A smaller
multiyear ice area in the Arctic Ocean means that the sea ice summer extent is more sensitive to weather conditions during summer and thus more difficult to predict using statistical regression analysis since seasonal weather forecasts are not reliable.
So we expect some replenishment of
the multiyear ice area this summer.
Not exact matches
There also appears to be a strong correlation between the
area of
multiyear ice and the spatially averaged thickness of the perennial
ice pack, which suggests that the satellite - derived areal decreases represent substantial rather than only peripheral changes.
These data were used to quantify changes in the
ice cover's composition, revealing a substantial reduction of about 14 percent in the
area of
multiyear ice in winter during the period from 1978 to 1998.
Ice - covered sea areas in the Arctic Ocean during summer have nearly halved since the 1970s and 1980s, raising alarm that the ocean is shifting from a multiyear to a seasonal ice zo
Ice - covered sea
areas in the Arctic Ocean during summer have nearly halved since the 1970s and 1980s, raising alarm that the ocean is shifting from a
multiyear to a seasonal
ice zo
ice zone.
«I wonder whether over all the trend towards thinner younger
ice may have resulted in a net underestimation rather than overestimation of the
area of
multiyear ice.
Please keep in mind that these maps basically indicate
areas where at least some
multiyear (MY)
ice is expected to be present rather than
areas where MY
ice is prevalent.»
The main preconditioning considered in our outlook is the
area of robust
multiyear ice in spring (April - May), the thickness of the FY
ice as determined by the number of freezing degree days during winter / spring and the spring / summer total
ice extent at the time of issue of the outlook.
Rigor estimates, based on buoy drift and modeling, that for March sea
ice area, 65 % was
multiyear before 1990, but
multiyear made up only 40 % in March 2007 and 27 % in March 2008.
Rapid
ice drift is an important factor in regional
ice conditions, especially redistribution of
multiyear ice into
areas with high melt rates at low latitudes.
To obtain an estimate, a sea
ice area from the Arctic Basin (excluding the pole and the
multiyear sea
ice north of Greenland) is regressed with the previous years and their September mean extents.