Socially, the use of land for BECCS would restrict agriculture — contributing to substantial increases in food prices; while politically, the issue seems so toxic that the Paris Agreement carefully avoided mentioning
negative emissions at all.
Bioenergy is another option for applying CCS, which is being developed not just to reduce emissions but to try and deliver
negative emissions at scale.
Not exact matches
This carbonation process could be a way of «permanently and safely disposing of CO2, and making useful products in the process», says Klaus Lackner, director of the Center for
Negative Carbon
Emissions at Arizona State University, Tempe, who pioneered laboratory studies of mineral carbonation.
«We probably need aggressive and immediate mitigation, plus some
negative emissions,» says Pete Smith, a soil scientist and bioenergy expert
at the University of Aberdeen in the United Kingdom.
Yet if greenhouse - gas
emissions from burning fossil fuels are not reduced
at all, in a business - as - usual scenario, water management will clearly not suffice to outweigh the
negative climate effects.
«The overall significance is that although we already know that reducing methane
emissions can bring great societal benefits via decreased near - term warming and improved air quality, and that many of the sources can be controlled
at low or even
negative cost, we still need better data on
emissions from particular sources,» Duke University climate sciences professor Drew Shindell said.
«The simple fact that [the Squamish facility] is there will drive progress forward,» says Klaus Lackner, director of the Center for
Negative Carbon
Emissions at Arizona State University.
«Negotiators
at the climate summit in Paris must realize that betting on
negative emissions doesn't release us from cutting down on carbon now,» says co-author Sabine Fuss, a researcher
at the Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change (MCC) and
at IIASA, who also serves on the GCP scientific steering committee.
The study confirms and warns that future use of
negative emissions should not be interpreted as a fall - back option, which would be risky, as continuing to cumulate
emissions would entail lower chances of stabilizing climate change
at less than 2ᵒC.
Report confirms that
negative emission technologies (NETs) offer only «limited realistic potential» to remove large amounts of carbon dioxide from the atmosphere and not
at the scale envisaged in some climate scenarios.
The shale gas in recent exploration in the United States, that could meet the domestic demand of the country for natural gas
at current levels of consumption for over 100 years, is extremely
negative for the environment because it generates half the carbon
emissions from coal, and pollutes the sheets underground aquifers.
Negative are ofc the actions to reduce
emissions, which
at the same time make societies more resilient, since renewable's are per design more decentralized.
There are enormous assumptions in most calculations, including the assumption that «carbon
negative» technologies, like capturing CO2 from power plants burning biomass, can be done
at a scale remotely relevant to the climate problem (to be relevant one needs to be talking in gigatons of avoided CO2
emissions per year — each a billion tons).
Once the ice reaches the equator, the equilibrium climate is significantly colder than what would initiate melting
at the equator, but if CO2 from geologic
emissions build up (they would, but very slowly — geochemical processes provide a
negative feedback by changing atmospheric CO2 in response to climate changes, but this is generally very slow, and thus can not prevent faster changes from faster external forcings) enough, it can initiate melting — what happens then is a runaway in the opposite direction (until the ice is completely gone — the extreme warmth and CO2 amount
at that point, combined with left - over glacial debris available for chemical weathering, will draw CO2 out of the atmosphere, possibly allowing some ice to return).
The university already has initiatives on everything from «urban resilience to extremes» to «
negative emissions» — developing ways to extract carbon dioxide from the atmosphere in amounts large enough to matter
at climate scale.
I can't see any
negatives in investing in infrastructure that could reduce dependency on foreign oil and reduce greenhouse
emissions at the expense of a little convenience.
-- and if
at some time in the future there is a major adjustment to GCMs modelling like plugging in a new science based assumption that x warming will actually / or has triggered
negative feedbacks like ASI area / piomass loss, or methane hydrates
emissions inott eh atmosphere versus the present GCMs that such changes in the GCMs be noted in these Summary Key data Updates.
The option value for CCS to provide
negative emissions is entirely missing from this video's story about why we should develop and deploy CCS
at scale today.
¦ Conversely, in integrated assessments,
negative emissions may be chosen over conventional mitigation
at any time, depending on which is found to be more economical to develop.»
However, instead of considering
negative carbon
emissions as potentially undermining to the proliferation of carbon free energy, the climate change mitigation community
at large should consider the portfolio of options that can permanently sequester carbon as an enabler and accelerant.
To prevent the worst impacts of climate change, the world will need to reach net -
negative emissions, a point
at which we're actually removing more carbon from the air than we're putting in.
At first blush, 2070 sounds far away — 50 + years to figure out how to get
negative emissions (or carbon dioxide removal, «CDR») technology should be no problem... right?
After all, the goal of reducing CO2
emissions by eliminating fossil fuel usage was there right
at the start, when the mainstream scientific view was still that
negative feedbacks dominated the system.
- In the conversation, you'll hear reference to Klaus Lackner's work
at The Center for
Negative Emissions,
at Arizona State University.
This # 9m scheme is looking
at everything from how feasible
negative emissions technologies will be, to what might happen if we try to use them, as well as the «moral hazard» of assuming such options will become available instead of cutting
emissions faster now.
Although warming of only 1.5 degrees would result in much less harm to the climate than 2 degrees, it's possible that the ecological damage caused by the
negative emissions projects needed to get there may exceed the benefits,
at least for some.
Emissions would need to decline dramatically (and then go
negative) for a good shot
at staying below 2 °C.
Ackerman et al. (2009) cite these as reasons to not rely on
negative net
emissions in the creation of a 350 pathway, and indeed the scenarios they model all have
emissions drop to zero (
at different years) but not below.
Beyond this 1 % target, he explained that Climeworks envisions expanding by another order of magnitude over the subsequent decade to start delivering «
negative emissions»
at the billion ton CO2 / year scale.
Christophe Jospe, an independent consultant and former chief strategist
at the Center for
Negative Carbon
Emissions at Arizona State University.
«Engineered, nonbiological approaches [to
negative emissions], such as enhanced weathering and direct air capture... are energy - intensive and expensive [but] may eventually provide useful options for [CO2 removal]
at scale.
Stocker says that
negative emissions technologies must supplement, not substitute for aggressive investment in energy efficiency and renewables to «replace fossil energy
at the fastest rate possible».
Most UN climate projections already anticipate that the world will develop and use «
negative -
emissions technologies»
at some point in the future — that is, some technology that can scrub carbon from the air.
If you are silly enough to contemplate a 2 ˚C rise, then just to have a 66 per cent chance of limiting warming
at that point, atmospheric carbon needs to be held to 400ppm CO2e and that requires a global reduction in
emissions of 80 per cent by 2050 (on 1990 levels) and
negative emissions after 2070.
For the near future the uncertainty in climate prediction justifies choosing polices that guide us towards net
negative emissions as quickly as possible and the stabilization of atmospheric greenhouse gases
at levels significantly lower than today.
The EU and US have both reduced CO2
emissions significantly,
at negligible or even
negative economic cost.
In addition to acquiring a larger hypothetical share of the 2 °C carbon budget
at the expense of the other fossil fuels (Variable 4), the lifespan of coal, oil and gas could be extended by CCS and net -
negative emissions technologies.
Consequently, most of the IPCC
emission scenarios able to meet the global two - degree target require overshooting the carbon budget
at first and then remove the excess carbon with large
negative emissions, typically on the order of 400 ‑ 800 Gt CO2 up to 2100.
However, the carbon budget scenario chosen in the report also prevents a temporary overshoot of temperature
at any time this century, making it more stringent compared to many International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) scenarios which frequently rely on
negative emissions technologies to compensate for today's
emissions later this century.
Joeri Rogelj, energy programme research scholar
at IIASA and co-author of the report, says: «We find there is no clear difference in the assumed levels of bioenergy and
negative emissions between 1.5 ˚C and 2 °C pathways.
Achieving
negative emissions will involve what the analysis calls «the deployment of uncertain and
at present controversial technologies, including biomass energy with carbon capture and storage.»
However, most instruments have best practice applications that have achieved CO2 reductions
at low or
negative social costs, signalling that a broad portfolio of tools is available to governments to cut building ‐ related
emissions cost ‐ effectively.
Wehner and his co-authors of Chapter 2 of the NCA, which looked
at the physical basis for our understanding of climate change, considered seven different future scenarios (including four new ones), ranging from the «do nothing» option to a geoengineering option, which would require an as - yet uninvented technology to take CO2 out of the atmosphere on a global scale, to achieve net
negative emissions of greenhouse gases by 2050.
It is misleading to conclude that
emissions can be substantially reduced
at negative economic cost.
For example, theory and bottom up modelling suggest that some energy efficiency policies can deliver CO2
emission reductions
at negative cost, but we need ex ‐ post policy evaluation to establish whether they really do and whether the measures are as effective as predicted by ex ‐ ante assessments.
The former coal plants accounted for the bulk of the
negative health impacts, due for example to their much greater size and higher levels of sulphur dioxide
emissions, which were largely linked to continued coal burning
at co-fired sites.
But banking on
negative emissions later in the century is,
at the very least, an enormous, fateful gamble.
To prevent the worst impacts of climate change, the world will need to reach net -
negative emissions, a point
at which we're actually removing and storing more carbon from the air than we're putting into the atmosphere.
«Climate science» as it is used by warmists implies adherence to a set of beliefs: (1) Increasing greenhouse gas concentrations will warm the Earth's surface and atmosphere; (2) Human production of CO2 is producing significant increases in CO2 concentration; (3) The rate of rise of temperature in the 20th and 21st centuries is unprecedented compared to the rates of change of temperature in the previous two millennia and this can only be due to rising greenhouse gas concentrations; (4) The climate of the 19th century was ideal and may be taken as a standard to compare against any current climate; (5) global climate models, while still not perfect, are good enough to indicate that continued use of fossil fuels
at projected rates in the 21st century will cause the CO2 concentration to rise to a high level by 2100 (possibly 700 to 900 ppm); (6) The global average temperature under this condition will rise more than 3 °C from the late 19th century ideal; (7) The
negative impact on humanity of such a rise will be enormous; (8) The only alternative to such a disaster is to immediately and sharply reduce CO2
emissions (reducing
emissions in 2050 by 80 % compared to today's rate) and continue further reductions after 2050; (9) Even with such draconian CO2 reductions, the CO2 concentration is likely to reach
at least 450 to 500 ppm by 2100 resulting in significant damage to humanity; (10) Such reductions in CO2
emissions are technically feasible and economically affordable while providing adequate energy to a growing world population that is increasingly industrializing.
Nevertheless, it seems likely that a CO2 concentration in the range 500 to 900 ppm might produce a temperature rise of
at least 2 °C from the late 19th century that could be problematic for humankind; (7) The potential
negative impact on humanity has been exaggerated; (8) The only alternative to rising greenhouse gas concentrations is to immediately and sharply reduce CO2
emissions — whether this averts a «pending disaster» is not well understood; (9) Even with such draconian CO2 reductions, the CO2 concentration is likely to reach
at least 450 to 500 ppm by 2100 probably resulting in some warming; (10) Such reductions in CO2
emissions are neither technically feasible nor economically affordable, and would necessitate inadequate energy supply to a growing world population that is increasingly industrializing, leading to worldwide depression.