With the freeze season already substantially delayed, there will be knock - on effects for next year's melt season, notes Prof Julienne Stroeve, professor of polar
observation and modelling at University College London and senior research scientist at the NSIDC.
Answering this question requires
observations and modeling at a wide range of scales from the microbial - to the global - scale.
Not exact matches
The strongest research methods for psychological studies are: qualitative findings versus quantitative; experimental rather than descriptive or correlational; controlled - experiment, meta - analysis,
and observation designs over archival, case study, computational
modeling, content analysis, field experiment, interview, neuroimaging, quasi experiment, self - report inventory, random sample survey, or twin study;
and prospective (where subjects are recruited prior to the proposed independent effects being administered)
and longitudinal (where subjects are studied
at multiple time points) rather than retrospective or cross-section study.
Mausumi Dikpati
and her colleagues
at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo., used new
observations of the sun's interior
and new computer simulations to
model the flow of plasma, or electrically charged gas, that carry the sunspots like a conveyor belt until they become powerful enough to burst free
and erupt on the sun's surface.
The
model matches the
observations of slow - moving nebulae by Romanowsky's team, Dekel says, because telescopes would see most of the nebulae
at the farthest
and slowest points of their long orbits.
Mission leaders were relieved
and eager to begin their studies of cloud
and haze effects, which «constitute the largest uncertainties in our
models of future climate — that's no exaggeration,» says Jens Redemann, an atmospheric scientist
at NASA's Ames Research Center in Mountain View, California,
and the principal investigator for
ObseRvations of Aerosols above CLouds
and their IntEractionS (ORACLES).
What he found was that not only were the simulations much closer to actual
observations, but the high - resolution
models were far better
at reproducing intense storms, such as hurricanes
and cyclones.
With the new
model, the simulations
at last matched
observations from IRIS
and the Swedish Solar Telescope; spicules occurred naturally
and frequently.
«Numerical
models and observations go hand in hand in our research,» said Bart De Pontieu, an author of the study
and IRIS science lead
at Lockheed Martin Solar
and Astrophysics Laboratory, in Palo Alto, California.
«Most climate
models that incorporate vegetation are built on short - term
observations, for example of photosynthesis, but they are used to predict long - term events,» said Bond - Lamberty, who works
at the Joint Global Change Research Institute, a collaboration between PNNL
and the University of Maryland in College Park, Md. «We need to understand forests in the long term, but forests change slowly
and researchers don't live that long.»
Based on the
observations, Sahai
and his colleagues Mark Morris of the University of California, Los Angeles,
and Samantha Scibelli of the State University of New York
at Stony Brook developed a
model of a companion star with an accretion disk to explain the ejection process.
«It's also possible to determine how many variables we should include in a mathematical
model whose aim is to reproduce the
observations and to predict the evolution of the system
at hand.»
Eri Saikawa, who studies air pollution
and its health impacts
at Emory University,
and wasn't involved in the new study, plans to use Wiedinmyer's data in a
model to see how it matches
observations in China
and Southeast Asia,
and to see how trash burning might be contributing to the substantial amounts of air pollution there.
For the study, Mahony
and co-author Alex Cannon from Environment
and Climate Change Canada looked
at historical
observations going back to 1901
and global climate
model projections to the year 2100.
The VPL is based
at the University of Washington,
and comprises researchers
at 20 institutions working to understand how telescopic
observations and modeling studies can determine if exoplanets are able to support life, or had life in the past.
Based on earlier
observations and modeling by Falke
and a team of graduate students
and faculty
at CSU, the Arikaree River in eastern Colorado, which is fed by the aquifer
and used to flow about 70 miles, will dry up to about one - half mile by 2045.
«There are
models that predict that [nickel - 48] has such a short lifetime that we should not have been able to see it,
and other
models agree with our
observations because they predict that it lives
at least a few microseconds.»
My view,
and that of my colleagues
at Chicago, Brian Fields
and Craig Copi, is that the quality of the latest
observations places strict constraints on all cosmological
models and requires any new cosmological
model to be as precise as the big bang
model itself.
«Given our
observations and modelling, we infer that P / 2013 P5 might be losing dust as it rotates
at high speed,» says Agarwal.
There are many other atmospheric
observations and models we need to look
at to see how this entire process works.»
Your statement that «Thus it is natural to look
at the real world
and see whether there is evidence that it behaves in the same way (
and it appears to, since
model hindcasts of past changes match
observations very well)» seems to indicate that you think there will be no changes in ocean circulation or land use trends, nor any subsequent changes in cloud responses thereto or other atmospheric circulation.
At this school, we will review physical
models for cloud formation in Solar System planets, exoplanet
observations,
and laboratory studies.
Thus it is natural to look
at the real world
and see whether there is evidence that it behaves in the same way (
and it appears to, since
model hindcasts of past changes match
observations very well).
«We built several
models of equal quality from the photometric data, but we favored a
model made of two lobes since some of the best adaptive optics
observations suggest that the Trojan asteroid has a dual structure,» said Josef Durech, co-author
and researcher
at the Charles University in Prague.
Ongoing radio
observations (SMA, JCMT, VLA) of Sirius A are being used to set an observationally determined standard for stellar atmosphere
modeling and debris disk studies around A stars, as well as to take the first step toward characterizing potential intrinsic uncertainty in stellar emission
at these wavelengths.
After a general trashing of various things including surface
observations and climate
models, he admitted that his prediction for the globally - averaged warming (of ~ 1.5 C by 2100) is within the IPCC range... albeit
at the low end.
Observations of gravitational lensing
at that time already hinted the presence of dark energy, but both due to the small sample size
and large uncertainty in the theoretical
modeling of lensing rates the result was not widely accepted.
The discovery was that Procyon, one of the most studied stars, shows no pulsations
at all, which contradicts 20 years of ideas
and observations,
and forced astronomers to rethink their
models for stars.
ALMA
observations by a team of astronomers led by Nadia Murillo
and Shih - Ping Lai have found the youngest disk around a protostar to date,
at an earlier stage than predicted by most
models.
Most of the focus has been on the global mean temperature trend in the
models and observations (it would certainly be worthwhile to look
at some more subtle metrics — rainfall, latitudinal temperature gradients, Hadley circulation etc. but that's beyond the scope of this post).
Loeb (2012) takes an updated look
at the issue
and finds that, using
observations rather than
modeled estimates, the Earth's energy imbalance is consistent with heat building up with the Earth system.
Given the very rapid warming of the Arctic, I'd like to see a multinational «war room» for
models,
observation,
and a database of solutions, or
at least ways for humans
and other creatures to adapt.
Professor of Economics
and Research Chair in Energy, Ecology
and Prosperity
at the Frontier Centre for Public Policy Dr. Ross McKitrick discusses the wide disparities between the expected results of climate
models and real - life
observations, during an in - depth interview for The New Criterion by Ben Weingarten
This progress report details the status of these interrelated enhancements
and the Large - Eddy Simulation (LES) ARM Symbiotic Simulation
and Observation Workflow
model implementation project (now midway through its two - year duration)
at the Southern Great Plains site that is designed to bridge the scale gap between high - resolution ARM
observations and large - scale climate
models.
In particular, better computer power [is needed] because we do have some
observations and some process understanding, but they happen
at very fine spatial
and temporal scales,
and that's the hardest thing to
model because it takes an enormous amount of computer power.
This method tries to maximize using pure
observations to find the temperature change
and the forcing (you might need a
model to constrain some of the forcings, but there's a lot of uncertainty about how the surface
and atmospheric albedo changed during glacial times... a lot of studies only look
at dust
and not other aerosols, there is a lot of uncertainty about vegetation change, etc).
The reconfiguration strategy included high - resolution enhancements
at its Southern Great Plains (SGP) site
and upgrades
at its North Slope of Alaska (NSA) site that will yield additional
observations to support
modeling and process studies.
When combined with previous
observations, new research with the Heterodyne Instrument for Planetary Wind
And Composition (HIPWAC) joined to the large aperture of the Subaru telescope supports the
model that Titan has currents or jet streams
at high latitudes racing through its upper atmosphere (stratosphere)
at speeds of approximately 756 km / hour (470 miles / hr.).
The ARM Aerosol Measurement Science Group (AMSG) coordinates ARM Climate Research Facility
observations of aerosols
and atmospheric trace gases with user needs to ensure advanced, well - characterized observational measurements
and data products —
at the spatial
and temporal scales necessary — for improving climate science
and model forecasts.
The photodetector array camera
and spectrometer (PACS) aboard the Herschel Space Observatory allows imaging
observations in the far infrared
at unprecedented resolution, i.e.
at better than 6» to 12» over the wavelength range of 60 -LCB- \ mu -RCB- m to 210 -LCB- \ mu -RCB- m. Together with the results from ground - based
observations, these spatially resolved data can be
modelled to determine the nature of the debris
and its evolution more reliably than would be possible from unresolved data alone.
Space research
at our institute is conducted within two Research Programmes: planetary research
and numerical
modelling in Earth Observation,
and ground - based
observations and space weather applications in Arctic Research.
«We are still very uncertain as to the modes of black - hole formation
and growth in the early Universe... so we do not have a leading
model for this
observation to pose problems to,» Chris Willott, an astronomer
at the Canadian Astronomy Data Centre in Victoria, reportedly said.
«We succeeded in resolving the puzzle of apparently contradicting
observations and in offering a predictive
model accounting for materials
and conditions,» said Ilia Valov, principle investigator
at the Electronic Materials Research Centre Jülich.
Excluding participants who reported a doctor diagnosis of depression
at each baseline strengthened the association (
Model 4 for CMD after 5 years, Person
observations = 10944; highest vs. lowest tertile OR; 1.25; 95 % CI 1.03, 1.50; P for trend = 0.02, Supplementary Table S2)
and exclusion of person
observations with extremely high sugar intakes did not affect the results.
The CCRP
model really builds on this
and was borne out of the school collaboratively looking
at different
observation models with staff.
«TORSH Talent's video - based
observation and feedback platform was selected by the PAC program through a competitive bid process as a means of enabling the state of MA to quickly
and efficiently scale its peer coaching
model across the state
at a reasonable cost.
And per our focus this week at Publishing Perspectives, we also are looking at literary agencies and their company practices; at experiments in new models; and at observations and reactions to those experimen
And per our focus this week
at Publishing Perspectives, we also are looking
at literary agencies
and their company practices; at experiments in new models; and at observations and reactions to those experimen
and their company practices;
at experiments in new
models;
and at observations and reactions to those experimen
and at observations and reactions to those experimen
and reactions to those experiments.
After a general trashing of various things including surface
observations and climate
models, he admitted that his prediction for the globally - averaged warming (of ~ 1.5 C by 2100) is within the IPCC range... albeit
at the low end.
You can also account for possible errors in the amplitudes of the external forcing
and the
model response by scaling the signal patterns to best match the
observations without influencing the attribution from fingerprinting methods,
and this provides a more robust framework for attributing signals than simply looking
at the time history of global temperature in
models and obs
and seeing if they match up or not.
BVP simulations do not have such a dependence
and have stable statistics regardless of how they are initialised (
at least for IC perturbations within the range of actual
observations and for the class of
model that was used for AR4).