Sentences with phrase «natural changes in ocean circulation»

Not exact matches

Looking at shifts in Manley's winter temperatures from year to year, he says, gives a good reading of important natural cycles that influence climate, such as changes in ocean circulation like the North Atlantic Oscillation.
He believes that changes in ocean circulation have warmed the Atlantic and increased hurricane activity in the past decade and that this is simply the result of normal oscillation in natural climate cycles.
Your statement that «Thus it is natural to look at the real world and see whether there is evidence that it behaves in the same way (and it appears to, since model hindcasts of past changes match observations very well)» seems to indicate that you think there will be no changes in ocean circulation or land use trends, nor any subsequent changes in cloud responses thereto or other atmospheric circulation.
The goal is to capture natural variations in the climate, like changes in ocean circulation or features like the El Niño Southern Oscillation, that are swamped by the signal of human - caused warming when looking out to the end of the century.
The first collection of papers establishes that (a) decadal and multi-decadal ocean circulation patterns (AMO, PDO, NAO, ENSO) have significantly modulated precipitation and temperature changes in recent decades, and the second collection of papers confirm that (b) natural ocean oscillations are, in turn, modulated by solar activity.
Natural factors contributing to past climate change are well documented and include changes in atmospheric chemistry, ocean circulation patterns, solar radiation intensity, snow and ice cover, Earth's orbital cycle around the sun, continental position, and volcanic eruptions.
Another key: in ocean circulation over 500 to a thousands years or more, these natural time frames no longer apply to rates of change today.
Your statement that «Thus it is natural to look at the real world and see whether there is evidence that it behaves in the same way (and it appears to, since model hindcasts of past changes match observations very well)» seems to indicate that you think there will be no changes in ocean circulation or land use trends, nor any subsequent changes in cloud responses thereto or other atmospheric circulation.
On the other hand, the AMO hypothesis asserts that natural changes in the deep water circulation of the Atlantic Ocean drive hurricane season SST resulting in changes to both hurricane activity and GT.
There is also a natural variability of the climate system (about a zero reference point) that produces El Nino and La Nina effects arising from changes in ocean circulation patterns that can make the global temperature increase or decrease, over and above the global warming due to CO2.
The available data are insufficient to say if the changes in O2 are caused by natural variability or are trends that are likely to persist in the future, but they do indicate that large - scale changes in ocean physics influence natural biogeochemical cycles, and thus the cycles of O2 and CO2 are likely to undergo changes if ocean circulation changes persist in the future.
4 Natural Processes that Change Climate Ocean Circulations Changes in ocean circulation also can result in short - term climate fluctuation EX: ElOcean Circulations Changes in ocean circulation also can result in short - term climate fluctuation EX: Elocean circulation also can result in short - term climate fluctuation EX: El Niño
Energy budgets change all the time from large natural variations in ocean and atmospheric circulation.
South America colliding with Central America was once the cause of vast changes to ocean circulation patterns, and a change in Earth's climate — but that «natural» explanation no longer applies in the 21st century.
The advantage of recognising a reversed sign for the solar effect high up in the atmosphere is that it enables a scenario whereby the bottom up effects of ocean cycles and the top down effects of solar variability can be seen to be engaged in a complex ever changing dance with the primary climate response being changes in the tropospheric air circulation systems to give us the observed natural climate variability via cyclical latitudinal shifts in all the air circulation systems and notably the jet streams.
Clouds change in response to changes in ocean and atmosphere circulation - part of the natural variability of the system.
The most natural type of long term variability is in my view based on slowly varying changes in ocean circulation, which doesn't necessarily involve major transfer of heat from one place to another but influences cloudiness and other large scale weather patterns and through that the net energy flux of the Earth system.
LONDON, 17 March, 2017 — Scientists have calculated that at least 30 % and perhaps one half of the decline in Arctic summer sea ice could be attributed to natural causes — changes of ocean and atmospheric circulation that happen according to some long - term cycle.
Regional circulation patterns have significantly changed in recent years.2 For example, changes in the Arctic Oscillation can not be explained by natural variation and it has been suggested that they are broadly consistent with the expected influence of human - induced climate change.3 The signature of global warming has also been identified in recent changes in the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, a pattern of variability in sea surface temperatures in the northern Pacific Ocean.4
The natural internal variability of the climate system arises from factors such as El Niño, fluctuations in the thermohaline circulation, and changes in ocean heat content.
These climate changes are a result of human and natural climate forcings and feedbacks — the relative role of each in altering atmospheric and ocean circulation features, and even the global annual average radiative forcing, however, is still uncertain.
However, it is possible that long - term natural variability, rooted in changes in the ocean circulation, underlies much of this variability over multiple decades (8 — 12).
There are also other natural «modes of variability» which may be affected by a climate change, for instance if the heat transport in the oceans are to change (e.g. the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation AMOC).
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