Because TIPS protect investors against inflationary concerns and
nominal bonds do not, they behave differently from one another.
Not exact matches
Finally, while there is certainly a risk that
bonds deliver lousy returns going forward, I view the chances of significant
nominal drawdowns as pretty far down the list of concerns, regardless of what the Fed
does.
nominal zero coupon
bonds trade below par because we expect money to buy less in the future than we
do today.
Over the long term the
nominal return on a duration - managed
bond portfolio (or
bond index — the duration on those doesn't change very much) converges on the starting yield.
Bonds may not offer tremendous
nominal value, comparatively speaking, in the current market, but they
do generally offer peace of mind and stability which, for some, may be more important than they currently realize.
@ Andrew / Hariseldon — short
nominal bond funds will recover quite quickly from a rise in interest rates but the research I've read says they
do badly in unexpected inflation scenarios.
Holding an individual
bond to maturity will result in the return of principal (assuming the
bond issuer doesn't default), but those
nominal dollars will be worth less with inflation and during periods of higher interest rates.
It is important to note that the
nominal yield
does not estimate return accurately unless the current
bond price is the same as its par value.
Portfolio theory
does not properly account for the fact that stocks are far riskier than
bonds often resulting in portfolios that are not only stock heavy, but even more stock heavy than the
nominal allocations imply.
And buyers of
nominal bonds are taking risks that investors in TIPS don't — the risk of unexpected inflation.
How
does Pascal's Wager relate to the decision on whether to choose
nominal or real return
bonds?