A natural sea ice record would not ever stun a scientist who understood the natural cycles.
Not exact matches
Abstract: Mid - to late - Holocene
sea - level
records from low - latitude regions serve as an important baseline of
natural variability in
sea level and global
ice volume prior to the Anthropocene.
But from an email conversation with Francis, Vavrus, and several other atmospheric scientists this week, it became clear that there may be more questions than answers at this point, given the large amount of
natural variability that affects winter weather patterns, and the very short observational
record of how the atmosphere responded to extreme losses of
sea ice (only five winters of
records since 2007).
Last summer's
record loss of
ice was due to a combination of
natural cycle and global warming factors: «more greenhouse gases, an unusual wind pattern, and warming of the ocean water in regions with reduced
sea ice.»
Indeed, the
record - breaking losses in the past couple of years could easily be due to
natural fluctuations in the weather, with summer
sea ice increasing again over the next few years.
Tagged adaptation, declining
sea ice, early breakup, evolution, historical
sea ice record, indivdual variation, late freeze - up,
natural selection, NSIDC, polar bear, resilience,
sea ice minimum,
sea ice variability, Stirling, Stroeve, survival, western hudson bay
Polyak et al. (2010) looked at Arctic
sea ice changes throughout geologic history and noted that the current rate of loss appears to be more rapid than
natural variability can account for in the historical
record.
I would have thought that was a more reasonable view than a large coincidental
natural fluctuation that somehow also more rapidly warmed the land, removed Arctic
sea ice and raised ocean heat content while giving us the warmest decade on
record.
Page 2 of 23 Duncan Steel: Perihelion precession, polar
ice and global warming Introduction
Record melting of Arctic
sea ice over the past year (Schiermeier 2012) has been widely presumed to be a consequence of anthropogenic global warming (AGW), and yet a
natural mechanism exists that may be responsible, at least in part.
But from an email conversation with Francis, Vavrus, and several other atmospheric scientists this week, it became clear that there may be more questions than answers at this point, given the large amount of
natural variability that affects winter weather patterns, and the very short observational
record of how the atmosphere responded to extreme losses of
sea ice (only five winters of
records since 2007).
Via Grist via Tom Raftery More on What You Need To Know About Arctic
Ice 2009 Arctic Summer
Sea Ice Minimum Third Lowest on
Record - «Well Outside»
Natural Variability Arctic Ocean
Ice - Free in Summer by 2015, New Research Shows - Greenland
Ice Sheet Shows Rapid Losses, Too Melting
Ice Could Lead to Massive Waves of Climate Refugees How Will Global Warming Change Our Oceans?