As is often the case with these proxy reconstructions, the authors found the error bars in the reconstruction (the uncertainty) increased further back in time, due to a decreasing
number of proxy records, and was not useful past 1,450 years ago.
Not exact matches
For stockholders
of record: The
proxy card you received covers the
number of shares to be voted in your account as
of the
record date, including any shares held for participants in the IBM Investor Services Program and Employees Stock Purchase Plans.
If your Shares are held in the name
of a broker, bank, or other nominee and you want to vote in person, you will need to obtain (and bring with you to the 2015 Annual Shareholders» Meeting) a legal
proxy from the
record holder
of your Shares (who must have been the
record holder
of your Shares as
of the close
of business on April 10, 2015) indicating that you were a beneficial owner
of Shares as
of the close
of business on April 10, 2015, as well as the
number of Shares
of which you were the beneficial owner on the
record date, and appointing you as the
record holder's
proxy to vote the Shares covered by that
proxy at the 2015 Annual Shareholders» Meeting.
The small but growing
number of shareholder votes on diversity proposals is on pace to match or exceed the
record set last year, according to data compiled by ISS Analytics, which tracks
proxies.
Their solar estimates were based on a
number of different
proxies and the temperature was taken from the Bradley and Jones Northern Hemisphere
record.
When the researchers compared their results with the output
of a
number of climate models, they found that several
of the newer models that have higher resolution and use updated ice sheet configurations do «a very good job»
of reproducing the patterns observed in the
proxy records.
The afternoon sessions on water isotopes in precipitation was quite exciting because
of the
number of people looking at innovative
proxy archives, including cave
records of 18O in calcite, or deuterium in leaf waxes, which are extending the coverage (in time and space)
of this variable.
Updating the
proxy networks to the present day would
of course be helpful, as would adding to the
number of long (multi-centennial)
records.
An increasing
number of Holocene
proxy records are
of sufficiently high resolution to describe the climate variability on centennial to millennial time scales, and to identify possible natural quasi-periodic modes
of climate variability at these time scales (Haug et al., 2001; Gupta et al., 2003).
In recent decades, a
number of groups have tried combining sets
of these
proxy records together to construct long - term estimates
of global temperature change over the last millennium or so.
The
number of Mann2008
proxy records increases identically as the present is approached (vertical tan bars).
The problem with most
of the discussion here is that so much is treated as certainty when in reality we are drawing
numbers from statistics from
proxy records which are statistics that are loosely correlated with something that might have happened in the past...
«However, a
number of issues specific to the modeling situation could arise in this context, including: how realistically the AOGCM is able to reproduce the real world patterns
of variability and how they respond to various forcings7; the magnitude
of forcings and the sensitivity
of the model that determine the magnitude
of temperature fluctuations; and the extent to which the model was sampled with the same richness
of information that is contained in the
proxy records (not only temperature
records, but series that correlate well with the primary patterns
of variability including, for example, precipitation in particular seasons.»
Temperature reconstructions for periods before about A.D. 1600 are based on
proxies from a limited
number of geographic regions, and some reconstructions are not robust with respect to the removal
of proxy records from individual regions (see, e.g., Wahl and Ammann in press).
The hockey stick shows up in a
number of different
proxy records, as shown in: «A global multiproxy database for temperature reconstructions
of the Common Era»
Such
proxy material as tree rings can not be as accurate as instrumental
records or detailed reconstructions using a variety
of observational material - but there are nevertheless a
number of obvious consequences that those who debate climate as either «realists» or «sceptics» need to face when considering this data;
A recent analysis
of a
number of different
proxy temperature
records suggests that Northern Hemisphere decadal - scale averages over land may have been as much as approximately 0.2 — 0.4 °C above the 1850 — 2006 mean from roughly 950 — 1150 AD (32).
For this reason, the
proxies must be «calibrated» empirically, by comparing their measured variability over a
number of years with available instrumental
records to identify some optimal climate association, and to quantify the statistical uncertainty associated with scaling
proxies to represent this specific climate parameter.
In this article, I will review our current understanding
of Atlantic TC and hurricane trends with respect to: A) the historical
record of basin - wide TC
numbers; B) the historical
record of hurricanes and TC intensity; C) distant past
proxy estimates
of TC (primarily, hurricane only) counts; and D) distant past
proxy measures
of TC / hurricane intensity.
The latter half
of the twentieth century saw the most intense solar magnetic field (by sunspot
number proxy) in the past 400 years since sunspot
records began.