Sentences with phrase «not imply probability»

The statistics associated with scenarios from the literature do not imply probability of occurrence (e.g., the frequency distribution of the scenarios may be influenced by the use of IS92a as a reference for many subsequent studies).

Not exact matches

In sports betting markets implied probability is simply the conversion of traditional odds into a percentage, however, it does not account for the juice.

The Capitals may not be offering value, but by comparing Luszczyszyn's probabilities with the implied odds for each team to win the championship, I was able to determine which Stanley Cup futures were offering a positive expected value.

You can, however, take Bama to not win the championship at +120 (45.45 % implied probability), which, given the supposed 76 % actual probability, would be a valuable spot.

Although books still aren't sold on them as one of the top World Series contenders (implied probability goes from 9.1 % to 10 %), they do expect the addition of Quintana to help them topple the mighty Brewers and win the NL Central.

While the payouts are much different, the implied probabilities are actually not that substantial.

You're implying (please correct me if I'm wrong) that the coaches essentially sacrificed last year in order to increase our probability to keep the commit of a quarterback... I just don't know how a coaching staff doesn't destroy the culture of a locker room by doing that.

For anybody that's not familiar with sports betting, those odds can be easily converted into an implied probability.

Once again, this is not a 50/50 proposition and there's an 87.2 % implied probability that Alabama will beat Washington.

One factor not displayed in our table is the process of turning the juice for each win total into an implied probability and adding that into our calculations.

Though nobody besides the Warriors and Cavs really has a decent chance at winning the title, Boston's implied probability fell from 7.69 % to 4.58 % within a week after the season began... not good.

Not only have we listed our probabilities, we've also converted 5Dimes» College Basketball Futures to implied probabilities to separate the pretenders from contenders.

However, that implied probability correlated with a future price of +267 — not the -115 that was being offered at 5Dimes.

For example, if the upsets had been the 12 - seeds over the 5 - seeds instead of the 14 - seeds over the 3 - seeds, the implied probability wouldn't have varied greatly, but more brackets would have picked them based on public perception and previous years» results.

Based on the current odds, there's a 90.91 % implied probability that this game won't go into overtime.

While Beasley certainly isn't my favorite to win the MVP, there is a realistic path for him to get there and at 80 - 1; he's worth a couple of leftover dollars after you're done breaking down the implied probability / true odds of Lady Gaga's cleavage.

The move from +175 to -130 represents about a 20 % increase in implied probability... not too shabby.

The implied probability suggests there is an 82.1 % chance that Alabama doesn't get knocked out of the playoff early.

C) If Dan Wiener claims a 16 year 144 % performance advantage and then states that two Duke University professors «conclude that my way of investing in Vanguard funds has an 87 % probability to continue to outperform index funds for the foreseeable future,» then I seems odd that he does not also mention that that study's numbers implied a far lesser 16 year «positive alpha «advantage of around 40 % or so.

Now, while I believe there's a low probability of negative 5 year returns, these scenarios shouldn't necessarily imply highly asymmetric upside potential's on offer either... Of course, that will depend on the specific odds you attach to the likelihood of each scenario actually occurring — Scenarios III & IV may require an improved macro / FX environment, a stabilisation / turn - around in dynamic hedging & currency for return, and / or a possibly more aggressive new business approach.

Additionally, the above mentioned risks are why the stock is so cheap, but does not imply the business is currently worth only 60 % decline in TAF, fraud or a lawsuit related to Fromm, which are all low probability events, I can't see how I am going to lose money.

For July temperature in Moscow, we estimate that the local warming trend has increased the number of records expected in the past decade fivefold, which implies an approximate 80 % probability that the 2010 July heat record would not have occurred without climate warming.

When (If) we are interested in S, it's natural to plot the likelihood versus S, but then we should not equate equal areas with equal probabilities as that would imply a prior uniform in S.

An error - free laboratory measurement of modern fraction does not imply that the problem collapses into a deterministic look - up from the calibration curve — even if the curve is monotonic over the relevant calendar interval — because the curve itself carries uncertainty in the form of the variance related to the conditional probability of RC age for a given calendar date.

All well and good, except the conclusion states, ``... we estimate that the local warming trend has increased the number of records expected in the past decade fivefold, which implies an approximate 80 % probability that THE 2010 July heat record would not have occurred without climate warming.»

The latest report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change notes shortcomings that call into question the decision - support relevance of climate - model output on the space and timescales advertised by UKCIP, and calculating implied probability distribution functions doesn't solve issues of model inadequacy: We often see that there are relevant phenomena our models just can't simulate, and thus, we know that probabilities implied by our models are irrelevant without knowing how to fix them.

But this does not imply that human influence has significantly altered the probability of occurrence or risk of every recently observed weather or climate - related event, or that such events are likely to become significantly more or less frequent in the future.

His implied probabilities describe whether or not my cup will shatter, what the shards will do if it does, and the trajectory of various drops of coffee after the cup lands (so we know which direction to move to avoid coffee splatter).

The probability is high that implied consent suffices, since the legislature did not specific require express consent and consent is not generally taken to mean express consent.