Strong mind, because
near valuation peaks people will tell you that you are nuts to leave the party — it's just getting started.
Not exact matches
While it's true that the market established even deeper
valuation troughs in 1974 and 1982 (
near 7 times prior
peak earnings, compared with the current multiple of about 11), it is important to remember that long - term Treasury yields were 8 % in 1974, and 14 % in 1982, compared with about 4 % at present.
In an interview last week after the Standard & Poor's 500 hit yet another
peak, Yale professor Robert Shiller noted that stock
valuations were
near levels that preceded meltdowns in the past and thus were «a cause for concern.»
Still, his was the first of many factors discovered
near historical
peaks of relative
valuation, delivering comparatively little reward since they were first published.
Consider that on April 1, 2000 (
near the last comparable
valuation peak), the S&P 500 traded at roughly 1,500.
Since 2002, real estate
valuations more than doubled at their
peak in 2006 and have since returned to
near 2002 levels in certain markets.»
«Though there is some concern that we are
nearing the
peak of the current U.S. real estate cycle,
valuations are generally holding with ample credit available for new loans and refinancings of maturing quality loans,» Pendergast said.