Did you ever realise that this is not the result of global cooling or the lack of global warming, but an increased
number of tropical cyclones likely as a result of global warming?
Not exact matches
However it is also
likely — in other words there is a 66 percent to 100 percent probability — that overall there will be either a decrease or essentially no change in the
number of tropical cyclones.
For example, the latest report from the IPCC says while there could be a decrease or no change in the
number of tropical cyclones occurring globally through the 21st century, they are
likely to be stronger when they do strike.
Worldwide there will
likely be an average increase in the maximum wind speed
of tropical cyclones (hurricanes and typhoons)
of 2 to 11 %.6 Because
of the way extremes respond to changes such as these, Category 4 and 5 hurricanes are expected to nearly double in
number by the end
of the century.7 The rate
of rainfall associated with
tropical cyclones, an important factor in flooding, is expected to increase approximately 20 % within 100 km
of the center
of these storms.8
«For the high emissions scenario, it is
likely that the frequency
of hot days will increase by a factor
of 10 in most regions
of the world», said Thomas Stocker the other Co-chair
of Working Group I. «Likewise, heavy precipitation will occur more often, and the wind speed
of tropical cyclones will increase while their
number will
likely remain constant or decrease».
With the slowly increasing SSTs as a result
of global warming, greater
numbers of tropical depressions will
likely form, which, over warm water may mature into
tropical storms, which over even warmer water may strengthen to
tropical cyclones.