Total
net human effect appears unchanged, which suggests the claimed increase of human CO2 between 2001 and 2007 was not included.
Not exact matches
The
net effect of
human - generated aerosols is more complicated and regionally variable — for example, in contrast to the local warming
effect of the Asian Brown Cloud, global shipping produces large amounts of cooling reflective sulphate aerosols: http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/1999/08/990820022710.htm
Thus to provide the clearest picture of the CO2
effect, we approximate the
net future change of
human - made non-CO2 forcings as zero and we exclude future changes of natural climate forcings, such as solar irradiance and volcanic aerosols.
The
net effect of this
human study was a dramatic reduction in biological markers associated with cardiovascular disease.
A week after we had finished filming, Harris applied to take over MIT's prestigious Media Lab with the aim of studying the «Singularities
Effect» — the weaving together of billions of
human brains in a vast data
net to form a new, higher form of intelligence.
I won't try for a complete definition of this world view (read Ayn Rand for that), but in this context it results in desperate objections to the concept of an environment that might bite back when over-stressed by the
net effects of
human personal choices (or at least the current ones being made by these folks).
Note that any
net change in biomass (whether trees, or cows or even
humans) does affect atmospheric CO2, but the direct impact of
human population growth is tiny even though our indirect
effects have been huge.
If we assume this is right, then the
net effect of
human made SO2 emissions would be 0.1 ºC.
The
net effect of
human GHGs is vanishingly small, well within margin of error & no cause for concern.
When combined with the other
human effects, the
net human influence is responsible for approximately 102 % of the observed warming from 1851 to 2010, and approximately 113 % over the 50 - year periods from 1951 to 2000 and 1961 to 2010 (averaged together).
This does not by itself tell us whether «
humans dunnit» because that would require comparing the net effect of the two main components (Humans and Na
humans dunnit» because that would require comparing the
net effect of the two main components (
Humans and Na
Humans and Nature).
You're right, & IMO, the
net effect of
human activity since c. AD 1950 has been to cool rather than warm the planet, although not much in either direction.
Well it's even more complex than that because the
net warming from
humans doesn't just involve CO2, but other greenhouse gases and it factors in the cooling
effect of aerosols being dwarfed by the CO2 forcing.
Furthermore, the authors hail this as a harbinger of good things to come, explaining «the
net effect of continued warming and rising carbon dioxide concentrations in the atmosphere is most likely to be beneficial to
humans, plants and wildlife.»
The authors of the new report say «the
net effect of continued warming and rising carbon dioxide concentrations in the atmosphere is most likely to be beneficial to
humans, plants, and wildlife.»
And they add «the
net effect of continued warming and rising carbon dioxide concentrations in the atmosphere is most likely to be beneficial to
humans, plants and wildlife».
SCC is effectively an estimate of the direct
effects of carbon emissions on the economy, and takes into consideration such factors as
net agricultural productivity loss,
human health
effects, property damages from sea level rise, and changes in ecosystem services.
Schematic diagram of
human - made climate forcings by greenhouse gases, aerosols, and their
net effect.
Given the high uncertainty about the
net effect of
human carbon dioxide emissions on global temperatures, we only see natural changes in climate.
The authors of the new report go on to say «the
net effect of continued warming and rising carbon dioxide concentrations in the atmosphere is most likely to be beneficial to
humans, plants, and wildlife.»
On the vital question of how to approach climate change, the most influential economist is William Nordhaus whose explicit position is that we should decide to reduce greenhouse gas emissions only if cost - benefit analysis or an optimisation model concludes that the
net benefits to
humans are positive, where the relevant
effects are essentially impacts on economic output (Nordhaus and Yang, 1996).
Up next will be the last step, what is the *
net *
effect on
humans (and other life) within those decades, and what is our confidence in that?
The
effects of aerosols and landuse changes reduce radiative forcing so that the
net forcing of
human activities is in the range of 311 to 435 ppm CO2 - eq, with a central estimate of about 375 ppm CO2 - eq.»
On
net,
human activity has a small positive
effect on temperature after 1999 because of slight increases in anthropogenic forcing and on - going adjustments to postindustrial increases in anthropogenic forcings (Fig. 3).
The
net effect is a modest
human increase in thermally stored and night radiated eK absorbed by A at surface levels.
Since solar
effects, both direct and indirect, are more than sufficient to account for
net estimated temperature change over the period of significant fossil fuel usage, have
humans been warming or cooling the planet?
And I think you hit the nail on the head with: «5) Once we scientifically - oriented Skeptics accept the reality of the Atmospheric «greenhouse
effect» we are, IMHO, better positioned to question the much larger issues which are: a) HOW MUCH does CO2 contribute to that
effect, b) HOW MUCH does
human burning of fossil fuels and land use changes that reduce albedo affect warming, and, perhaps most important, c) Does the resultant enhanced CO2 level and higher mean temperature actually have a
net benefit for humankind?»
Given that the cosmic ray
effect described by Svensmark would be more than sufficient to account for the
net estimated temperature change since the Industrial Revolution, the key question becomes: Has
human activity actually warmed, cooled or had no
net impact on the planet?
So these two articles are suggesting that a grand solar minimum could have a
net cooling
effect in the ballpark of 1 to 6 °C, depending on how
human greenhouse gas emissions change over the next century.
Human activity has also had a
net negative
effect on total global photosynthetic productivity since the most productive areas of land are directly in the path of urban sprawl [24].
Quantifying the
net human influence on the climate is a more difficult task, because the magnitude of the cooling
effect from aerosols remains highly uncertain.
There is very high confidence that the
net effect of
human activities since 1750 has been one of warming.
1) CO2 is not rising significantly compared to earlier in the 20th century (Beck, Segalstad, Jaworowski) 2) OK, so CO2 is rising, but
human sources are but a minor player (Howard Hayden, Spencer on WUWT) 3) OK, so
human CO2 is significant, but its temperature
effect is nonexistant (Heinz Hug) 4) OK, so CO2 has a temperature
effect, but it is dwarfed by water vapour (Lindzen, Reid Bryson, Tim Ball 5) OK, so the CO2 temperature
effect is not completely dwarfed by water vapour, but the sun is much more important (Svensmark, Shaviv, many others) 6) OK, so the solar output has been flat since the 50ies, but there are no
net positive feedback (Lindzen again, Spencer again) 7) Actually, there has been no significant global warming (Watts, Singer + more), 8) Hey, all this warming is a) unstoppable anyway (Singer again) b) good for humanity (Michaels).