Meanwhile,
natural gas generation prices are increasing as carbon costs are included; nuclear generation prices are forecast to increase in Ontario to recover refurbishment costs; and new hydro mega-projects are seeing costs climb.
Not exact matches
Calpine's deal comes at a time when the U.S. wholesale power
generation industry is struggling with margin pressure as cheap
natural gas from shale fields in recent years has been driving down electricity
prices.
While projections for higher
natural gas prices are expected to reduce
gas» share in the
generation mix, the subsequent increase in cash flow to
gas producers is seen boosting
gas Continue Reading
Despite recent sharp declines in the market
price of
natural gas, utility - scale solar and wind power remain cost - competitive complements to traditional
generation technologies, even without subsidies.
This risk factor pushes the «levelized» or all - in
price of nuclear power from new units to 8.4 cents per kilowatt - hour, the MIT study concludes, versus 6.2 cents for coal - fired plants and 6.5 cents for
natural gas generation (if
gas is
priced at $ 7 per million British thermal units, or roughly 1,000 cubic feet of flowing
gas).
Stricter emissions requirements on coal - fired power plants, together with low
natural gas prices, have contributed to a recent decline in the use of coal for electricity
generation in the United States, she said.
With coal
prices falling and
natural gas prices rising, the EIA says coal's share of U.S. power
generation in the first four months of 2013 averaged 39.5 percent, compared with 35.4 percent in the same period last year.
In the UK, carbon
pricing — charging those who emit carbon dioxide — has become much stronger in recent years, making it more profitable for power companies to use
natural gas generation rather than coal.
The decline of that industry and related employment has been caused by technological changes in mining, and competition from low -
priced natural gas for electricity
generation, not by environmental regulations.
Another notable finding is the influence of a big switch from coal to
natural gas for electricity
generation, as
gas prices fell nearly 50 percent while coal
prices rose 6.8 percent relative to 2008.
The country's carbon dioxide emissions are back to the levels of the early 1990s, in large measure because moderately -
priced natural gas has been taking market share away from coal in electric
generation.
The decline in coal - related emissions is due mainly to utilities using less coal for electricity
generation as they burned more low -
priced natural gas.
A decline in coal - fired electricity
generation, due largely to historically low
natural gas prices
A case that assumes significantly higher domestic oil and
natural gas resource availability results in lower
natural gas prices, thus increasing
natural gas's share of
generation and lowering power - sector CO2 emissions.
The grid operator testified that «wholesale energy
prices and emissions will rise when extreme weather results in
natural gas pipeline constraints — driving up the
price of
natural gas (and wholesale energy) and forcing New England to rely on oil - and coal - fired
generation for multi-day (or multi-week) periods.»
... Because fossil - fuel power plants can not easily ramp down
generation in response to excess supply on the grid, on sunny, windy days there is sometimes so much power in the system that the
price goes negative — in other words, operators of large plants, most of which run on coal or
natural gas, must pay commercial customers to consume electricity....
In the Reference case, coal
generation at existing coal plants is supported by a steady rise in
natural gas prices beyond 2020, with annual average spot
prices exceeding $ 7.50 per million Btu by 2040.
Natural gas - fired generation is highly dependent on natural gas prices as a result of competition with existing coal plants and rene
Natural gas - fired
generation is highly dependent on
natural gas prices as a result of competition with existing coal plants and rene
natural gas prices as a result of competition with existing coal plants and renewables.
Topics: China, Climate Change, Coal, Dow Chemical, IEA,
Natural Gas,
Natural Gas Prices, Oil
Prices, Power
Generation, Renewable Energy, Shale Development
Expanded
generation from renewables, rising
natural gas prices, and static CPP targets in the post-2030 period in the CPP case allow existing coal - fired plants to operate at a higher utilization rate which rises from a low of 60 % in 2024 to 71 % in 2040.
Each spreadsheet lists the model estimates of capacity additions (what electric generating capacity the model and what the states tell the model to include because of regulations);
generation (how much the existing and projected units will produce);
prices (including firm power
prices, energy
prices, capacity
prices, allowance
prices,
natural gas prices, and renewable energy credit
prices); total CO2 emissions; fuel consumption for different fuel types; and transmission flows into and out of the RGGI power grids.
Last year the Energy Information Administration noted that the «decline in coal - related emissions is due mainly to utilities using less coal for electricity
generation as they burned more low -
priced natural gas.»
There is evidence that the Midwest is steadily decarbonizing its electricity
generation through a combination of new state - level policies (for example, energy efficiency and renewable energy standards) and will continue to do so in response to low
natural gas prices, falling
prices for renewable electricity (for example, wind and solar), greater market demand for lower - carbon energy from consumers, and new EPA regulations governing new power plants.
Tags: coal, consumption / demand, electricity,
generation, hydroelectric,
natural gas, Ohio, Pennsylvania,
prices, weather
Wholesale electric power
prices in the US are starting 2017 by ticking upward, lifted by firmer
natural gas prices, which overall has caused coal
generation to take some of
gas generation's share in the overall fuel mix.
Amid historically low
natural gas prices and the warmest March ever recorded in much of the United States, coal's share of total net
generation dropped to 34 % — the lowest level since at least January 1973 (the earliest date for which EIA has monthly statistics).
Cheaper
natural gas has pushed out older, less - efficient coal and oil
generation; however, the region's increasing overreliance on
natural gas will provide few additional emissions benefits and increases risks of
price volatility or supply disruption.
With higher
natural gas prices in 2013 and 2014, coal regained some of its
generation share.
Coal and
natural gas generation shares over the past decade have been responsive to changes in relative fuel
prices.
The recent decline in the
generation share of coal, and the concurrent rise in the share of
natural gas, was mainly a market - driven response to lower
natural gas prices that have made
natural gas generation more economically attractive.
The fall in oil - indexed
natural gas prices, continued growth in renewables, the impact of EU air quality directives, and the introduction of a carbon
price floor in the UK have all contributed to coal
generation retreating in Europe.
Low
natural gas prices make
gas - fired
generation economically attractive during periods of low demand when operators in many parts of the country have more flexibility to choose between coal - and
natural gas - fired units based on their dispatch cost.
Natural gas generation climbed far above the five - year range, especially starting in January when spot natural gas prices began t
Natural gas generation climbed far above the five - year range, especially starting in January when spot
natural gas prices began t
natural gas prices began to fall.
Natural gas generation was up significantly to take advantage of low natural gas
Natural gas generation was up significantly to take advantage of low
natural gas
natural gas prices.
Lower
natural gas prices resulted in reduced levels of coal
generation, and increased
natural gas generation — a less carbon - intensive fuel for power
generation, which shifted power
generation from the most carbon - intensive fossil fuel (coal) to the least carbon - intensive fossil fuel (
natural gas).
However, with a return to lower
natural gas prices in 2015 favoring increased
natural gas - fired
generation, coal's
generation share dropped again.
The current downward trend in coal - fired
generation began in 2007, when increased U.S. production of
natural gas (particularly from shale) led to a sustained downward shift in
natural gas spot
prices and increased
generation from
natural gas - fired generators.
In April 2012, the last time monthly
natural gas generation came close to surpassing coal - fired
generation, spot
prices for
natural gas were near $ 2 per million Btu ($ / MMBtu) on a monthly average, before returning to about $ 3.50 / MMBtu in the last months of 2012.
In recent years, the drop in
natural gas prices, coupled with highly efficient
natural gas - fired combined - cycle technology, made
natural gas an attractive choice to serve baseload demand previously met by coal - fired
generation.
The Future Looks Bright for
Natural Gas - Fired Power
Generation but
Price Volatility Is a Wild Card
The shift in relative
prices has spurred a modest shift in power
generation away from
natural gas and back towards coal.
The
generation utilities that sell into wholesale electricity markets (also under pressure from falling power
prices; thanks to
natural gas and renewables, wholesale power
prices are down 70 percent from 2007) have reacted by cutting costs and merging.
To get around this alternative resources are given huge amounts of credit for clean air impacts, conventional technologies are punished, all concurrent with low availability and high projections for
natural gas prices (or
gas generation is ignored as an option).
Existing U.S. nuclear power generating plants operate under increasingly competitive market conditions brought on by relatively low
natural gas prices, increasing electricity
generation from renewable energy sources, and limited growth in electric power demand.
But for
natural gas to truly play a bridging role, guardrails will need to be in place, for example, by ensuring that
natural gas displaces coal
generation (rather than merely adding to it) and supporting other measures like carbon
pricing, methane regulations, and renewable portfolio standards (Lazarus et al. 2015).
For example, a $ 100 per ton of CO2 allowance
price would increase the average cost of electricity
generation from coal - fired power plants by about 400 %, the average cost of electricity
generation from
natural gas plants by about 100 %, and gasoline
prices by about $ 1.00 per gallon.
Only a high carbon
price, in excess of $ 50 / tonne, will materially alter electricity
generation given the dispatch order of plentiful, cheap coal and
natural gas.
Impacts of a climate policy on coal use will depend upon the type of climate policy employed, the stringency of the policy, the future
price of
natural gas, the future cost and penetration of nuclear and renewable technologies, and the cost of coal - fired
generation with carbon capture and storage technologies.
1) Primary Energy Overview [PDF / XLS] 2) Primary energy production by source [PDF / XLS] 3) Primary energy consumption by source [PDF / XLS] 4) Energy consumption by sector [PDF] 5) Petroleum Data [PDF] 6)
Natural Gas Data [PDF] 7) Coal Data [PDF] 8) Nuclear Energy Data [PDF] 9) Renewable Energy Data [PDF] 10) Electricity generation and Consumption [PDF] 11) Energy Prices [PDF] 12) World Crude oil production, consumption and stocks [PDF] 13) Crude oil and natural gas resource development [PDF] 14) Carbon dioxide emissions from energy consumptio
Natural Gas Data [PDF] 7) Coal Data [PDF] 8) Nuclear Energy Data [PDF] 9) Renewable Energy Data [PDF] 10) Electricity generation and Consumption [PDF] 11) Energy Prices [PDF] 12) World Crude oil production, consumption and stocks [PDF] 13) Crude oil and natural gas resource development [PDF] 14) Carbon dioxide emissions from energy consumption [P
Gas Data [PDF] 7) Coal Data [PDF] 8) Nuclear Energy Data [PDF] 9) Renewable Energy Data [PDF] 10) Electricity
generation and Consumption [PDF] 11) Energy
Prices [PDF] 12) World Crude oil production, consumption and stocks [PDF] 13) Crude oil and
natural gas resource development [PDF] 14) Carbon dioxide emissions from energy consumptio
natural gas resource development [PDF] 14) Carbon dioxide emissions from energy consumption [P
gas resource development [PDF] 14) Carbon dioxide emissions from energy consumption [PDF]
Competition between
natural gas and coal for electric power
generation drove
price declines in the Appalachian and Powder River Basins (PRB), two key sources for thermal coal, through the summer.