Ultimately, we'd like to be able to reproduce the global signatures of these abrupt climate events with
numerical models of the climate system, and investigate the physics that drive such events.»
I'm not claiming this is or isn't a realistic
numerical model of climate response, I'm just trying to accurately describe how the model works.
We know that
the numerical models of climate are examples of temporal chaotic systems.
Not exact matches
Climate models are complex
numerical models based on physics that amount to hundreds
of thousands, if not millions,
of lines
of computer code to
model Earth's past, present and future.
«Using a
numerical climate model we found that sulfate reductions over Europe between 1980 and 2005 could explain a significant fraction
of the amplified warming in the Arctic region during that period due to changes in long - range transport, atmospheric winds and ocean currents.
«The
climate was very tense,» says Marco Alves, head
of numerical modeling at WavEC - Offshore Renewables in Lisbon.
This study is focused on three specific aspects: to assess the impact
of vegetation density on energy efficiency
of a roof located at a Mediterranean coastal
climate; develop a simplified numeral
model that can estimate thermal resistance values equivalent to plants and substrates, and finally, to verify the
numerical model by using experimental data.
The Mathematics
of the Weather is a forum for the discussion
of new
numerical approaches for use in
numerical forecasting,
climate modelling and research into
numerical modelling of the atmosphere.
Axel Timmermann and Tobias Friedrich constructed a
numerical model that quantifies the effects
of past
climate and sea - level change on global human migration patterns over the past 125,000 years.
In addition, atmospheric scientist Dr. Hendrik Tennekes, a scientific pioneer in the development
of numerical weather prediction and former director
of research at The Netherlands» Royal National Meteorological Institute, recently compared scientists who promote computer
models predicting future
climate doom to unlicensed «software engineers.»
Previously, Kelly was a Postdoctoral Fellow and Research Associate at the University
of Washington and the University
of Victoria in British Columbia, Canada where she studied the role
of the changing Arctic sea ice cover on global circulation, weather, and
climate using a hierarchy
of numerical global
climate models.
Connections between
climate and ecosystems, regional impacts and feedbacks
of physical properties and the development
of regional - to - global
numerical models.
A new study shows that the
climate simulated by a
numerical climate model can depend surprisingly much
of what is assumed about the snow grain shapes when computing the reflection
of solar radiation by the snowpack.
Goosse, H., et al., 2002: Potential causes
of abrupt
climate events: a
numerical study with a three - dimensional
climate model.
The visualization covers the period June 2005 to December 2007 and is based on a synthesis
of a
numerical model with observational data, created by a NASA project called Estimating the Circulation and
Climate of the Ocean, or ECCO for short.
Specializing in the parameterization
of land - atmosphere exchange for use in Global
Climate, Regional Mesoscale, and Local Cloud - Resolving
numerical weather prediction
models.
I create parameterizations
of land - atmosphere interactions which are incorporated into
climate models and
numerical weather prediction
models.
It's no secret that
models — not just
of climate, but * all * complex
numerical models!
The 650 MB
of storage you can place on each CD at the time was huge in terms
of numerical data such as
climate models.
The same observations and
numerical tools that enable new scientific discoveries have the potential to transform
modeling of the
climate system.
The lecture gives an overview
of the main components
of global
climate models and explains the underlying basics and the
numerical formulation
of the fundamental equations.
Coverage includes original paleoclimatic, diagnostic, analytical and
numerical modeling research on the structure and behavior
of the atmosphere, oceans, cryosphere, biomass and land surface as interacting components
of the dynamics
of global
climate.
The scientific focus is on better understanding
of climate variability and
climate trends using paleo (past)-
climate data, instrumental data, and
numerical models and theory to assess the importance
of internal and external forcing
of past, present and future
climate.
Sea surface temperature (SST) measured from Earth Observation Satellites in considerable spatial detail and at high frequency, is increasingly required for use in the context
of operational monitoring and forecasting
of the ocean, for assimilation into coupled ocean - atmosphere
model systems and for applications in short - term
numerical weather prediction and longer term
climate change detection.
«The
climate model is run, using standard
numerical modeling techniques, by calculating the changes indicated by the
model's equations over a short increment
of time — 20 minutes in the most advanced GCMs — for one cell, then using the output
of that cell as inputs for its neighboring cells.
I was told by one semi-expert
climate scientist (someone who was in the process
of changing fields to
climate science from a different
numerical modeling field, as so possibly still catching up) that although globally aerosols played the most important role in this period, there was also around the same time period (maybe beginning slightly earlier?
It is clear to me that the
numerical modeling component
of the
climate change controversy has completely lost uncertainty
of knowledge communications.
Very few
of these people would call themselves
climate scientists — they are a collection
of people who study the ocean, air, past
climate,
numerical models, physics, ice, etc..
The US CLIVAR / OCB Southern Ocean Working Group was formed to identify critical observational targets and develop data /
model metrics based on the currently available observational data, both physical and tracer, and the assimilative
modeling (re) analyses, and evaluate and develop our understanding
of the importance
of mesoscale eddies in the heat and carbon uptake and
of the response
of the Southern Ocean to a changing
climate, using high - resolution
numerical studies and theory.
New research by Misra and Mishra in the Journal
of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres shows that differences in the ocean bathymetry (or topography)
of two novel
numerical climate model integrations can influence the ocean currents and their impact on regional
climate.
They constructed a
numerical network
model from 4 observed ocean and
climate indices — ENSO, PDO, the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the Pacific Northwest Anomaly (PNA)-- thus capturing most
of the major modes
of climate variability in the period 1900 — 2000.
ARCTIC-WISE: Bridging Northern Knowledges
of Change Subsea Permafrost and the Methane Cycle on the Siberian Continental Shelf: Predictive
Modelling for
Climate Change David Archer, Geophysical Sciences, University
of Chicago Tuesday, March 10, 2015, 5 - 6:30 pm A
numerical model called SpongeBOB is used to simulate the hydrology and methane cycle on the Siberian continental shelf.
The difference in the climatological mean June - July - August ocean heat content as measured by the depth
of the 20 °C isotherm (in meters) overlaid with corresponding differences in ocean heat transport vectors (W / m) between two
numerical climate models with slightly different bathymetries.
One
of the strongest opponents I know
of this appropriation
of climate models is the preeminent expert in
numerical analysis and dynamical systems, Chris Essex, who himself worked on
climate models for years.
We illustrate the advantages
of our method through theoretical results, simulation studies, temperature records in Paris and outputs from a
numerical climate model.
In our work we use observations as well as a hierarchy
of numerical models to study dynamical processes in the atmosphere, and
climate variability.
I won't repeat what I said on an earlier forum, but a quick look at Paul Williams» presentation on
numerical errors in
climate modeling shows a host
of issues that would lead me to assign a rather high uncertainty to the
model results, and then we have the uncertainties in the physical
models themselves.
You need some way (and I think this may be the biggest issue in
climate models)
of distinguishing
numerical errors and
model errors.
The speaker, a relatively young
climate scientist, presented a piece
of research using
numerical models to assess how various human influences (including but not limited to greenhouse gases) affected a particular aspect
of the 20th century
climate record in the United States.
What is your response to the work
of Paul Williams who has shown the critical importance
of better
numerical methods in
climate models, not just for local error (which everyone acknowledges is large) but for the time averaged properties and «patterns» that are claimed to be meaningful and repeatable.
And different
models may project different outcomes even under the same assumptions, due to the variety
of «equally plausible
numerical representations, solutions and approximations for
modelling the
climate system, given the limitations in computing and observations» [AR5, FAQ 12.1, p. 1036].
That requires considerable sensitivity research with state -
of - the art
numerical weather prediction (and
climate)
models... This hand - waving theory may not hold up when a rigorous scientific hypothesis is tested, yet McKibben does not provide a citation or reference aside from Masters» quotations, which are not peer - reviewed in the slightest.»
«We have groups doing
numerical weather prediction, hurricanes,
climate, oceans, but in the international arena, countries have whole institutions doing the functions
of these individual groups,» said Dr. Ronald J. Stouffer, who designs and runs
climate models at the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory in Princeton, N.J., a top Commerce Department center for weather and
climate work.
Users
of chemistry -
climate models (CCMs) with particular focus on long - term
numerical simulations using CCMs for the detailed investigation
of model feedbacks between ozone chemistry, ozone depleting substance (ODS) trends, and
climate.
A new study shows that the
climate simulated by a
numerical climate model can depend surprisingly much
of what is assumed about the snow grain shapes when computing the reflection
of solar radiation by the snowpack.
In addition, atmospheric scientist Dr. Hendrik Tennekes, a scientific pioneer in the development
of numerical weather prediction and former director
of research at The Netherlands» Royal National Meteorological Institute, recently compared scientists who promote computer
models predicting future
climate doom to unlicensed «software engineers.»
Modern
numerical models of weather and
climate are over half a century old.
Point two suggested an alternative between «This needs to be demonstrated either in the context
of a more comprehensive scale analysis that includes the Navier Stokes equations» and «
numerical model simulations using mesoscale or weather or
climate models.»
In this interdisciplinary review, we are guided by our interest in exploring the nexus between
climate and concepts such as energy, entropy, symmetry, response, multiscale interactions, and its potential relevance in terms
of numerical modeling.
As soon as a global
climate model readjusts a vertical column to unphysically alter the large scale solution in order to maintain hydrostatic balance (overturning due to unrealistic heating parameterizations necessitate this adjustment), there is no mathematical theory that can justify the nature
of the ensuing
numerical solution.