Sentences with phrase «not account for uncertainty»

However, these estimates for the response of the AMOC to future anthropogenic forcing rely on our «best guess» for many of the complex model details, and do not account for uncertainty in the model input parameters.

These estimates for the response of the AMOC to future anthropogenic forcing rely on our «best guess» for many of the complex model details, and do not account for uncertainty in the model input parameters.

However, neglecting aerosols in calculating how much the planet should have warmed does not account for their uncertainty.

In addition, the authors do not account for uncertainties in the simple model whose sensitivity is fitted.

«The current nominal ranking of 2009, which does not account for uncertainties in the annual averages,... Read more

«The current nominal ranking of 2009, which does not account for uncertainties in the annual averages, places it as the fifth - warmest year,» says a statement from the UN agency.

Not exact matches

Musk clarified that Tesla, which just reported one of its best quarters ever, hasn't yet decided whether it should raise capital or not to account for uncertainty, to «have a larger buffer» and to «de-risk the business.»

To account for risk and uncertainty, which doesn't exist for you, but does exist for anyone that's not traveling through time, suppose that we cut our

Home birth is uncommon in the United Kingdom and uncertainty exists about its safety.1 2 Almost all mortality figures available nationally1 provide merely a single global figure for planned and unplanned home births, though the constituent rates differ greatly.3 The only recent figures for planned home birth in England and Wales relating to 19794 and 19935 provide an inaccurately low estimate of risk because it was not possible to account for those mothers who originally booked to have a home delivery but ended up delivering in hospital.

ANOTHER VIEW Bruce Dale, a biofuels researcher at MichiganState University, says there is a huge amount of uncertainty whenbasing predictions on an inherently complex economic model.Additionally, he asserts that the United States should not beresponsible for «anything but its own environmental profile» and thatto take into account world land changes is unreasonable.

For chemicals that don't cause cancer, they obtain a safe dose for humans by applying uncertainty factors to account for differences between mice and men and among individual peopFor chemicals that don't cause cancer, they obtain a safe dose for humans by applying uncertainty factors to account for differences between mice and men and among individual peopfor humans by applying uncertainty factors to account for differences between mice and men and among individual peopfor differences between mice and men and among individual people.

Only a few estimates account for uncertainty in forcings other than from aerosols (e.g., Gregory et al., 2002a; Knutti et al., 2002, 2003); some other studies perform some sensitivity testing to assess the effect of forcing uncertainty not accounted for, for example, in natural forcing (e.g., Forest et al., 2006; see Table 9.1 for an overview).

However, as pointed out by the authors, this estimate does not account for forcing uncertainties.

The upper 95th percentile is not well constrained, particularly in studies that account conservatively for uncertainty in, for example, 20th - century radiative forcing and ocean heat uptake.

By scaling spatio - temporal patterns of response up or down, this technique takes account of gross model errors in climate sensitivity and net aerosol forcing but does not fully account for modelling uncertainty in the patterns of temperature response to uncertain forcings.

«The approaches used in detection and attribution research described above can not fully account for all uncertainties, and thus ultimately expert judgement is required to give a calibrated assessment of whether a specific cause is responsible for a given climate change.

We find that the difference between the heat balance at the top of the atmosphere and upper - ocean heat content change is not statistically significant when accounting for observational uncertainties in ocean measurements3, given transitions in instrumentation and sampling.

* Indeed, possible errors in the amplitudes of the external forcing and a models response are accounted for by scaling the signal patterns to best match observations, and thus the robustness of the IPCC conclusion is not slaved to uncertainties in aerosol forcing or sensitivity being off.

But the bias uncertainty is smaller than the errors which are not persistent in time (e.g. due to incomplete spatial coverage), so I don't think accounting for this would make much difference, as Victor suggests.

Finally, not only did K et al not use a reasonable amplification factor for land, but they also did not account for the inherent uncertainty in the estimate of amplification.

Not only is its central estimate relatively distant from (warmer than) the prior record, but even accounting for known uncertainties, and their known shapes, it still emerges as easily the most likely warmest year on record.

Unfortunately, that perspective fails to account for the mechanism by which motivated reasoning influences how the public interpret what climate scientists do and don't say and how motivated reasoning influences what the public think about the prevalence of shared view among climate scientists w / r / t the related uncertainties.

It is not possible for EIA to account for all uncertainties; for practical reasons this study examines a limited set of sensitivities through alternative scenario analysis.

«Even accounting for all uncertainties and limitations, the temperature change could not be realistically explained by natural variability alone, implying a long - term human signal,» Will told me.

Although the small number of impact assessments that evaluate stabilisation scenarios do not take full account of uncertainties in projected climate under stabilisation, they nevertheless provide indications of damages avoided and risks reduced for different amounts of emissions reduction.

The recent post at WUWT showing the Danish maps of Arctic Sea Ice showed clearly (uncertainties accounted for) that Arctic sea ice shrinking is not a proxy of Global Warming.

With respect to the reported benefit - cost rations, this paper argues that they are a bit low because, first, they do not reflect the substantial concerns about equity and uncertainty; and second, because a substantial part of the benefits (after the year 2100) is not accounted for.

If you respect uncertainty, then you account for the possibility of net economic benefit from ACO2 mitigation rather than rely on imperfect and unvalidated and unverified modeling that shows a net cost — particularly since those models don't provide a «full - cost accounting» of externalities,.

The high confidence level ascribed by the IPCC provides bootstrapped plausibility to the uncertain temperature observations, uncertain forcing, and uncertain model sensitivity, each of which has been demonstrated in the previous sections to have large uncertainties that were not accounted for in the conclusion.

If the first 3 - 5 years of a project account for more than half its undiscounted cash flows, it won't be very sensitive to long - term uncertainties, nor would a company made up of the aggregation of many projects with this characteristic.

[20] This problem becomes particularly severe for forecasts of the weather about 10 days in advance, [21] particularly if model uncertainty is not accounted for in the forecast.

In the context of my statement on greater uncertainty, this includes too little account of natural variability, but it also allows for the possibility that we have not adequately characterized the worst case scenario.

They (under) estimate the error in the OLS reconstruction, but they do not account for any other uncertainty.

Critcisms of the energy budget model approach are that it is sensitive to uncertainties in observations and doesn't account for slow feedbacks between the atmosphere, deep oceans and ice sheets.

Given current uncertainties, our global - scale estimate of reservoir GHG flux does not account for ice cover, but see the supplemental materials for an estimate of the extent to which ice cover could reduce annual - scale emissions (assuming no turnover emissions).

The first is uncertainty about the assigned magnitudes — for example, if solar influence must be scaled up to account for forcing not apparent in the total irradiance data, the solar role would increase.

Because Schwartz's model is simpler it is easier to account for and quantify the uncertainty in it (in fact much of the uncertainty in complex GCMs is hidden eg see Stainford et al referenced in the post), so if you take the view that you are interested not just in the mean but the variation in the estimate Schwartz's model, despite being simpler, gives you better information.

However, the uncertainty in the result does not arise from the deviations from linearity alone - it must also account for uncertainty in the adjustments which have been made.

The fact that we have two opposite conclusions, both with «very likely» confidence levels, is a classic situation of competing uncertainties, with the likelihood that both groups are not sufficiently accounting for the uncertainties.

Furthermore, on these times scales the differences between MSU data sets are often not larger than published internal uncertainty estimates for the RSS product alone and therefore may not be statistically significant when the internal uncertainty in each data set is taken into account.

If the lack of continuation of the previous warming can't be accounted for, if there is no predictive capability within what we already know about climate, it makes no sense to be so conclusive about AGW, and therefore our policy decisions should reflect that uncertainty.

I do not need a «robust analysis of uncertainty» to conclude that the accepted trends are calculated from garbage data, and can have no possible result other than to produce a much higher trend than an analysis that properly accounted for these factors.

This does not increase MY confidence that uncertainty was properly accounted for in the BEST process.

On the solar subject, if you work out how much the TSI trend would have to be wrong for solar plus the terrestrial amplification found by Prof. Nir Shaviv http://sciencebits.com/calorimeter to be able to account for global warming, the answer is, not very much at all, and well within the uncertainty of TSI measurement.

The words «uncertainty» or «debate» are not used in the statement, leaving no wiggle room for them to pretend that this statement accounts for the range of perspectives in the AGU (or even within the writing committee), or the uncertainties.

For instance, he emphasizes that when computing uncertainty in a trend estimate you have to take into account something called autocorrelation, which means the noise isn't the simple type called «white noise.»

An effective accounting system will not only need to be robust enough to encompass the fuel life cycle, but also address uncertainties and allow for changes over time as better assessment tools and methods become available.

«The approaches used in detection and attribution research described above can not fully account for all uncertainties, and thus ultimately expert judgment is required to give a calibrated assessment of whether a specific cause is responsible for a given climate change.

In this Western District of Washington patent case, the court ruled that Plaintiff's damages expert could not present a royalty rate calculated as 3x the rate found in a settlement, as an attempt to account for litigation uncertainty that could depress the royalty rate agreed upon in the settlement.

«The system's key insight is that it actively models and accounts for the uncertainty of not being 100 percent confident about where the drone is located in space.