We then segment weekly actual minus forecasted T -
note yield differences into: those more than one standard deviation below forecasted yield (Below Lower); those between one standard deviation below and above forecasted yield (Between); and, those more than one standard deviation above forecasted yield (Above Upper).
Not exact matches
Off course, there has been the rise in TIPS» break - even inflation rates (BEIR being the
difference between the
yield on a 10 - year
note and its inflation - protected variety) and evidence of TIPs buying from the likes of retail investors, as evidenced by EPFR's flow insights.
Note that the real interest rates exceed reported for TIPS because I have adjusted
yields to reflect the 35 basis point average
difference between the Consumer Price Index used in calculating TIPS coupons and the Personal Consumption Expenditures deflator targeted by the Fed.
[
Note - Applying this alternate criteria also relaxes the
yield curve criterion (2) so that any
difference of less than 3.1 % between the 10 - year Treasury
yield and the 3 - month Treasury bill
yield is actually sufficient to complete the syndrome].
High
yield (HY) spreads — the
difference between the
yield of a high
yield bond and a Treasury
note of similar duration — are down 2 percentage points from their February peak, as investors buy high
yield bonds.
Meanwhile, one measure of the
yield curve, the
difference between the 10 - Year Treasury
Note rate and the 3 - month Treasury Bill rate, fell by 7 basis points.
Inflation expectations, as measured by the
difference between
yields on 10 - year nominal Treasury
notes and Treasury inflation protected securities (Tips), have risen to 2.25 per cent from a low of around 2.10 a month ago.
To investigate, we define the credit spread as the
difference in
yields between and Moody's seasoned Baa corporate bonds and 10 - year Treasury
notes (T -
note).
He defines this ERP as the retrospective
difference in 10 - year
yield between the broad U.S. stock market and the 10 - year
yield on safe assets such as U.S. Treasury bills or intermediate - term U.S. Treasury
notes.
The credit spread is the
difference in
yields between the 10 - year Treasury
note and Moody's AAA seasoned corporate bonds.
One example would be the
difference in
yield on the five - year
note versus the 30 - year bond.
Note: The effective
yield on such floaters will be lower than than for fixed rate preferreds, the
difference being the cost of interest rate protection.
Thanks for
noting the
difference between a coupon rate /
yield and a compounded annual return.
Their main performance metric is 7 - factor hedge fund alpha, which corrects for seven risks proxied by: (1) S&P 500 Index excess return; (2)
difference between Russell 2000 Index and S&P 500 Index returns; (3) 10 - year U.S. Treasury
note (T -
note)
yield, adjusted for duration, minus 3 - month U.S. Treasury bill
yield; (4) change in spread between Moody's BAA bond and T -
note, adjusted for duration; and, (5 - 7) excess returns on straddle options portfolios for currencies, commodities and bonds constructed to replicate trend - following strategies in these asset classes.
This
difference between the 10 - year Treasury
note yield and the mortgage interest rate is known as the mortgage spread, and it can vary depending on a variety of events.
The above graph shows the
difference in
yields between a current coupon 30 - year FNMA pass - through security, and a 10 - year on - the - run FNMA senior
note.