To some extent, the framework in Australia is similar to an approach of targeting
nominal income growth, without the attendant problems that may beset the latter.
Such a large reduction in
nominal income growth would have a major downward impact on government revenues in 2015 - 16.
Not exact matches
Most economies have fallen well short of their pre-recession trend in
nominal -
income growth.
However, the slower - than - expected economic
growth in 2013 and the accompanying lower level of
nominal income in 2013 - 14 results in a «status quo» (before budget actions) deficit of $ 18.7 billion Subsequently, the status quo budgetary balance is actually lower that forecast in the November 2012 November Update.
These include the problem of public communication, where the public is likely to be more understanding of inflation than the more nebulous concept of
nominal growth, as well as the problem that
nominal income is often subject to sizeable revision by the statistical agency.
Instead the Fed should focus on assuring adequate
growth in both real and
nominal incomes going forward.
Finally, Federal revenues are largely determined by the
growth in
nominal income — that is real economic
growth plus inflation.
As seen in the two figures below, sectors of the economy tied to housing began contracting in April 2006 while elsewhere employment
growth and
nominal income continued to grow.
Nominal spending matched
income growth since June at 1.1 % or 4.4 % annualized.
Other factors driving rates lower — low
nominal global
growth, an older population, lower fixed
income supply and the disinflationary pressure of technology — will likely remain in place.
The lack of
growth in
nominal incomes and spending in the economy, in turn, makes it difficult for businesses and banks to improve their balance sheets and is reinforcing the reluctance of Japanese banks to lend.
Over the year to February, credit to the household sector grew by 11 per cent, compared with
growth in households»
nominal income which has been running at around 5 per cent; much of the
growth in debt has occurred in home mortgages.
Based on our analysis, the split between sectors that benefited from rising
nominal yields and those that suffered was clear: Defense - oriented sectors — those that are
income - driven but light on
growth — fared worse as the opportunity cost for holding them grew.
Other factors driving rates lower — low
nominal global
growth, an older population, lower fixed
income supply and the disinflationary pressure of technology — will likely remain in place.
The formula for the real
income of an investment at year N is: Inflation adjusted dividend
income = (initial dividend amount) * -LCB-[1 + (
nominal dividend
growth rate)-RSB- ^ N -RCB- / -LCB-[1 + (inflation rate)-RSB- ^ N -RCB- Typically, you would use a
nominal dividend
growth rate of 5.5 % per year in the absence of other information and 3 % per year inflation.
If so, the formula becomes: Inflation adjusted dividend
income = (initial dividend amount) * (1.055 ^ N) / (1.03 ^ N) With preferred stock and / or bond
income, use a
nominal dividend
growth rate of 0 %.
If this all happens, private investment jumps back to historical levels or higher, GDP can grow at more than 2 % real / 4 %
nominal as credit drives higher
growth, unemployment will come down,
incomes go up as the pie increases and we start growing out of our debt problem.
Your
income stream will come within about 1 % of the initial dividend yield plus the annualized,
nominal growth rate of the dividend minus the inflation rate.
They decompose the total returns into the three subclasses of return sources: changing valuation, dividend
income, and
nominal dividend
growth.
Mounting private debt claims a portion of
nominal economic
growth for debt service and therefore increased emissions that contributes only to the welfare of the credit issuers, mostly large financial institutions or speculative traders and not to overall social welfare or, on average, net
incomes of the borrowers.