The reconstruction all the way back to the year 1400 used 22 proxy data series, although some of the 22 were combinations of larger
numbers of proxy series by a method known as «principal components analysis» (hereafter called «PCA» — see here).
Not exact matches
Questions: Is scaling everything to a normal sd before averaging valid in
proxy production, or do people weight each given regional
series by the
number of trees in that
series before averaging?
«However, a
number of issues specific to the modeling situation could arise in this context, including: how realistically the AOGCM is able to reproduce the real world patterns
of variability and how they respond to various forcings7; the magnitude
of forcings and the sensitivity
of the model that determine the magnitude
of temperature fluctuations; and the extent to which the model was sampled with the same richness
of information that is contained in the
proxy records (not only temperature records, but
series that correlate well with the primary patterns
of variability including, for example, precipitation in particular seasons.»
Mann includes at this site a large
number of temperature
proxy data
series.
Because North America was so heavily represented in the
proxy dataset, Mann choose to use PCA to reduce the
number of series so as not to overweight NA in the resulting reconstruction.
«Alternatively, the
number of proxies can be lowered through a threshold screening process (Mannet al., 2008) whereby each
proxy sequence is correlated with its closest local temperature
series and only those
proxies whose correlation exceeds a given threshold are retained for model building.
I suspect that the Lasso is picking a very small
number of the best
proxies, and picking a slightly larger
number of noise
series.
Of the other two reconstructions, one (Jones et al., 1998) was based on a much smaller number of proxies, whereas the other (Briffa et al., 2001) was based solely on tree ring density series from an expansive area of the extratropics, but reached back only to AD 140
Of the other two reconstructions, one (Jones et al., 1998) was based on a much smaller
number of proxies, whereas the other (Briffa et al., 2001) was based solely on tree ring density series from an expansive area of the extratropics, but reached back only to AD 140
of proxies, whereas the other (Briffa et al., 2001) was based solely on tree ring density
series from an expansive area
of the extratropics, but reached back only to AD 140
of the extratropics, but reached back only to AD 1400.