According to the Nature Conservancy, the region is «so altered that only a few ecologically important examples of natural habitat remain» — and
now climate variability and change my exacerbate the situation.
Not exact matches
Variability is not new to food
and agribusiness, however
climate change, geopolitical instability,
and technological advances are
now impacting the sector more than ever before.
Climate researchers from the Helmholtz Young Investigators Group ECUS at the Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Centre for Polar
and Marine Research (AWI) in Potsdam have
now investigated how temperature
variability changed as the Earth warmed from the last glacial period to the current interglacial period.
Gentine
and his team are
now exploring ways to model how biosphere - atmosphere interactions may
change with a shifting
climate, as well as learning more about the drivers of photosynthesis, in order to better understand atmospheric
variability.
Observed
changes in ocean heat content have
now been shown to be inconsistent with simulated natural
climate variability, but consistent with a combination of natural
and anthropogenic influences both on a global scale,
and in individual ocean basins.
Thanks for publishing this, there are folks who denigrated the work of scientists that claimed a solar -
climate (temperature) link because the
variability in solar energy output just wasn't enough to explain the temperature swings,
and perhaps they
now realize that there could be another mechanism - similar to a transistor where small
changes in gate voltage can affect large
changes in power transmission - whereby solar activity can create significant effects on temperature.
Since there is
now an almost century - long record of these break up dates, it makes sense to look at them as potential indicators of
climate change (
and interannual
variability).
Ironically, while some continue to attack this nearly decade - old work, the actual scientific community has moved well beyond the earlier studies, focusing
now on the detailed patterns of modeled
and reconstructed
climate changes in past centuries,
and insights into the roles of external forcing
and internal modes of
variability (such as the North Atlantic Oscillation or «NAO»
and the «El Nino / Southern Oscillation» or «ENSO») in explaining this past
variability.
In many cases, it is
now often possible to make
and defend quantitative statements about the extent to which human - induced
climate change (or another causal factor, such as a specific mode of natural
variability) has influenced either the magnitude or the probability of occurrence of specific types of events or event classes.»
A more reasonable natural
variability / forcing argument might go something like this: 1) There is natural
variability of
climate due to solar activity 2) Climate is changing now 3) Forcing can result in climate change, but the response of the C cycle to forcing is poorly understood 4) Forcing is happening now 5) Forcing and / or solar activity could be to blame for current warming trends Is this unreas
climate due to solar activity 2)
Climate is changing now 3) Forcing can result in climate change, but the response of the C cycle to forcing is poorly understood 4) Forcing is happening now 5) Forcing and / or solar activity could be to blame for current warming trends Is this unreas
Climate is
changing now 3) Forcing can result in
climate change, but the response of the C cycle to forcing is poorly understood 4) Forcing is happening now 5) Forcing and / or solar activity could be to blame for current warming trends Is this unreas
climate change, but the response of the C cycle to forcing is poorly understood 4) Forcing is happening
now 5) Forcing
and / or solar activity could be to blame for current warming trends Is this unreasonable?
Again, natural
variability has been ignored in order to support a particular point of view, with
climate change advocates leaping on the acceleration to further their cause
and the
climate change sceptics
now using the slowing down to their own benefit.
Tim Ball on global warming: «The
climate is
changing all the time,
and what's going on right
now is well within natural
variability.»
In 1990, two years after NASA scientist James E. Hansen issued his
now famous warning about
climate change during a congressional hearing, Lindzen started taking a publicly contrarian stance when he challenged then - senator Gore by suggesting in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society that the case for human - induced global warming was overstated
and that natural
climate variability could explain things just as easily.
«We don't fully understand how to input things like
changes in the oceans,
and because we don't fully understand it you could say that natural
variability is
now working to suppress the warming,» Jones admitted to the paper, apparently acknowledging what skeptical
climate scientists have been attempting to convey for years.
Favourite plays include hyper - focus on one, extremely speculative study (T&S 09); misrepresenting the potential for abrupt cooling in the C21st, dismissing the dominance of the centennial forced trend, misrepresenting deglacial abrupt
climate change; grossly over-stating the accuracy
and utility of pre-CERES TOA reconstructions (especially the synthetic, non-observational ISCCP - FD reconstruction); hyper - focus on interannual OHC
variability; confusion of cause
and effect with long - term trends in OHC (CO2 forcing denial)
and general inability to see that natural
variability from
now on will be riding up a forced trend which will increasingly dominate
climate behaviour.
Both documented
and undocumented
changes due to man - made interventions, natural
variability,
and climate change have
now been revealed.»
By
now, the EU was taking a keen interest in Dr Pachauri, part - sponsoring (alongside the UK's DFID) a conference in Delhi on «Adaptation to
climate variability and change», organised by TERI.
This global warming,
climate change,
climate variability farce has been going on for over 30 yrs
and is no closer
now to any form of a global agreement than when it first started.
What the paper does focus on, Hansen said, is determining whether extreme weather events like the Texas heat wave can be attributed to
climate variability — the natural ups
and downs in seasonal temperature — or to the global upward trend in summer temperatures that science
now links with
climate change.
Like Prof Curry, Prof Jones also admitted that the
climate models were imperfect: «We don't fully understand how to input things like
changes in the oceans,
and because we don't fully understand it you could say that natural
variability is
now working to suppress the warming.
2) AR4 SYR, p 50, column 1, line 20: After 50 %, insert ``, as a consequence of
climate variability and change» In both places, the
changed statements will
now read, «By 2020, in some countries, yields from rainfed agriculture could be reduced by up to 50 %, ``, as a consequence of
climate variability and change.»