Not exact matches
The research adds one important
data point to the ongoing question of how much methane, a greenhouse gas with a warming potential 25 times that of carbon dioxide, is emitted in the life
cycle of
natural gas production, transport and use.
While both Harvey and Irma «are record - setters, NOAA doesn't see a «clear existing signal in storm
data» going back to the 1800s that proves the two storms are part of a departure from the
cycle of
natural variability.
Climate variations or
natural boom - and - bust
cycles contribute to population fluctuation in small fast - growing fish,» he noted, «but when they are not overfished, our
data showed that their populations didn't have any more tendency to collapse than other fish.»
The Ice Core
data report
natural (pre-human)
cycles of temperature and CO2 that go way above and below anything experienced in human history prior to or during the industrial age.
This «
natural cycle» is based on what
data?
The available
data are insufficient to say if the changes in O2 are caused by
natural variability or are trends that are likely to persist in the future, but they do indicate that large - scale changes in ocean physics influence
natural biogeochemical
cycles, and thus the
cycles of O2 and CO2 are likely to undergo changes if ocean circulation changes persist in the future.
Skeptics of AGW are by default accepting an alternative explanation, usually the «some mysterious
natural cycle for which we have no evidence» rather than the obvious one with all the
data.
What is very important to take from this
data is that the rise and fall of global temperatures and the rise and fall of CO2 emissions is a completely
natural cycle that the planet has gone through on many occasions.
Then, in 2009, the exposure of emails between the «scientists» responsible for the
data the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was putting out to scare the pants off of everyone about «global warming» — since dubbed Climategate — revealed they were not only rigging the computer models, but were increasingly worried that the planet had entered a new, perfectly
natural, cooling
cycle.
This morning (1-10-2015) on a website called NEWSMAX, a site by Ronald Reagan's son Michael, the lead story is something about the unnatural cold temperatures in Virginia, which is explaining away global warming by suggesting (with various kinds of scientific
data) that we are just entering a «
natural» 30 year
cycle of cooling off.
What will be interesting to see is as we collect more
data, does slope continue to go back up, detecting a
natural cycle affecting cooling rates.
Because there was no long - term instrumental climate
data at Monteverde, a few scientists questioned if those underscored dry days were perhaps just part of a longer
natural cycle.
Third, the ice core
data how conclusively that, during
natural climate
cycling, changes in temperature precede changes in carbon dioxide by an average 800 years or so (Fischer et al, 1999; Indermuhle et al, 2000; Mudelsee, 2001; Caillon et al, 2003); similarly, temperature change precedes carbon dioxide change, in this case by five months, during annual seasonal
cycling (Kuo, Lindberg and Thomson, 1990).
This smacks of the same motives as attempts to downplay the MWP in the proxy
data: hide the
natural cycles while manufacturing a trend.
The
natural change side explains the various data nicely — Natural variations and
natural change side explains the various
data nicely —
Natural variations and
Natural variations and
cycles.
3) it begs the question of what other even longer
natural cycles have yet to be recognized (ie century or longer
cycles) in the climate
data 4) it also begs the question of once these
natural cycles are removed from the total signal, how much of any signal remains that can attributed to CO2 / AGW?
Scafetta's harmonic model (see 12th page) is the only one I've heard of that can closely reconstruct 1850 - 1950 after being trained on 1950 - 2000
data, which is proof about as good as you're ever likely to get that the climate is still currently in an (almost) entirely
natural cycle.
As discussed in the article on
natural cycles of ocean «acidification», and illustrated in the graph below by Martinez - Boti, over the past 15,000 years proxy
data (thick lines) has determined surface pH has rarely been in equilibrium with expectations (green line) based on models driven by atmospheric CO2.
Back in the old days, before the land temperature records were subjected to bouts of
data diddling to conceal the awful truth, one could scrutinise the graphs back to 1850 and clearly see the alternate warmer / cooler regimes in roughly 30 - year
cycles that even the dullest brain could imagine was a manifestation of
natural cycles.
The scientists analyzed tree - ring
data and other indicators of local historical climate and found neither climate change nor
natural hydrological
cycles to be responsible for the diminishing of the lake.
This conclusion takes into account the approximately 62 year period
natural cycle in global average surface temperatures that is obvious in the HadCRUT4 global average surface temperature
data, that had a maximum in about 1945 and again in about 2007, and that seems to be the cause of the current «pause» in global average surface temperatures.
Essentially, for our study, we want only to use the real temperature
data and these
data start in 1850, which evidently is a too short record for extracting multi - secular / millenarian
natural cycles.
In fact, it is not possible to directly solving the
natural versus the anthropogenic component of the upward warming trend observed in the climate since 1850 (about 0.8 °C) by using the harmonic model calibrated on the same
data because with 161 years of
data at most a 60 - year
cycle can be well detected, but not longer
cycles.
I have been using statistical curve fitting techniques on available «climate
data» to identify the frequency and magnitude of these
natural cycles.
... AGW has a real but minor effect compared to
natural cycles and processes and
data bias by the official climate Team, and that a bit of warming and higher CO2 levels may turn out to be of net benefit to humanity.
In previous postings here at WUWT I have estimated the human contribution to net warming since 1880 at 0.2 ºC, the
natural cycles and processes contribution over which we humans have no control at 0.3 ºC to 0.4 ºC, with the remainder of the supposed warming of 0.8 ºC due to
data bias and cooking of the books by the official climate Team.
Threebells, there's no doubt in my mind that there are
natural cycles — the
data shows that they occur.
Anyway, keep up the revelations, we can now add Greenpeace inspired polemic to WWF reports, misquoting of effects, glaciers melting not, sea rising fast not, warming, if any, not happening at present, bad
data, bad models, poor physics and ignoring of main
natural factors (Sun, orbital variations, cosmic rays via cloud cover, ocean heating and cooling
cycles, volcanoes, soots, aerosols, etc)
The
data show that in almost all years, the accumulation in mass of all
natural cycles together is negative.
(except for the first and last ten years, which employ «extrapolated numbers «-RRB- * Although these are two different
data time - series, they both have the same characteristic shape, over ~ 160 years, including an arguable 60 year
cycle, maybe from internal
natural variations.