Still, we see the economic and earnings backdrop as positive for equities, with fuller valuations a potential drag, especially in the U.S. Equities in Japan, the only major region to see
multiple contraction in 2017, look well positioned.
Not exact matches
When you purchase a broad swath of equities, say an S&P 500 index fund, the returns you can expect over the next decade or so comprise four building blocks: the starting dividend yield, projected growth
in real earnings per share, expected inflation, and the expected change
in «valuation» — that is, the expansion or
contraction in the price / earnings (P / E)
multiple.
With equities going sideways throughout 2015 and the dollar causing a
contraction in earnings, we ended up witnessing an expansion of the
multiple in a stealth manner.
In the 12 months ended 2015 Q3, valuation multiples expanded by an amount roughly equivalent to earnings» contraction, but in early 2016 prices are rapidly adjustin
In the 12 months ended 2015 Q3, valuation
multiples expanded by an amount roughly equivalent to earnings»
contraction, but
in early 2016 prices are rapidly adjustin
in early 2016 prices are rapidly adjusting.
Smoking cannabis was superior to smoking placebo for symptom and pain reduction
in individuals with
multiple sclerosis having excessive muscle
contraction or treatment - resistant spasticity.
Across
multiple studies, single fiber
contraction velocity is approximately 220 % higher
in type IIA muscle fibers, compared to type I muscle fibers.
This is because training one muscle group at a time doesn't teach
multiple muscle groups to coordinate their
contractions and firing rates, which is how muscles work
in real life.
This storage of elastic energy can be used for more forceful muscle
contractions, which means your performance
in activities like running, throwing, hitting, and jumping can be augmented by
multiple times.
When these periods occur alongside high P / E ratios, the
contraction in multiples has usually been substantial.
The start of a
contraction in valuation
multiples has historically come long before high levels of inflation.
Obviously the best returns come
in the latter situation but by focusing on expected returns, I have sometimes bought high P / E businesses too because even if there was a
multiple contraction, there is good money to be made
in a decade...
Exhibit A
in what I mean here is the «US / UK Equities are worthless, they've gone no where
in 10 years, never touch them again» argument which is invalidated when you realise that all that's happened
in 10 years is a P / E
multiple contraction combined with growing earnings to combine to create stagnation.
A lot of the growth
in the underlying business has to first go to offsetting this
multiple contraction before you can start profiting from it.
One is a pure
contraction in valuation
multiples, where prices plummet but fundamentals like revenue and earnings remain mostly unchanged.
In some cases, mesh
contraction can require
multiple corrective surgeries to repair.