above, with record warmth notable across most of equatorial and northeastern South America and parts of southeastern Asia.
Oceans trap
much of the heat from greenhouse gas emissions, and 2014 was tied for the third
warmest ocean temperatures on record.
Much warmer - than - average
temperatures engulfed most of the world's
oceans during June 2016, with record high sea surface
temperatures across parts of the central and southwest Pacific
Ocean, northwestern and southwestern Atlantic
Ocean, and across parts of the northeastern Indian
Ocean.
At the same time, increasing depth and duration of drought, along with
warmer temperatures enabling the spread of pine beetles has increased the flammability of this forest region — http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v1/n9/full/nclimate1293.html http://www.vancouversun.com/fires+through+tinder+pine+beetle+killed+forests/10047293/story.html Can climate models give different TCR and ECS with different timing / extent of when or how
much boreal forest burns, and how the soot generated alters the date of an ice free Arctic
Ocean or the rate of Greenland ice melt and its influence on long term dynamics of the AMOC transport of heat?
In any year,
temperatures around the world can be nudged up or down by short - term factors like volcanic eruptions or El Ninos, when
warm water spreads over
much of the tropical Pacific
Ocean.
[1] CO2 absorbs IR, is the main GHG, human emissions are increasing its concentration in the atmosphere, raising
temperatures globally; the second GHG, water vapor, exists in equilibrium with water / ice, would precipitate out if not for the CO2, so acts as a feedback; since the
oceans cover so
much of the planet, water is a large positive feedback; melting snow and ice as the atmosphere
warms decreases albedo, another positive feedback, biased toward the poles, which gives larger polar
warming than the global average; decreasing the
temperature gradient from the equator to the poles is reducing the driving forces for the jetstream; the jetstream's meanders are increasing in amplitude and slowing, just like the lower Missippi River where its driving gradient decreases; the larger slower meanders increase the amplitude and duration of blocking highs, increasing drought and extreme
temperatures — and 30,000 + Europeans and 5,000 plus Russians die, and the US corn crop, Russian wheat crop, and Aussie wildland fire protection fails — or extreme rainfall floods the US, France, Pakistan, Thailand (driving up prices for disk drives — hows that for unexpected adverse impacts from AGW?)
The point is simply that finding a
warmer ocean around the medieval period shouldn't have
much weight in debate about relative surface
temperatures.
Given how
much yelling takes place on the Internet, talk radio, and elsewhere over short - term cool and hot spells in relation to global
warming, I wanted to find out whether anyone had generated a decent decades - long graph of global
temperature trends accounting for, and erasing, the short - term up - and - down flickers from the cyclical shift in the tropical Pacific
Ocean known as the El Niño — Southern Oscillation, or ENSO, cycle.
If we knew
ocean heat uptake as well as we know atmospheric
temperature change, then we could pin down fairly well the radiative imbalance at the top of the atmosphere, which would give us a fair indication of how
much warming is «in the pipeline» given current greenhouse gas concentrations.
All siding with its infinite growth paradigm, so I'm not surprised to see you writing counter-pieces to the harsh truth, which, as it stands, is that we have a pretty
much dead and severely
warming ocean, daily record - breaking jet - stream related weather incidents, which in turn are caused by polar
temperature anomalies of +20 C as of late.
«
Ocean temperatures rose substantially during that
warming episode — as
much as 7 to 9 degrees Celsius (about 12 to 16 degrees Fahrenheit) in some areas of the North Atlantic.
With the exception of glaciers that terminate in the
ocean, and glaciers in the polar regions or at extreme high altitudes where the
temperature is always below freezing, essentially just two things determine whether a glacier is advancing or retreating: how
much snow falls in the winter, and how
warm it is during the summer.
If as a result of physical processes (such as El Nino)
warmer water reaches the surface of the
ocean, so less heat is conducted from the atmosphere into the
ocean and the atmopsheric
temperature will therefore increase — on a
much shorter — comparatively instantaneous — timescale.
Second, the quantity of methane necessary to explain the carbon isotope ratio, as calculated by Dickens, would be
much less than that required to
warm ocean and atmosphere
temperatures to the extent estimated by PETM
temperature proxies and calculated by physical climate models.
(The actual equilibrium takes on the order of a few thousand years, the mixing time of the
oceans, to reach... But that's at constant
temperature... So if the
oceans warm significantly, then we lock in a new equilibrium, at higher atmospheric CO2 for
much longer timescales.)
From what I see from the Global Historical Climatology Network (GHCN) of land
temperatures and the Comprehensive
Ocean - Atmosphere Data Set (COADS) of SST data,
temperatures there were higher around the 1930's than now, and there is not
much long term
warming trend, except for the past few years.
@ 48 If your speculation is correct, I assume that another consequence would be that, if / when concentrations of greenhouse gases start to drop, corresponding reductions in surface
ocean / land
temperatures would take place at a
much slower rate than would otherwise be the case: the surplus heat stored in the deep
ocean will gradually make its way to the
ocean surface, and continue to
warm the atmosphere for decades, if not longer.
Changes to the
temperature and pressure of permafrost soils (and
ocean waters) could lead to methane, a gas with a
much stronger greenhouse
warming potential than carbon dioxide, being released.
Surface
temperatures haven't increased as
much as they did a decade or so ago, but we now understand that the extra heat from global
warming is getting stored in the
oceans.
In northern latitudes during winter areas like Europe would
much more affected by
ocean warming - one would tropical like conditions during the winter in regions currently strongly affected by warmth of gulf stream - though the flow of gulf stream would greatly diminished, the
ocean temperature would be significantly increased.
Coby, if the earth is
warming as a result of increased periodic solar activity (or some other more complex reason) as suggested by the long term cycles mentioned above measured before man was on earth or industrialized, is it posssible that the observed increases in CO2 in the atmosphere are simply coming from
warmer oceans, since liquids can not hold as
much gas at a higher
temperature than they can at lower
temperature?
Corals have survived
warming periods in the past that caused
ocean temperatures and sea levels to be
much higher than today's levels or those likely to occur in the next century.
While recent headlines about the woes of U.N. - led efforts to assemble a comprehensive picture of the science have caused gleeful headlines on The Drudge Report and other skeptical media outlets, the vast weight of the evidence — from melting glaciers to
warming oceans to satellite
temperature readings, and
much more — still points to a changing climate caused by human activity.
There is some correlation between changes in
temperature due to global
warming in different parts of the
ocean, so there might be some reduction below 0.1 C, but how
much and how has it been measured?
Much of the
warming, he says, stems from fluctuations in
temperature that have occurred for millions of years — explained by complicated natural changes in equilibrium between the
oceans and the atmosphere — and the latest period of
warming will not result in catastrophe.
In short, the TCR is an estimate of how
much global surface
temperatures will
warm immediately, without needing to consider factors like the thermal inertia of the
oceans.
While the
warming of average global surface
temperatures has slowed (though not nearly as
much as previously believed), the overall amount of heat accumulated by the global climate has not, with over 90 percent being absorbed by the
oceans.
While consistent with the IPCC assessments of historical
warming, it lacks coverage of
much of the fast -
warming Arctic region and blends surface air
temperatures over land with slower -
warming sea surface
temperatures over the
ocean.
Since then there are a number of papers published on why the
warming was statistically insignificant including a recent one by Richardson et al. 2016 which tries to explain that the models were projecting a global tas (
temperature air surface) but the actual observations are a combination of tas (land) and SST
oceans, meaning projected
warming shouldn't be as
much as projected.
GWO's Climate Pulse Technology model indicates that the Tropical South Pacific
Ocean temperatures where El Niño events typically form — will
warm significantly during late winter and approach weak El Niño conditions during the spring -
much like the El Niño scare of last year.
A) How
much carbon dioxide is being out - gassed in
warm equatorial
oceans, what is the lag - time from when it entered the
oceans and what were the
ocean temperatures at that time?
NASA Climate Consensus page ««Global
warming started over 100 years ago `: New
temperature comparisons using
ocean - going robots suggest climate change began
much earlier than previously thought».
Warmer ocean temperatures combined with increasing acidification is particularly damaging to
much sea - life, including corals.
In recent decades,
much research on these topics has raised the questions of «tipping points» and «system flips,» where feedbacks in the system compound to rapidly cause massive reorganization of global climate over very short periods of time — a truncation or reorganization of the thermohaline circulation or of food web structures, for instance, caused by the loss of sea ice or
warming ocean temperatures.
What does the missing
warming of areas not
much affected by
ocean air
temperature trends indicate?
To point out just a couple of things: —
oceans warming slower (or cooling slower) than lands on long - time trends is absolutely normal, because water is more difficult both to
warm or to cool (I mean, we require both a bigger heat flow and more time); at the contrary, I see as a non-sense theory (made by some serrist, but don't know who) that
oceans are storing up heat, and that suddenly they will release such heat as a positive feedback: or the water
warms than no heat can be considered ad «stored» (we have no phase change inside
oceans, so no latent heat) or
oceans begin to release heat but in the same time they have to cool (because they are losing heat); so, I don't feel strange that in last years land
temperatures for some series (NCDC and GISS) can be heating up while
oceans are slightly cooling, but I feel strange that they are heating up so
much to reverse global trend from slightly negative / stable to slightly positive; but, in the end, all this is not an evidence that lands»
warming is led by UHI (but, this effect, I would not exclude it from having a small part in
temperature trends for some regional area, but just small); both because, as writtend, it is normal to have waters
warming slower than lands, and because lands»
temperatures are often measured in a not so precise way (despite they continue to give us a global uncertainity in TT values which is barely the instrumental's one)-- but, to point out, HadCRU and MSU of last years (I mean always 2002 - 2006) follow
much better waters»
temperatures trend; — metropolis and larger cities
temperature trends actually show an increase in UHI effect, but I think the sites are few, and the covered area is very small worldwide, so the global effect is very poor (but it still can be sensible for regional effects); but I would not run out a small
warming trend for airport measurements due mainly to three things: increasing jet planes traffic, enlarging airports (then more buildings and more asphalt — if you follow motor sports, or simply live in a town / city, you will know how easy they get very
warmer than air during day, and how
much it can slow night - time cooling) and overall having airports nearer to cities (if not becoming an area inside the city after some decade of hurban growth, e.g. Milan - Linate); — I found no point about UHI in towns and villages; you will tell me they are not large cities; but, in comparison with 20-40-60 years ago when they were «countryside», many small towns and villages have become part of larger hurban areas (at least in Europe and Asia) so examining just larger cities would not be enough in my opinion to get a full view of UHI effect (still remembering that it has a small global effect: we can say many matters are due to UHI instead of GW, maybe even that a small part of measured GW is due to UHI, and that GW measurements are not so precise to make us able to make good analisyses and predictions, but not that GW is due to UHI).
The best way to envision the relation between ENSO and precipitation over East Africa is to regard the Indian
Ocean as a mirror of the Pacific
Ocean sea surface
temperature anomalies [
much like the Western Hemisphere
Warm Pool creates such a SST mirror with the Atlantic
Ocean too]: during a La Niña episode, waters in the eastern Pacific are relatively cool as strong trade winds blow the tropically Sun -
warmed waters far towards the west.