But Unite and others now boast of «their» MPs, and have reportedly tried to seize ever more influence within
a number of Constituency Labour Parties.
David Miliband currently enjoys the support of the largest number of MPs (101, after the Cruddas endorsement) and the highest
number of Constituency Labour Parties (165).
Not exact matches
However, we could adopt a closed primary system where registered
Labour supporters (
of which there are a considerable
number in each
constituency - 1000 or more in many cases) could take part.
As the final
numbers came in, the current leader was said to have secured the backing
of 285
Constituency Labour Parties.
The warped statistics will also mean the boundary changes review coming next year will redraw Britain's electoral map in favour
of the Conservatives, enlarging rural
constituencies and shrinking the total
number of the urban ones with mobile populations that usually favour
Labour.
The Blairist targeting
of Middle England saw a healthy
number of swing
constituencies fall into
Labour's hands.
In a
number of Labour targets,
constituency polls and local election results suggest the party simply does not have enough
of a lead (and sometimes none at all) over the Conservative incumbent.
Backbenchers will request a meeting with Mandelson, hoping to persuade him
of the political arguments against a third runway, and remind him
of the
number of Labour MPs in marginal
constituencies in its vicinity who would suffer at the ballot box.
In the Commons yesterday,
Labour's Jack Straw quizzed Nick Clegg's Tory deputy, Mark Harper, on whether the reduction is seat
numbers would respect historic boundaries and whether the Isle
of Wight would be broken up as a
constituency with a second seat covering people on the island and the English mainland.
The Lib Dem collapse in Wales reached the point where they finished behind the British National party (BNP) in a
number of constituencies, but their five seats could leave them as prospective coalition partners for
Labour.
The reason the boundary changes helped the Tories was that they sharply reduced the
number of constituencies in
Labour's heartlands.
Despite this, further small swings to the party in a
number of Dail
constituencies could see further seat gains being made by
Labour, as the map above suggests.
On these national support figures and assuming they would be contesting at least thirty
constituencies, the
Labour Party would need a lot
of luck to win more than one or two seats in terms
of their total
number of seats at a general election contest.
However, the fractured political landscape (in particular relating to the likely level
of Fine Gael and
Labour seat losses) and the favourable impact
of the boundary changes associated with the 2012
Constituency Commission report means that Fianna Fail would achieve more success in translating these support levels into Dail seat
numbers than they had at the 2011 contest.
In all, a small swing to
Labour (
of 2 %, or less) from other parties could see further seat gains fall into the party's hands in a
number constituencies (highlighted by the yellow shaded
constituencies on the map), with a particular cluster
of these target
constituencies being located in the Munster region.
But on these
constituency - estimate figures outlined in these analyses
Labour Party candidates would find themselves polling below candidates from Sinn Fein, the Socialist Party, the Workers and Unemployed Action Group or the People Before Profit Alliance, or left - leaning independents, in a
number of constituencies.
It could be a routine hold for
Labour in a
constituency they have dominated forever, proving that rumours
of the party's demise have been greatly exaggerated; it could be the route to Westminster for Paul Nuttall (for whom this is the fifth attempt to get into the Commons — still short
of Nigel Farage's
number), heralding the beginning
of a big Ukip surge into working - class
Labour heartlands; it could end up with a very close three -(or even four -, depending on Liberal Democrat performance) way race that shows the new divides in the electorate in the wake
of the Brexit referendum.
Of course Plaid is in serious competition with Labour in Mid and West Wales and in a number of constituencies elsewhere, leading it to differentiate itself from Labou
Of course Plaid is in serious competition with
Labour in Mid and West Wales and in a
number of constituencies elsewhere, leading it to differentiate itself from Labou
of constituencies elsewhere, leading it to differentiate itself from
Labour.
Her
constituency, and the surrounding borough
of Waltham Forest, as well as the neighbouring borough
of Leyton and Wanstead, has a large
number both
of new members, inspired either to join or return to
Labour by Jeremy Corbyn, plus a strong existing network
of leftwing groupings and minor parties.
In our analysis
of the
constituency results, John Curtice, Robert Ford and I noted,»
Constituencies containing a relatively large
number of people working in the public sector proved to be relatively loyal to
Labour.
Labour appears to have been thrown into turmoil by the announcement, which mixed policies they campaigned on at the election with a more radical attempt to reduce the
number of MPs in the Commons, equalise
constituency sizes, get rules on «no confidence» motions on the statute book and introduce an ability for parliament to dissolve parliament.
At
Labour's conference in Manchester next week, delegates will be debating and voting on a
number of key changes to the party's rule book, tabled both by the national executive and by
constituency parties.
So we face three problems: the decline in the
number of people willing to join a political party; the particular impact this has had in safe
Labour seats and some marginals because we organise on a
constituency - by -
constituency basis; and the way in which our organisation focuses on the next Election to the exclusion
of all else.
The cut in the
number of parliamentary seats will fall disproportionately on urban
constituencies in England and Wales —
Labour's heartland — while Individual Electoral Registration will aggravate the social bias
of the electoral registers.
It will be surprising if her party's lead over
Labour is not increased by at least 30 seats, which will probably ensure a Commons majority
of about 90 — a solid foundation for the 2022 election, which will probably be fought in new
constituencies likely to boost the Tory lead over
Labour by at least another 20 seats despite the reduction by 50 in the
number of MPs.
A huge
number of votes for the Scottish Nationalists over
Labour has led to some historic voting swings in formerly solid
Labour constituencies.
The
Labour leader's north London
constituency would be split in two under the sweeping changes, and the
number of MPs cut from 650 to 600.
A
number of MPs campaigned differently from the way their
constituency voted, for example the
Labour MP for Vauxhall, Kate Hoey, who backed Brexit, while only 22 %
of her constituents voted to leave.
Initial proposals put forward today by the Boundary Commission would see approximately 25
Labour - held seats, including Mr Corbyn's Islington North
constituency, abolished, with radical changes to a
number of others.
The Conservatives lost six seats in the capital, losing Battersea, Croydon Central, Enfield Southgate and Kensington to
Labour, who saw its majorities increase in a
number of constituencies.