Sentences with phrase «not predictors of the future»

It is not a predictor of future startup activity.
The reality is that rising volatility as measured by the CBOE Volatility Index, or VIX, «is only a reflection of volatile movements in the market — it is not a predictor of future returns,» David Kotok, the head of Cumberland Advisors, sent in a Friday note written by Leo Chen Ph.D. to the wealth management firm's clients.
Prophets were not predictors of future events.
I saw your videos and read your blog about basal metabolic rate and wondered how you interpret this new study which apparently shows that low metabolic rate is not a predictor of future weight gain: http://ajcn.nutrition.org/content/104/4/959.abstract Guyenet etc seem to be saying this is significant.
Shouldn't you remind people that past performance is not a predictor of future performance?
It's important to note that past returns aren't predictors of future results.
While historical performance is certainly not a predictor of future success.

Not exact matches

Though rapid growth can be a predictor of future success, quite often, says UBC's Hellmann, «these are transitory, not permanent super-performances.»
Contrary to popular belief, commodity prices are not the best predictor of the future exchange rate for the Canadian dollar, according to new research from the C.D. Howe Institute.
If anything it's an expectations tool, not a good predictor of future returns.
Protect yourself from Mr. Market Mr. Market can be speculative and emotional, and he should not be relied upon as a predictor of future prices.
Since this site is a new endeavor, you don't yet have historical data to leverage as a predictor of future performance.
In other words, while those are real gains from an accounting perspective, Buffett himself doesn't laud them as being a predictor of Berkshire's future success, and are just a necessary procedure.
But bowl results are not even slight predictors of future success.
But we found that measuring their skills in English, while not perfect, is a helpful predictor of future success,» said Katie Whiteside, a PhD student in the Department of Psychology at Royal Holloway, University of London, the study's lead author.
Most importantly, research shows that video games sharpen visual discrimination skills, spatial thinking, and the ability to visualize and interact with 3D objects — good predictors of not only academic achievement but future engagement and success in science, technology, engineering, and mathematics — the STEM fields.
Not surprisingly, teachers who are successful with students in one year tend to be successful in other years; hence, measures of a teacher's performance in the past tend to be a good predictor of how well future students assigned to that teacher will achieve.
But we found that measuring their skills in English, while not perfect, is a helpful predictor of future success,» said Katie Whiteside, a PhD student in the Department of Psychology at Royal Holloway, University of London, the study's lead author.
Provided the movement of teachers in and out of a grade has not changed the makeup of students enrolled in that grade, this finding supports the conclusion that measured value - added of teachers is an unbiased predictor of future test - score gains, as there appears to be no other explanation for the resulting improvement in test scores.
It is not enough to show that omitted family characteristics have not been confounded with value - added as a predictor of future test - score gains.
Kids who can't read can't do much else, as verbal ability is the No. 1 predictor of college success, future earnings, and even interpersonal communication.
Resources provided by the CSDE clearly state that characterizing a student's achievement solely in terms of falling in one of four categories (levels) is an oversimplification, and that the specific achievement levels should not be interpreted as infallible predictors of students» futures.
But early literacy is not just a predictor of children's future success.
In other words, achievement levels should not be interpreted as infallible predictors of students» futures.
A snapshot of today verses yesteryear of what he sees through his own experiences is not a good predictor of the future.
While we know that 10y - trailing are not always accurate predictors of future performance, on average they work pretty well because they take advantage of mean reversion over long timeframes.
While these kinds of credit decision - making factors may still be alive and well within a particular card issuer's policy criteria (subjective reasons, not related to credit scoring) or custom credit score developed for its own use, they are not part of any widely used credit scoring systems, such as FICO, for a simple reason: such information has not been shown to be reliable predictors of future credit risk.
My research shows that while forward P / E ratios are a good predictor of future returns for NYSE stocks, they are not as good predictor of future returns for AMEX and NASDAQ stocks.
Since Don has a proven track record of producing reasonable gain, I am betting that past performance is a reasonable (but not guaranteed) predictor of future performance.
«That tells you that fees are far better predictors of future return than past returns and that's why fees should be your first screen, not returns,» says Kinnel.
The problem with magic formula companies is that too many of the stocks in the top 50 are value traps whose business models aren't sustainable, and are on the list when the past 12 months is a poor predictor of future returns.
In a 2010 study, Morningstar research associates found that the most reliable predictor of future performance was not past performance, not Morningstar's own star rating system, but mutual fund expenses.
However, be careful as high dividend yields or high dividend growth are not always predictors for the future value or future growth of the underlying companies.
This is not a prediction of course, just some thoughts that past performance is unfortunately not a good predictor of future results...
Reblogged this on Finance and Strategy Thinking and commented: Thanks to Greenbackd.com I came across two highly interesting studies: Conclusions: 1... the Cyclically Adjusted Price Earnings Ratio is a powerful predictor of future long run performances of the market not only for the U.S. but also for countries such us Belgium, France, Germany, Japan, the Netherlands, Norway, Sweden and Switzerland.
We devote the first part of the paper to the empirical analysis and we show that the CAPE is a powerful predictor of future long run performances of the market not only for the U.S. but also for countries such us Belgium, France, Germany, Japan, the Netherlands, Norway, Sweden and Switzerland.
We can't separate skill from luck because past performance isn't predictive of future performance, while costs are a good predictor of future performance.
We are not suggesting that past performance is irrelevant, only that it's a terrible predictor of future prospects.
But the climate we've come to expect is not what it used to be, because the past is no longer a reliable predictor of the future.
Past performance is not an accurate predictor of the future, and reliance on historical and current data necessarily involves certain inherent limitations.
Past performance is not an accurate predictor of the future, and so on.
Regrettably we never see the test of the skill of the Hansen model against the latter (it clearly has greater skill than either Hansen or the prediction based on the latest observation) because in the past this model hasn't been a good predictor of the future.
The past is not necessarily a predictor of the future.
Fair or not, the past is used as a predictor of future performance behind the wheel.
It is understood that life success, health and emotional well - being have their roots in early childhood.1, 2 Consequently early childhood development outcomes have become important indicators of not only the welfare of children but also predictors of future health and human capability.
Limitations include attrition, missing data, use of subjects form a single runaway shelter, adolescents were substance abusing, and family relationships and predictors associated with future runaway and homeless episodes might differ among those who do not abuse alcohol and / or drugs.
The desire to adopt may be a negative predictor due to the desire for a stable and life - long relationship with this child but not being sure if this would be possible or if the child could be removed from their care, thereby generating anxiety and feelings of uncertainty about the future of the relationship.
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