Despite what most observers see as highly uncertain environment, market expectations of near term volatility are
near record lows suggesting scope for sudden disillusionment.
Not exact matches
In 2009 the DA was strong in June and July,
suggesting a
near record sea ice loss for that year, but by August the DA pressure pattern was replaced by the more normal
low pressure center.
Slater, 4.45, Statistical / Heuristic My 50 - day forecast (http://cires.colorado.edu/~aslater/SEAICE/) issued on June 6th
suggests that 2014 will be
near the 3rd
lowest rank year on
record, which is how I came to derive my estimated extent for this long - lead time.
Current sea ice extent and meteorological conditions
suggest a
record low is unlikely, as surface temperature over the central Arctic has been
near normal in the last two months and forecasts of atmospheric temperatures for the next few weeks indicate average surface temperatures.