Sentences with phrase «natural variability»
"Natural variability" refers to the changes or differences that occur in the natural world without any human influence. It is the inherent and normal fluctuations or variations that can be observed in things like weather patterns, animal behavior, or ecosystem characteristics. It is a natural part of the environment and is not caused by human actions or intervention. Full definition
We are actually quite far outside of natural variability on the recent trend.
realclimate.org
So it is easy to confuse a negative feed back with natural variability if the initial starting point is below what should be considered «average».
Let's take as given that there have always been weather extremes, both hot and cold, throughout history and there is indeed a component of natural variability at play.
If natural variability is infinite, there is nothing we can do about it.
Yet there are numerous explanations for this — including natural variability in the amount of heat absorbed by the ocean — that do not imply a lower sensitivity of the climate to greenhouse gases.
The issue isn't just natural variability's contribution but the time scale of the contribution.
«Even accounting for all uncertainties and limitations, the temperature change could not be realistically explained by natural variability alone, implying a long - term human signal,» Will told me.
The actual climate change in many locations has been relatively small and within the range of known natural variability.
It is when natural variability and climate change develop in the same direction that records get broken.
One possible assumption is that the relationship between natural variability and extreme events could be different in the future.
The only way the models can be wrong (in direction) is if they have grossly underestimated natural variability, and a global cooling trend is established in the long term observations.
The new paradigm will almost certainly take natural variability into account, quite possibly explaining all observed variability without AGW.
The «hiatus» says more about natural variability then whether the models are right.
Model results now show natural variability will decrease in magnitude under warmer conditions, altering the mechanisms causing it and its influence on warming rates.
While natural variability continues to play a key role in extreme weather, climate change has shifted the odds and changed the natural limits, making heat waves more frequent and more intense.