It is
not a predictor of future startup activity.
The reality is that rising volatility as measured by the CBOE Volatility Index, or VIX, «is only a reflection of volatile movements in the market — it is
not a predictor of future returns,» David Kotok, the head of Cumberland Advisors, sent in a Friday note written by Leo Chen Ph.D. to the wealth management firm's clients.
Prophets were
not predictors of future events.
I saw your videos and read your blog about basal metabolic rate and wondered how you interpret this new study which apparently shows that low metabolic rate is
not a predictor of future weight gain: http://ajcn.nutrition.org/content/104/4/959.abstract Guyenet etc seem to be saying this is significant.
Shouldn't you remind people that past performance is
not a predictor of future performance?
It's important to note that past returns aren't predictors of future results.
While historical performance is certainly
not a predictor of future success.
Not exact matches
Though rapid growth can be a
predictor of future success, quite often, says UBC's Hellmann, «these are transitory,
not permanent super-performances.»
Contrary to popular belief, commodity prices are
not the best
predictor of the
future exchange rate for the Canadian dollar, according to new research from the C.D. Howe Institute.
If anything it's an expectations tool,
not a good
predictor of future returns.
Protect yourself from Mr. Market Mr. Market can be speculative and emotional, and he should
not be relied upon as a
predictor of future prices.
Since this site is a new endeavor, you don't yet have historical data to leverage as a
predictor of future performance.
In other words, while those are real gains from an accounting perspective, Buffett himself doesn't laud them as being a
predictor of Berkshire's
future success, and are just a necessary procedure.
But bowl results are
not even slight
predictors of future success.
But we found that measuring their skills in English, while
not perfect, is a helpful
predictor of future success,» said Katie Whiteside, a PhD student in the Department
of Psychology at Royal Holloway, University
of London, the study's lead author.
Most importantly, research shows that video games sharpen visual discrimination skills, spatial thinking, and the ability to visualize and interact with 3D objects — good
predictors of not only academic achievement but
future engagement and success in science, technology, engineering, and mathematics — the STEM fields.
Not surprisingly, teachers who are successful with students in one year tend to be successful in other years; hence, measures
of a teacher's performance in the past tend to be a good
predictor of how well
future students assigned to that teacher will achieve.
But we found that measuring their skills in English, while
not perfect, is a helpful
predictor of future success,» said Katie Whiteside, a PhD student in the Department
of Psychology at Royal Holloway, University
of London, the study's lead author.
Provided the movement
of teachers in and out
of a grade has
not changed the makeup
of students enrolled in that grade, this finding supports the conclusion that measured value - added
of teachers is an unbiased
predictor of future test - score gains, as there appears to be no other explanation for the resulting improvement in test scores.
It is
not enough to show that omitted family characteristics have
not been confounded with value - added as a
predictor of future test - score gains.
Kids who can't read can't do much else, as verbal ability is the No. 1
predictor of college success,
future earnings, and even interpersonal communication.
Resources provided by the CSDE clearly state that characterizing a student's achievement solely in terms
of falling in one
of four categories (levels) is an oversimplification, and that the specific achievement levels should
not be interpreted as infallible
predictors of students»
futures.
But early literacy is
not just a
predictor of children's
future success.
In other words, achievement levels should
not be interpreted as infallible
predictors of students»
futures.
A snapshot
of today verses yesteryear
of what he sees through his own experiences is
not a good
predictor of the
future.
While we know that 10y - trailing are
not always accurate
predictors of future performance, on average they work pretty well because they take advantage
of mean reversion over long timeframes.
While these kinds
of credit decision - making factors may still be alive and well within a particular card issuer's policy criteria (subjective reasons,
not related to credit scoring) or custom credit score developed for its own use, they are
not part
of any widely used credit scoring systems, such as FICO, for a simple reason: such information has
not been shown to be reliable
predictors of future credit risk.
My research shows that while forward P / E ratios are a good
predictor of future returns for NYSE stocks, they are
not as good
predictor of future returns for AMEX and NASDAQ stocks.
Since Don has a proven track record
of producing reasonable gain, I am betting that past performance is a reasonable (but
not guaranteed)
predictor of future performance.
«That tells you that fees are far better
predictors of future return than past returns and that's why fees should be your first screen,
not returns,» says Kinnel.
The problem with magic formula companies is that too many
of the stocks in the top 50 are value traps whose business models aren't sustainable, and are on the list when the past 12 months is a poor
predictor of future returns.
In a 2010 study, Morningstar research associates found that the most reliable
predictor of future performance was
not past performance,
not Morningstar's own star rating system, but mutual fund expenses.
However, be careful as high dividend yields or high dividend growth are
not always
predictors for the
future value or
future growth
of the underlying companies.
This is
not a prediction
of course, just some thoughts that past performance is unfortunately
not a good
predictor of future results...
Reblogged this on Finance and Strategy Thinking and commented: Thanks to Greenbackd.com I came across two highly interesting studies: Conclusions: 1... the Cyclically Adjusted Price Earnings Ratio is a powerful
predictor of future long run performances
of the market
not only for the U.S. but also for countries such us Belgium, France, Germany, Japan, the Netherlands, Norway, Sweden and Switzerland.
We devote the first part
of the paper to the empirical analysis and we show that the CAPE is a powerful
predictor of future long run performances
of the market
not only for the U.S. but also for countries such us Belgium, France, Germany, Japan, the Netherlands, Norway, Sweden and Switzerland.
We can't separate skill from luck because past performance isn't predictive
of future performance, while costs are a good
predictor of future performance.
We are
not suggesting that past performance is irrelevant, only that it's a terrible
predictor of future prospects.
But the climate we've come to expect is
not what it used to be, because the past is no longer a reliable
predictor of the
future.
Past performance is
not an accurate
predictor of the
future, and reliance on historical and current data necessarily involves certain inherent limitations.
Past performance is
not an accurate
predictor of the
future, and so on.
Regrettably we never see the test
of the skill
of the Hansen model against the latter (it clearly has greater skill than either Hansen or the prediction based on the latest observation) because in the past this model hasn't been a good
predictor of the
future.
The past is
not necessarily a
predictor of the
future.
Fair or
not, the past is used as a
predictor of future performance behind the wheel.
It is understood that life success, health and emotional well - being have their roots in early childhood.1, 2 Consequently early childhood development outcomes have become important indicators
of not only the welfare
of children but also
predictors of future health and human capability.
Limitations include attrition, missing data, use
of subjects form a single runaway shelter, adolescents were substance abusing, and family relationships and
predictors associated with
future runaway and homeless episodes might differ among those who do
not abuse alcohol and / or drugs.
The desire to adopt may be a negative
predictor due to the desire for a stable and life - long relationship with this child but
not being sure if this would be possible or if the child could be removed from their care, thereby generating anxiety and feelings
of uncertainty about the
future of the relationship.