RCE will give rise to a positive tracking error (fund underperforms the index) when stocks and currency moves in opposite directions and
negative tracking error (fund outperforms the index) when stocks and currency moves in the same direction.
Depending upon cost and efficiency of fund management, fund may generate positive or
negative tracking error.
In fact, EEM has a significant tracking error as you can see in the table below (
negative tracking error means ETF returns were higher than the index):
And more importantly, I couldn't answer with conviction whether large tracking errors are simply a statistical anamoly or whether
negative tracking errors are likely to persist in the future.
Not exact matches
VWO on the other hand closely
tracks the index but the
tracking error is
negative.
TD e-Series Funds remain a great choice for low - cost, diversified portfolios, especially when modest amounts are invested on a regular basis but the funds that
track foreign stock markets can have large annual
tracking errors (both positive and
negative).
When currency effects are
negative (as it was the case of the CAD / USD and US markets over 2006 to 2011), currency - hedging still did not show a profit due to
tracking error.
The
tracking error could be positive or
negative by dropping the smaller names.
For those of you who don't know,
tracking error is the difference in returns (both positive and
negative) between an investment vehicle and the index it
tracks.