As I explained in a previous post, this is
not a bearish sign for the stock market.
I have reminded you many times in past Annual Reports of the warning from the distant past from our mentor Ben Graham: «Only 1 in 100 survived the 1929 — 1932 debacle if one was
not bearish in 1925».»
But even these are
not bearish indicators.
But as you can see from above, it appears these reasons are
not bearish.
Troy Bombardia @ Bull Market recently posted... Study: a stock market rally on low volume is
NOT bearish
Under these circumstances it was very reasonable to be if
not bearish, then at least pragmatic about future stock market returns.
I'm certainly
not bearish on a medium - term basis.
If I had to pick a single most important source for investors to read this week it would be Michael Batnick's post, This is
Not Bearish.
To put it another way, if the confirming candlestick in question has a long lower wick, that is
not a bearish signal.
He reiterates his stance that he is cautious on this market, but
not bearish.
When determining the validity of a head and shoulders pattern, there are a few factors we look for to determine whether or
not this bearish pattern is likely to follow through to the downside.
New highs are bullish,
not bearish — especially new highs across all major averages.
Vanguard has said that its views aren't bearish, especially in light of the low rate environment.
A flattening yield curve isn't bearish for the S&P 500.
More importantly, you can see that a lot of gap ups isn't a bearish sign for the stock market in the medium - short term.
Not exact matches
But don't think Hartnett is going soft on his
bearish market outlook.
Not only does it spread around the risks of commercialization, but also ensures continued funding in the increasingly
bearish VC market for green energy.
While the short position Chanos has in Alibaba has
not worked out, Yusko was right on one of his most
bearish calls in recent years: In early 2015 he predicted oil would hit $ 30 when many thought crude had already hit a bottom.
While it doesn't stand alone as a negative force, market pundits like John Hussman — a former economics professor who is president of the Hussman Investment Trust — have used it in tandem with other breadth indicators to make
bearish proclamations.
«The
bearish correction however will
not be as severe as in the early 1990s,» he said.
And it's
not looking particularly
bearish.
It's
not her first short - term
bearish oil call on «Futures Now.»
Looking ahead, Goodman is similarly
bearish on the Apple Watch over the short term, saying that he doesn't believe «new strap options will kick start sales.»
Inflation fears may be sparking market swings, but Bessemer Trust's Rebecca Patterson doesn't see it as a reason to get
bearish.
And while I am
not necessarily
bearish about growth prospects in the coming 18 months I do think we're unnecessarily trying to thread the needle with a rate hike here.
Now that the dust has settled, those
bearish speculators haven't gone anywhere, with Netflix short interest — a measure of bets that share prices will drop — still perched near highs.
«For a bank like CWB, where sentiment has been fairly directly correlated to oil prices, if someone wanted to remain
bearish on it, one of the excuses will be that Alberta is actually now going to go into a recession, if it hadn't already,» Movahedi says.
But don't let that temporary optimism fool you — Morgan Stanley is still very much
bearish on the credit market this year.
Given that the Federal Reserve was tapering from its bond - purchasing stimulus program (otherwise known as quantitative easing), Doll said, you had to be crazy
bearish to
not believe interest rates would fail to reach 3.5 % in 2014.
Periods of persistent bullish or
bearish sentiment are usually confirmed by excessively high or low valuations, which is
not the case at present.
Buffett was once
bearish on the business, saying in 2009 that he would
not buy most of the newspapers in the U.S. «at any price.»
And while BAML is quick to note that this isn't an outwardly
bearish signal, it does mark a shift towards a more cautious overall stance for investors as they position for lower yields (see chart below).
However, we still do
not yet have a buy signal in the market and remain
bearish on the market.
The high count of distribution days is
bearish, but does
not trigger a «Sell» signal in and of itself.
The emerging market slaughter will continue, especially for countries with weaker fundamentals; their equities, currency and local currency bonds and foreign currency bonds
bearish slump has
not yet reached the bottom.
If such
bearish supply and demand conditions aren't daunting enough consider what else is in store.
Our discipline does
not require us to be
bearish or short, but a defensive posture is
not optional for us.
This time, despite the overly
bearish volume patterns in the market until yesterday, the «sell» signal simply did
not work.
Once ridiculed for their
bearish forecasts on China's currency, the analysts who predicted this week's devaluation don't look so crazy now.
Indeed, there is still a great deal of complacency on the sentiment side, with only about 30 % of investment advisors
bearish and the CBOE volatility index
not even reaching 28.
While such a
bearish attitude is
not new, it is useless an...
Last week in London, for example, an analyst from a research company with whose views I am usually in strong sympathy and who herself is very
bearish on China's growth prospects, airily dismissed Chinese debt concerns by pointing out that Chinese government debt, even after adding back estimates of losses in the banking system, is lower than that of the Japanese government, and because the government's debt burden has
not been a problem in Japan it won't be a problem in China.
Bogle: Well, I don't think his view is
bearish; I think it's accurate.
It does kind of bum me out that I may have lost a small opportunity to take advantage of
bearish markets but no sense in kicking myself too hard, it doesn't bother me as much as it used to and I think that's because amidst
not being able to purchase discounted blue chip stocks, I ended up buying a house with help from my parents, and now I am a home owner with no mortgage (just a debt to my parents which I hope to pay off ASAP).
http://admin.futuresmag.com/admin/structure/nodequeueHedge funds are
not listening to crazy
bearish crude oil price predictions like Goldman's $ 20 a barrel call and instead are amassing its biggest net long position since last April.
This same source suggests that if bitcoin closes below $ 638 in the next day, a
bearish market wouldn't be terribly unlikely.
Although we are
not yet at the point of making a
bearish call on the market, one ETF that is showing considerable relative weakness is Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX).
Investors who are
bearish with Ethereum say that the worse isn't over yet.
Debt A Four Letter Word Why Eat Cat Food In Retirement Being
Bearish Is
Not Profitable How does one of the top 10 pension funds diversify their assets?
There are a couple of interesting options possibilities on JNK and HYG such as
bearish verticals if we accept that junk bonds will
not be going even higher in the next year or two.