In a reconstruction of Pacific Ocean temperatures in the last 10,000 years, researchers have found that its middle depths have warmed 15 times faster in the last 60 years than they did during apparent
natural warming cycles in the previous 10,000.
Not exact matches
Facts like, the measured temperature of the Earth's atmosphere is increasing, despite the fact that
in the
natural cycle of the Earth our planet should be cooling not
warming.
This
cycle coincides with the
natural rise and fall of sea surface temperatures
in the North Atlantic, which fluctuate roughly 0.2 degree Celsius every 60 years as
warm currents shift.
They'd seen slowdowns
in the past, often associated with
natural cycles in the Earth's climate — England pointed to periods when the Earth has taken a break from
warming, such as from 1945 to the late 1970s.
The research adds one important data point to the ongoing question of how much methane, a greenhouse gas with a
warming potential 25 times that of carbon dioxide, is emitted
in the life
cycle of
natural gas production, transport and use.
The North Atlantic Oscillation, a large - scale
natural weather
cycle, went into a phase
in which summer atmospheric conditions favored more incoming solar radiation and
warmer, moist air from the south.
One of the biggest lingering issues
in the global
warming slowdown is the full impact of the
natural temperature
cycles of Earth's oceans.
He believes that changes
in ocean circulation have
warmed the Atlantic and increased hurricane activity
in the past decade and that this is simply the result of normal oscillation
in natural climate
cycles.
After heating rapidly
in the late 20th century, Earth
warmed only slowly
in the last decade, partly as a result of
natural cycles in the climate system.
A detailed, long - term ocean temperature record derived from corals on Christmas Island
in Kiribati and other islands
in the tropical Pacific shows that the extreme warmth of recent El Niño events reflects not just the
natural ocean - atmosphere
cycle but a new factor: global
warming caused by human activity.
Some scientists have theorized that it could be related to global
warming, or to the ozone depletion
in the Southern Hemisphere, or just to
natural cycles of variability.
«This kind of study discusses the
natural cycle and could help define the likely positive feedbacks we can expect
in the long - term future, [for example] as temperatures
warm, the ocean will want to give up more CO2, or rather absorb less,» says climatologist Gavin Schmidt of NASA's Goddard Institute of Space Studies.
This
natural cycle business has been greatly abused
in the press, who continue to try and use it as an explanation for global
warming, especially
in the U.S.
Although Frank J. Schwartz, a shark biologist with the University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, says there's too much
natural variability in weather cycles to blame the recent shark attacks on global warming, George H. Burgess, the director of the International Shark Attack File at the Florida Museum of Natural H
natural variability
in weather
cycles to blame the recent shark attacks on global
warming, George H. Burgess, the director of the International Shark Attack File at the Florida Museum of
Natural H
Natural History.
It is
warm now because it is
in the
warm part of the
natural cycle.
Cooling sea - surface temperatures over the tropical Pacific Ocean — part of a
natural warm and cold
cycle — may explain why global average temperatures have stabilized
in recent years, even as greenhouse gas emissions have been
warming the planet.
A clean environment is particularly important for
natural flea control
in warmer months or if you live
in a
warm climate, as this is when the flea life
cycle is more rapid.
Therefore, IMHO, it would be closer to the truth to call WUWT a «skeptic» site that calls into question exactly how much the mean temperature has increased since the advent of the thermometer record
in the late 1880's, how much of that is due to human activities and how much to
natural cycles not under our control, what dangers rising temperatures may pose to human life and civilization, and what technologically and politically doable actions may be taken to reduce human - caused
warming, and our dependence on foreign sources of fossil energy.
A common question for example like how can Co2 be the main driver of climate if it lags behind
warming in the
natural cycle?
Hence, increase of carbon dioxide concentration
in the atmosphere is not the cause of global
warming which has a solar origin and is a part of
natural two - century
cycle»
In the latter (admittedly somewhat unusual) choice of baseline, the fraction of last July's temperature anomaly that is attributable to global
warming is tiny, since most of the anomaly is perfectly
natural and due to the seasonal
cycle!
For Fred Singer, a climatologist at the University of Virginia and another co-author, the current
warming «trend is simply part of a
natural cycle of climate
warming and cooling that has been seen
in ice cores, deep sea sediments and stalagmites... and published
in hundreds of papers
in peer reviewed journals.»
I have yet to find where any of our perfect extremist Republicans and Christians bothered to make any predictions concerning Dolly to prove any expertise
in natural cycles, counting with fingers and toes, passing urine tests, use of a calendar, meteorology, climatology, ecology, or a million other loose ends within global
warming.
Worldwide there was a significant
natural warming trend
in the 1980's and 1990's as a Solar
cycle peaked with lots of sunspots and solar flares.
Due to this semi-random nature of weather, it is wrong to blame any one event such as Katrina specifically on global
warming — and of course it is just as indefensible to blame Katrina on a long - term
natural cycle in the climate.
One should also pay attention to other greenhouse gases, particularly methane (from rice paddies, ruminant animal digestive processes, industrial processes, and distributed
natural sources, some of which could be triggered to large releases by
warming) and nitrous oxide (from the nitrogen
cycle linking the atmosphere, plants, and bacteria, now exacerbated by extremely heavy use of nitrogenous fertilizers
in agriculture; note, as does Vaclav Smil from the University of Manitoba, that fertilizer use is required to feed half the world's current population.
To add to that, some folks have suggested the possibility of
natural variability
in causing the
warming (for example, we just happen to capture the rising part of a 60 - year
natural cycle).
The model may be right over the full 131 year period, but
in this case doesn't reflect
natural cycles including El Nino and longer
cycles (as is the case for ocean
warming, where models — significantly — don't reflect any
cycle with a length between 10 - 100 years).
Last summer's record loss of ice was due to a combination of
natural cycle and global
warming factors: «more greenhouse gases, an unusual wind pattern, and
warming of the ocean water
in regions with reduced sea ice.»
A more reasonable
natural variability / forcing argument might go something like this: 1) There is
natural variability of climate due to solar activity 2) Climate is changing now 3) Forcing can result
in climate change, but the response of the C
cycle to forcing is poorly understood 4) Forcing is happening now 5) Forcing and / or solar activity could be to blame for current
warming trends Is this unreasonable?
The implications of our findings are that the modern observations of ocean - driven
warming along the western Antarctic Peninsula need to be considered as part of a
natural centennial timescale
cycle of climate variability, and that
in order to understand climate change along the Antarctic Peninsula, we need to understand the broader climate connections with the rest of the planet.
The ocean oscillations cited
in these stories have been raised by the global
warming skeptics for the last ten years to explain what we saw between the mid» 70's and 2000 was nothing more than a
natural cycle.
Has anyone been able to separate the effects of the
natural warming - cooling
cycles, of which the earth has had numerous for aeons, from the effects of the recent rise
in CO2?
Most scientists attribute this «pause»
in warming to
natural climate
cycles that have a cooling effect on the planet, especially ocean oscillation
cycles.
Mathematically speaking there is absolutely no chance that our current
warming is
in any sense a part of a
natural cycle.
• El Niño, a
natural cycle of ocean
warming, can exacerbate both flooding and drought, along with storm intensity, wildfires and other factors
in the «vicious
cycle» of climate change.
Although he believes the Earth is
warming and is concerned about its affects, particularly sea level rise, he attributes increased hurricane activity
in the Atlantic to
natural cycles that he said paleo - oceanographic research has shown have been going on for years.
By comparing modelled and observed changes
in such indices, which include the global mean surface temperature, the land - ocean temperature contrast, the temperature contrast between the NH and SH, the mean magnitude of the annual
cycle in temperature over land and the mean meridional temperature gradient
in the NH mid-latitudes, Braganza et al. (2004) estimate that anthropogenic forcing accounts for almost all of the
warming observed between 1946 and 1995 whereas
warming between 1896 and 1945 is explained by a combination of anthropogenic and
natural forcing and internal variability.
A pause would, at least
in part, discredit arguments for global
warming and lend credence to skeptics who argue the climate goes through a
natural cycle of changes.
In the
natural cycle regarding long term
natural climate change caused by Milankovitch
cycles, at least for the past million years or so, the sensitivity response to changes is indicated to alter the global temperature by 6º Celsius between
warm periods and glacial periods.
Answer: While it is undoubtedly true that there are
natural cycles and variations
in global climate, those who insist that current
warming is purely
natural — or even mostly
natural — have two challenges.
Then,
in 2009, the exposure of emails between the «scientists» responsible for the data the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was putting out to scare the pants off of everyone about «global
warming» — since dubbed Climategate — revealed they were not only rigging the computer models, but were increasingly worried that the planet had entered a new, perfectly
natural, cooling
cycle.
This morning (1-10-2015) on a website called NEWSMAX, a site by Ronald Reagan's son Michael, the lead story is something about the unnatural cold temperatures
in Virginia, which is explaining away global
warming by suggesting (with various kinds of scientific data) that we are just entering a «
natural» 30 year
cycle of cooling off.
Other experts point out one of the biggest
natural factors behind the plateau is the fact that
in 2008 the temperature
cycle in the Pacific flipped from «
warm mode»,
in which it had been locked for the previous 40 years, to «cold mode», meaning surface water temperatures fell.
In 1975 Wallace Broeker (the guy who first used the phrase «global warming», predicted a rapid transition to warming in the 1980s, caused by a combination of rapidly rising CO2 emissions and a natural temperature cycle (derived from work on Greenland ice cores at Camp Century) which showed a rapid warming phase up to 1940, followed by the cooling phase which was attenuated by CO
In 1975 Wallace Broeker (the guy who first used the phrase «global
warming», predicted a rapid transition to
warming in the 1980s, caused by a combination of rapidly rising CO2 emissions and a natural temperature cycle (derived from work on Greenland ice cores at Camp Century) which showed a rapid warming phase up to 1940, followed by the cooling phase which was attenuated by CO
in the 1980s, caused by a combination of rapidly rising CO2 emissions and a
natural temperature
cycle (derived from work on Greenland ice cores at Camp Century) which showed a rapid
warming phase up to 1940, followed by the cooling phase which was attenuated by CO2.
This leads Prof Curry to say the IPCC's models are «incomplete», because they do not adequately account for
natural factors such as long - term ocean temperature
cycles and a decline
in solar output, which have suppressed the
warming effects of CO2.
The same thing about measuring two cats and finding the same weight can be said of recent
warming caused by rise
in CO2 and rise of CO2 happening to be coincident with
warming caused by a
natural ocean
cycle (AMDO).
Looking at all of the various inputs to global climate - including CO2 and SO2 emissions from man, and
natural cycles like La Nina / El Nino, as well as changes
in the sun - they believe that the rising sulfate emissions is the most likely factor to have cause the global
warming slowdown, between 1998 and 2008.
irregular Atlantic temperatures —
in effect, separating global
warming from the Atlantic
natural cycle.
... The paper, entitled «Recent Antarctic Peninsula
warming relative to Holocene climate and ice — shelf history» and authored by Robert Mulvaney and colleagues of the British Antarctic Survey (Nature, 2012, doi: 10.1038 / nature11391), reports two recent
natural warming cycles, one around 1500 AD and another around 400 AD (William: Same periodicity of cyclic
warming and cooling
in the Northern hemisphere), measured from isotope (deuterium) concentrations
in ice cores bored adjacent to recent breaks
in the ice shelf
in northeast Antarctica.