I don't expect major changes in
national vote share in 2020 necessarily but we could see UKIP still around 10 - 15 %, losing votes to the Tories in marginal seats but profiting from a post referendum backlash at the Tories expense in Essex, Kent and Lincolnshire etc and old labour areas like Sunderland, county Durham, Rotherham, Oldham etc which the Tories have abandoned.
Ukip took 23 % of the projected
national vote share in May 2nd's elections, two points behind the Conservatives.
However, before we consign the party to history, it's worth recounting that it did achieve
a national vote share in 2010 of around a fifth higher than the Clegg era poll average of 18 per cent.
Not exact matches
The announcement came
in a press release Thursday afternoon from
National Amusements, the Redstone family holding company that owns 80 % of the
voting shares in both Viacom and CBS.
The election result was surprising to political analysts as it saw the Lega party overtake Forza Italia, its center - right coalition partner,
in terms of
vote share giving it more influence
in the coalition and potentially at a
national level.
«
In national - level models, we show for the first time that increasing imports are associated with decreasing presidential incumbent
vote shares,» the authors write.
National Amusements controls the
voting shares in both Viacom and CBS, with Sumner owning 80 % and Shari owning 20 %, a stake that is estimated to be worth as much as $ 40 billion.
Their method is much more thorough and uses information from local by - elections to estimate the
National Equivalent
Vote and pays attention to the actual shares of the vote in the different county council divisions last t
Vote and pays attention to the actual
shares of the
vote in the different county council divisions last t
vote in the different county council divisions last time.
UKIP's
national support was spread out too thinly for it to turn its
vote share into seats; this was
in stark contrast to the SNP, which needed only 4.7 per cent of the nation - wide
vote to obtain 56 seats.
While parties such as the Austrian Freedom Party and the True Finns may have scored better
in their most recent
national elections, UKIP's share of the vote is very similar to the results of the French Front National (2012: 13.6 %), the Danish People's Party (2011: 12.3 %) and the Dutch Freedom Party (2012:
national elections, UKIP's
share of the
vote is very similar to the results of the French Front
National (2012: 13.6 %), the Danish People's Party (2011: 12.3 %) and the Dutch Freedom Party (2012:
National (2012: 13.6 %), the Danish People's Party (2011: 12.3 %) and the Dutch Freedom Party (2012: 10.1 %).
In all likelihood, next year's local election results will be less bad for Labour than this year's were, perhaps showing a Conservative lead of 10 - 15 % in terms of national equivalent vote shar
In all likelihood, next year's local election results will be less bad for Labour than this year's were, perhaps showing a Conservative lead of 10 - 15 %
in terms of national equivalent vote shar
in terms of
national equivalent
vote share.
In this year's local elections, Labour finished 20 % behind the Conservatives in terms of national equivalent vote shar
In this year's local elections, Labour finished 20 % behind the Conservatives
in terms of national equivalent vote shar
in terms of
national equivalent
vote share.
UKIP did extraordinarily well
in yesterday's local elections, securing a projected
national share of the
vote of 23 %.
UKIP's
share of general election vote intention, at 14 % last week, is much more muted than the 23 % they achieved in the Projected National Share of the vote (PNS) from the local elect
share of general election
vote intention, at 14 % last week, is much more muted than the 23 % they achieved
in the Projected
National Share of the vote (PNS) from the local elect
Share of the
vote (PNS) from the local elections.
In 2010, though the Conservatives did not achieve the
national vote share they wanted, the party's targeting strategy meant it won 23 more Labour seats and 9 more Liberal Democrat seats than it would have done on a uniform swing.
Your figures are the same as for a
national percentage
share of Con: 39 %, Lab: 27 %
In reality people will
vote pragmatically for one of the big two, and the Lib Dems will get squaaezed.
The BBC's projected
national share of the
vote, which uses the results
in local elections to estimate the parties» standing across the country, put Labour and the Conservatives neck - and - neck on 35 % apiece.
Analysis suggested the two main parties were neck and neck overall
in terms of
national vote share - on 35 % each.
[22] The SSP did experience a recovery
in by - elections from 2008 — 09, increasing its
vote share compared to the 2007
national result.
It is important to note, however, that the «
national vote share» statistic is a project that includes both the seats elected
in the current election and areas that did not hold an election this time around.
For instance, Labour's overall
share of the
vote increased
in 2015, relative to the 2010 General Election, by 1.5 %, but the extent of the party's support / seat losses
in Scotland to the Scottish
National Party (returning with just 1 of the 41 seats that the party had won there
in 2010) meant that most of the 701,147
votes won by Labour
in Scotland were effectively wasted
votes.
The Lib Dems did not reach the
share of
national votes in the 1990s that the Alliance had achieved
in the 1980s.
The
vote shares (National Equivalent Vote) in the English local elections put Labour at the top, on 33 per cent (3 points up on 20
vote shares (
National Equivalent
Vote) in the English local elections put Labour at the top, on 33 per cent (3 points up on 20
Vote)
in the English local elections put Labour at the top, on 33 per cent (3 points up on 2015).
The projection from Thursday's results by the BBC and Professor John Curtice shows that nationally we are now a point ahead of the Tories
in our
national share of the
vote.
Others may
vote Liberal Democrat even if it's a hopeless cause locally, because they'll want to boost Nick Clegg's
share of the
national vote to boost his moral authority
in any coalition talks.
But, perhaps somewhat surprisingly, Fianna Fail too would be rather disenchanted with these poll figures, with these leaving the party on a
share of the
national vote that would not be dramatically higher than that which the party won
in 2011.
Due mainly to the party's ability to win transfers from a range of different parties and political groupings, Labour attained a seat bonus of almost 3 %
in winning 22.3 % of the seats on a
national vote share of 19.4 %.
In 2003, the Conservatives were estimated by the BBC to have led Labour by 5 % in terms of projected national vote share, and the Lib Dems by 8
In 2003, the Conservatives were estimated by the BBC to have led Labour by 5 %
in terms of projected national vote share, and the Lib Dems by 8
in terms of projected
national vote share, and the Lib Dems by 8 %.
With a four - way contest involving the Conservatives and Plaid Cymru at the 1964 general election, and a
national swing to Labour, Roderic Bowen suffered a precipitate decline
in his
share of the
vote to only 38.4 %; he was re-elected with a majority of 2,219 (7.4 %) over Labour.
The local and European elections have seen a fundamental shift
in Irish politics with Fianna Fáil obtaining the lowest
share of the
vote in its history and Fine Gael becoming the biggest party
in a
national election for the first time.
After all, seats are what count
in general elections, not
national vote share — and this is UKIP's main challenge.
The former president who was
sharing some of the things that led to his loss
in the 2016 elections at the World Economic Forum
in Durban, South Africa on Thursday said, the promises by Nana Akufo - Addo swayed
votes in his favour resulting
in the loss of the
National Democratic Congress (NDC).
For a start, the
national vote shares of both the Conservatives and Labour
in last week's election was roughly equal, at around 37 per cent.
In what promises to be a knife - edge election, the Tories could emerge well ahead of Labour in the national share of the vote, but still have insufficient MPs in the Commons to rule as a majorit
In what promises to be a knife - edge election, the Tories could emerge well ahead of Labour
in the national share of the vote, but still have insufficient MPs in the Commons to rule as a majorit
in the
national share of the
vote, but still have insufficient MPs
in the Commons to rule as a majorit
in the Commons to rule as a majority.
In Scotland, the Scottish National Party won the largest share of the vote taking 29 % of the vote and won the largest share of the vote in 15 of the 32 Scottish council areas and retained their two seats; despite only winning 2.3 % of the national UK vot
In Scotland, the Scottish
National Party won the largest share of the vote taking 29 % of the vote and won the largest share of the vote in 15 of the 32 Scottish council areas and retained their two seats; despite only winning 2.3 % of the national
National Party won the largest
share of the
vote taking 29 % of the
vote and won the largest
share of the
vote in 15 of the 32 Scottish council areas and retained their two seats; despite only winning 2.3 % of the national UK vot
in 15 of the 32 Scottish council areas and retained their two seats; despite only winning 2.3 % of the
national national UK
vote.
Labour were at an electoral nadir
in 2009, and so this year they can expect to see their
vote share pick up sufficiently with their
national revival.
Labour won the largest
share of the
vote in Scotland at every UK general election from 1964 until 2015, where they lost heavily to the Scottish
National Party; [12] every European Parliament general election from 1979 until being defeated by the SNP
in 2009; and
in the first two elections to the Scottish Parliament
in 1999 and 2003.
UKIP support surged, and the BBC's projected
national share of the
vote suggests they would have scored 17 %
in a Britain - wide election.
In contrast to
national results, the Conservative and Liberal Democrat
share of the
vote fell.
NEV is what the
national vote share would be if the results
in places that did
vote were replicated
in wards all over the country.
Their
national vote share is down six points compared to last year, and, although there must be some people who
voted Ukip
in the Euros and for another party
in the locals, there must be a chance that the polls saying Ukip would win have got it wrong.
Based on the results, the BBC's projected
national vote share puts the Lib Dems on 16 % - an improvement on the latter days of the coalition government between 2013 and 2015, but lower than its estimated performance
in last year's county council elections.
He told the World at One just now that they were 13 points below their
vote in the 2010 local elections, which suggests that they are heading for a projected
national share of 13 %.
While Ukip's projected
national share of the
vote fell, it increased its number of councillors by more than 150 — from just nine
in 2010 — by focusing resources on target areas.
The table below shows how the
share of the
national vote achieved by the six major parties
in 2015 translated into parliamentary seats.
The Scottish
National Party remained
in second place on the Council but recorded a disappointing performance as the party lost 2 seats and saw a slight drop
in its
vote share.
During the current congressional session, Schumer
voted against the Iran nuclear deal and
voted in favor of the
National Defense Authorization Act and a bill enabling federal agencies and private entities to
share information about cyber threats.
Analysis suggests the two main parties are neck and neck overall
in terms of
national vote share.
Farage's party will also be banking on a big resurgence of interest during the European parliament elections next June, when it will hope to come first
in terms of
national share of the
vote.
According to the BBC's projected
national vote share, the Conservative party is three points down on what it achieved
in 2017's county council elections but, after eight years
in government, it is better than its performance
in any of the local elections held between 2012 and 2014 and
in 2016.