Not exact matches
Did you ever realise that this is not the
result of global cooling or the lack
of global warming, but an increased
number of tropical cyclones likely as a
result of global warming?
Variations in
tropical cyclones, hurricanes and typhoons are dominated by ENSO and decadal variability, which
result in a redistribution
of tropical storm
numbers and their tracks, so that increases in one basin are often compensated by decreases over other oceans.
Concerning the reanalysis
of tropical cyclones by Kossin et al. (Cimss), I already can tell that the
results will: — not show a near doubling (far from that) in the
number of Cat 4 & 5
tropical cyclones!
Granted, the Oouchi et al. model had some problems simulating the present day
number of tropical cyclones and their intensity, but one could argue that their
results are more believable than those
of the lower resolution AR4 models used in the Vecchi and Soden study.
With the slowly increasing SSTs as a
result of global warming, greater
numbers of tropical depressions will likely form, which, over warm water may mature into
tropical storms, which over even warmer water may strengthen to
tropical cyclones.
there has been no increase in the
number of tropical cyclones and that much
of the perceived change in
numbers is a
result of improved storm detection methods.