Interestingly, if over the course of the forecast horizon, they go up and then revert back to where they are today, the effect on the return will actually be negative, because there will be
no net change in valuation, but some of the ensuing dividends will have been reinvested at higher valuations than those available today.
Not exact matches
There has, therefore, been little
net change in net holdings of foreign exchange reserves, apart from
valuation effects arising from exchange rate
changes.
In that case, the change in valuation will make a net positive contribution to the overall return, which could push the total return well above 5.95 %, particularly on shorter forecast horizons where the annualized effect of the contribution would be greate
In that case, the
change in valuation will make a net positive contribution to the overall return, which could push the total return well above 5.95 %, particularly on shorter forecast horizons where the annualized effect of the contribution would be greate
in valuation will make a
net positive contribution to the overall return, which could push the total return well above 5.95 %, particularly on shorter forecast horizons where the annualized effect of the contribution would be greater.
Also, we prefer management compensation to be tied to things management / workers can work on, like
net operating income or
change in book value, rather than stock
valuations, which they can't affect much.
Historical factor returns —
net of
changes in valuation levels — are much lower than recent performance suggests.
Five - Year Forecasts We summarize the
valuation ratios, historical returns, historical returns
net of
valuation changes, and expected returns along with estimation errors for the most popular factors and strategies
in Table 2.
The idea is to produce a
net worth that is more indicative of the actual value of investments rather than
changes in the stock market
valuation.