Not exact matches
The
next step for Russell and his colleagues is to see if this pattern is repeated in multiple
glacial cycles.
Predicted changes in orbital forcing suggest that the
next glacial period would begin at least 50,000 years from now, even in absence of human - made global warming (see Milankovitch
cycles).
The entire
cycle for the interglacial warm period is defined from the
glacial maximum to the
next significant low temperature minimum.
Further reading on Milankovic
cycles and their influence on our climate has not convinced me that the
next glacial must be 20 - 50 Ky away.
What I was saying, technically, is that the Holocene interglacial would normally last another 50,000 years until the
next glacial sets in, based on the Milankovich
cycles which cause these
glacial cycles.
Extend the present interglacial, and the natural selection of H. sapiens sapiens somehow through the
next glacial and the best you can hope for is that 2
glacial / interglacial
cycles from now (200kyrs) the genus Homo will be due to receive its
next potential hardware upgrade.
The debate is about when to expect the
next glacial inception, setting aside human activities, which may well have perturbed natural
cycles.»
In the
next section, for instance, I'll show how he botches his discussion of the
glacial - interglacial
cycles so he can sweep them under the rug.
Because all 2013 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change scenarios — except Representative Concentration Pathway 2.6 (RCP2.6), which leads to the total radiative forcing of greenhouse gases of 2.6 W m − 2 in 2100 — imply that cumulative carbon emission will exceed 1,000 Gt in the twenty - first century, our results suggest that anthropogenic interference will make the initiation of the
next ice age impossible over a time period comparable to the duration of previous
glacial cycles.»
[1] Also, Archer and Ganopolski (2005) report that probable future CO2 emissions may be enough to suppress the
glacial cycle for the
next 500 kyr.»