It is this low - frequency portion of the record that contains information about an important
multidecadal mode of variability that extends into the modern, industrial era.
Not exact matches
... On decadal to
multidecadal timescales, the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, and the Atlantic tripole mode determine the variability of rainfall over India (Sen Roy et al., 2003; Lu et al., 2006; Zhang and Delworth, 2006; Li et al., 2008; Sen Roy, 2011; Krishnamurthy and Krishnamurthy, 2014a, 20
multidecadal timescales, the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), the Atlantic
Multidecadal Oscillation, and the Atlantic tripole mode determine the variability of rainfall over India (Sen Roy et al., 2003; Lu et al., 2006; Zhang and Delworth, 2006; Li et al., 2008; Sen Roy, 2011; Krishnamurthy and Krishnamurthy, 2014a, 20
Multidecadal Oscillation, and the Atlantic tripole
mode determine the
variability of rainfall over India (Sen Roy et al., 2003; Lu et al., 2006; Zhang and Delworth, 2006; Li et al., 2008; Sen Roy, 2011; Krishnamurthy and Krishnamurthy, 2014a, 2014b, 2016b).
Here we demonstrate that the multidcadal
variability in NHT including the recent warming hiatus is tied to the NAT - NAO - AMO - AMOC coupled
mode and the NAO is implicated as a useful predictor
of NHT
multidecadal variability.
«
Multidecadal variability of Atlantic tropical cyclone activity is observed to relate to the Atlantic
Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO)-- a
mode manifesting primarily in sea surface temperature (SST) in the high latitudes
of the North Atlantic.
Patterns
of variability that don't match the predicted fingerprints from the examined drivers (the «residuals») can be large — especially on short - time scales, and look in most cases like the
modes of internal
variability that we've been used to; ENSO / PDO, the North Atlantic
multidecadal oscillation etc..
Specifically, the claim was made that temperatures in Churchill, Manitoba (close to the center
of the Western Hudson Bay population
of bears) had not risen, and that instead, any
multidecadal variations in temperatures affecting the bears were related to the Arctic Oscillation (AO), a
mode of natural
variability.
The Atlantic
Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) or Variability (AMV) is a mode of low frequency (i.e., decadal to multidecadal) climate variability centered over the North Atl
Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) or
Variability (AMV) is a mode of low frequency (i.e., decadal to multidecadal) climate variability centered over the North Atla
Variability (AMV) is a
mode of low frequency (i.e., decadal to
multidecadal) climate variability centered over the North Atl
multidecadal) climate
variability centered over the North Atla
variability centered over the North Atlantic basin.
They do a poor job at simulating the observed
modes of natural internal climate
variability (e.g. the
multidecadal ocean oscillations).
The Atlantic
Multidecadal Oscillation (like other ocean oscillations) is a climate pattern with a
mode of variability, which seems to naturally occur regardless
of atmospheric CO2 levels.
Other well - known
modes of variability include: The Antarctic oscillation; The Arctic oscillation; The Atlantic
multidecadal oscillation; The Indian Ocean Dipole; The Madden — Julian oscillation; The North Atlantic oscillation; The Pacific decadal oscillation; The Pacific - North American teleconnection pattern; The Quasi-biennial oscillation.
Moreover, 370 years
of tropical cyclone data from the Lesser Antilles (the eastern Caribbean island chain that bisects the main development region for landfalling U.S. hurricanes) show no long - term trend in either power or frequency but a 50 - to 70 - year wave pattern associated with the Atlantic
Multidecadal Oscillation, a
mode of natural climate
variability.
Given that the past 30 — 50 years is a relatively short period for evaluating long - term trends, the SST trends themselves could be viewed as a manifestation
of large - scale
modes of multidecadal Pacific
variability (e.g. Zhang et al. 1997; Deser et al. 2004) or as part
of the century scale positive SST trends associated with climate change (e.g. Deser et al. 2010); it is likely that both
multidecadal climate
variability and climate change have contributed to the SST trend pattern evident in Fig. 9 and used to force the model.
b) failure
of the climate models to predict a > 17 year plateau raises questions about the suitability
of the climate models for detection and attribution analyses, particularly in terms
of accounting adequately for
multidecadal modes of climate
variability...
The
modes of natural internal
variability of greatest relevance are the Atlantic
modes (AMO, NAO) and the Pacific models (PDO, often referred to as IPO)
of multidecadal climate
variability, with nominal time scales
of 60 - 70 + years.
Getting these
multidecadal variations correct in the reconstructions would be very valuable in understanding the
modes of natural internal climate
variability, and to what extent such variations might explain 20th century climate
variability.
And finally, attribution studies can't simply rely on model simulations, since model simulations (even if they capture the correct spectrum
of variability) won't match the observed realization
of the
multidecadal modes in terms
of timing.
That leaves the North Atlantic, but it has another
mode of natural
variability called the Atlantic
Multidecadal Oscillation...... which is why it doesn't cool between the strong El Niños.