That said there are
a number of sharp money indicators that favor the Wildcats.
Unfortunately our sample size is too small to extract much from the top trends during the Final Four; however, we do have
a number of sharp money indicators for Saturday's games.
Not exact matches
During the regular season, sportsbooks almost always adjust their lines based on the action
of their
sharpest bettors, and they won't move the
number based on public
money unless there's a marquee matchup with one - sided public betting and limited
sharp action on the other side.
Additionally, a
number of betting systems have been triggered on Kansas City, including a Smart
Money Play from Sportsbook.com (7 - 3, +3.55 units), providing further evidence that
sharp bettors like the home dog in this contest.
This game fits into our betting against the public philosophy, but there have been a
number of other
sharp money indicators as well.
In addition to these
sharp money indicators, there are a
number of historical trends which point towards value on the A's.
As readers
of this column know, I always attempt to lay a good
number and follow the
Sharp money.
We did see
sharps come in quickly when the «Canes reached +3.5, which highlights how smart
money can be on both sides
of a game depending on the
number.
It includes real - time odds from over 50 different sportsbooks, public betting trends, betting and dollar percentages, the
number of bets on every game,
sharp money Bet Signals, including steam and reverse line movement alerts, our in - house contrarian plays, plus our exclusive Best Bet picks for all sports — NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NBA, NCAAB.
A
number of betting systems have also been triggered on this game, indicating that
sharp money seriously likes Missouri this week.
In the past we have discussed how bettors can identify
sharp money while betting on the WNBA, but many readers do not realize that we also trigger a
number of profitable WNBA bet signals — particularly from the market - setting sportsbooks.
In addition to these aforementioned
sharp money indicators, Clemson is close to fitting a
number of historically profitable betting systems including our 2014 ESPN Bowl System and our 2015 ESPN Bowl System.
Remember,
sharp bettors are keen on the value
of numbers, so smart
money can be on both sides
of a game.
Not a great omen for the Badgers, and on Friday afternoon they dropped to the key
number of -7 after more
sharp money took the Wolverines.
In addition to these
sharp money indicators, the Raiders fit a
number of profitable betting systems we have previously featured on the blog.
Our goal is to ensure that our readers and subscribers are able to follow this
sharp money, and there are a
number of tricks used to identify what is responsible for line moves across the sports betting marketplace.
Although we typically look for more lopsided betting when we refer to reverse line movement, this 1 - point swing does seem to indicate that
sharp money likes Texas Tech in Saturday's matchup — especially since the line crossed the key
number of 7.
Although there are a
number of steam moves and
sharp money indicators triggered on California, most
of them came when the spread was significantly lower.
Typically we would try to identify reverse line movement as our top
sharp money indicator, but due to the limited
number of bets placed on preseason games that strategy would be illogical.
In addition to this
sharp money indicator, Tampa Bay fits a
number of betting systems that we have previously discussed.
This reverse line movement indicates that
sharp money is taking the Titans, but perhaps more notable is the fact that the line moved past the key
number of 10.
We are also able to utilize a
number of tools available to Sportsbook Insider customers to help identify
sharp money and other historically profitable betting trends.
Knowing which side
sharp money likes is important, but getting the best
number is a huge part
of being a profitable sports bettor.
This week's featured game doesn't feature the same level
of contrarian value, however, we have observed
number of excellent
sharp money indicators.
While it's pretty clear that
sharp money is on Indiana, this game started at the key
number of 7, passed through 6 and 4 and now sits at 3.
With nearly three - quarters
of spread tickets taking the Celtics in this heavily bet game, it's easy to assume that public
money is responsible for this early line movement, however, it's actually
sharp money moving the
number.
Despite the high betting percentage on the Clemson Tigers, the line dipped back to the key
number of -3, indicating that early and
sharp money was on West Virginia.
Secondly, the influx
of public
money causes sportsbooks to adjust their
numbers (assuming
sharp bettors aren't involved).
In other words, sportsbooks almost always adjust their lines based on the action
of their
sharpest bettors, and they won't move the
number based on public
money unless there's a marquee matchup with one - sided public betting and limited
sharp action on the other side.
Similar to our Indiana / Iowa analysis, I'm comfortable projecting that
sharp money is responsible for the line movement, but playing TCU as an 8 - point underdog simply because it's the «
sharp side» would be buying one
of the worst
numbers the betting market has offered so far this week.
Limits were bumped to 25K early, and we do have a good bit
of sharp Falcons
money, but we're just waiting this marinate a bit before considering a move off the key
number.»
In the past we've discussed how bettors can identify
sharp money while betting on the WNBA, but many don't know that we also trigger a
number of bet signals for this under - the - radar sport.
Instead
of adjusting their totals based on public
money, they allow their
sharpest bettors to shape the
number.
Following a move by
sharp money, the
number was pushed down to 3 where the majority
of the
money seems to be coming in on UCLA.
This value
of sharp money feeds into the concept
of «reverse line movement;» knowing where professionals are moving
numbers despite overwhelming public sentiment the other way.
Even so, the $ 1 billion falls far short
of the amount that some biomedical groups feel NIH needs to avoid a
sharp drop in the
number of grants the agency supports next year after the agency's stimulus
money runs out.
The
sharp drop means that tourist
numbers will fall back to fewer than 8m people by year end, who stayed for a shorter period
of time and spent less
money.