Moreover, the scientists called for continued support of current and future technologies for ocean monitoring to minimize
observation errors in sea surface temperature and ocean heat content.
Not exact matches
As I point out
in the video, his
observations showed the masses of clusters were too large, but the numbers he got were far too high, and we now know they must have been
in error (or, to be more fair, his uncertainties were too large).
There is something rather than nothing at the root of all we observe and no reason or evidence that our
observations are
in error.
According to Pinnock, purported «
errors»
in the Bible often dissolved when the above
observations were noted.
A first flash of illumination, intuitively accepted despite the risk of
error; and as the intuition was increasingly confirmed by
observation and experiment, it came to be embodied
in the inherited core of human consciousness.
As the evidence and
observations of these FRB anomalies continue to trickle
in, however, astronomers are cautiously optimistic that they have stumbled not across fiction or technical
error, but something much more novel.
Now it's been confirmed after more
observations that reduced the number of
errors in the orbital parameters.
«Prior analyses have found that climate models underestimate the observed rate of tropical widening, leading to questions on possible model deficiencies, possible
errors in the
observations, and lack of confidence
in future projections,» said Robert J. Allen, an assistant professor of climatology
in UC Riverside's Department of Earth Sciences, who led the study.
Until now, studies that challenged the existence of Planet Nine using the data available for these trans - Neptunian objects argued that there had been systematic
errors linked to the orientations of the orbits (defined by three angles), due to the way
in which the
observations had been made.
Or the 2003
observations were
in error, and a few ppb of methane are lingering
in the air from volcanic eruptions or the ultraviolet irradiation of organic - rich cosmic dust drifting into the atmosphere.
Based on model experiments, it has been suggested that
errors resulting from the highly inhomogeneous distribution of ocean
observations in space and time (see Appendix 5.
Wegman confirmed Steve McIntyre's
observations about Manns
errors in calculations and he has also confirmed that «other independent results» are not independent.
After ruling out contamination of DNA samples and other possible sources of
error, we are not able to explain these
observations in any other way,» Siepel says.
However, satellite
observations are notably cooler
in the lower troposphere than predicted by climate models, and the research team
in their paper acknowledge this, remarking: «One area of concern is that on average... simulations underestimate the observed lower stratospheric cooling and overestimate tropospheric warming... These differences must be due to some combination of
errors in model forcings, model response
errors, residual observational inhomogeneities, and an unusual manifestation of natural internal variability
in the
observations.»
Their response ignores the egregious
errors in implementation that we identified, namely the fact that they threw out a majority of the state
observations, miscoded outcome information, and completely confused the sequence of test introduction and achievement measurement
in several states.
Allison also considered the characteristics of the Spelling City app
in relation to the explicit instruction model and then had her student engage
in additional practice after using the app, based upon her
observations of her student's spelling
errors.
Observers committed to reducing
error should consider multiple measurements for teacher evaluation.Yes, Evaluations Can Be Fair and Accurate
In this month's ASCD, Robert Marzano discusses ways to minimize
error and maximize accuracy and fairness when principals, coaches, or other administrators are conducting classroom
observations.
If interested, see the Review of Article # 1 — the introduction to the special issue here; see the Review of Article # 2 — on VAMs» measurement
errors, issues with retroactive revisions, and (more) problems with using standardized tests
in VAMs here; see the Review of Article # 3 — on VAMs» potentials here; see the Review of Article # 4 — on observational systems» potentials here; see the Review of Article # 5 — on teachers» perceptions of
observations and student growth here; see the Review of Article (Essay) # 6 — on VAMs as tools for «egg - crate» schools here; see the Review of Article (Commentary) # 7 — on VAMs situated
in their appropriate ecologies here; and see the Review of Article # 8, Part I — on a more research - based assessment of VAMs» potentials here and Part II on «a modest solution» provided to us by Linda Darling - Hammond here.
If interested, see the Review of Article # 1 — the introduction to the special issue here; see the Review of Article # 2 — on VAMs» measurement
errors, issues with retroactive revisions, and (more) problems with using standardized tests
in VAMs here; see the Review of Article # 3 — on VAMs» potentials here; see the Review of Article # 4 — on observational systems» potentials here; see the Review of Article # 5 — on teachers» perceptions of
observations and student growth here; see the Review of Article (Essay) # 6 — on VAMs as tools for «egg - crate» schools here; and see the Review of Article (Commentary) # 7 — on VAMs situated
in their appropriate ecologies here; and see the Review of Article # 8, Part I — on a more research - based assessment of VAMs» potentials here.
On this note, and «[i] n sum, recent research on value added tells us that, by using data from student perceptions, classroom
observations, and test score growth, we can obtain credible evidence [albeit weakly related evidence, referring to the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation's MET studies] of the relative effectiveness of a set of teachers who teach similar kids [emphasis added] under similar conditions [emphasis added]... [Although] if a district administrator uses data like that collected
in MET, we can anticipate that an attempt to classify teachers for personnel decisions will be characterized by intolerably high
error rates [emphasis added].
We estimate multiple sources of
error variance
in the setting - level outcome and identify
observation procedures to use
in the efficacy study that most efficiently reduce these sources of
error.
In view of recent news concerning a dog that was trapped in error, the Society offers the following observations and suggestion
In view of recent news concerning a dog that was trapped
in error, the Society offers the following observations and suggestion
in error, the Society offers the following
observations and suggestions:
This is a relationship where close
observation of each party's behavior is necessary for progress, and many obstacles
in this puzzle - platformer will necessitate a little trial and
error before they've overcome.
The association of Photorealism to Trompe L'oeil is a wrongly attributed comparison, an
error in observation or interpretation made by many critics of the 1970s and 1980s.
And since we don't have good ocean heat content data, nor any satellite
observations, or any measurements of stratospheric temperatures to help distinguish potential
errors in the forcing from internal variability, it is inevitable that there will be more uncertainty
in the attribution for that period than for more recently.
Since any actual model prediction depends on a collection of hypotheses together, as do the «
observation» and the comparison, there are multiple chances for
errors to creep
in.
Therefore, the contribution of random independent
errors to the uncertainty on the global average SST is much smaller than the contribution of random
error to the uncertainty on a single
observation even
in the most sparsely observed years»
If there is a discrepancy between simulation and
observations, it might be (partly) because of
errors in the forcings or initial conditions or
in some other aspect of the experimental design.
The resulting 3D simulations are then sampled at the locations of OCO - 2
observations to determine the
error in the forward model of atmospheric variations.
You can also account for possible
errors in the amplitudes of the external forcing and the model response by scaling the signal patterns to best match the
observations without influencing the attribution from fingerprinting methods, and this provides a more robust framework for attributing signals than simply looking at the time history of global temperature
in models and obs and seeing if they match up or not.
* Indeed, possible
errors in the amplitudes of the external forcing and a models response are accounted for by scaling the signal patterns to best match
observations, and thus the robustness of the IPCC conclusion is not slaved to uncertainties
in aerosol forcing or sensitivity being off.
That «
observation» is supported by too many other tenacles to be taking down by some small
errors in the weather stations.
It is argued that uncertainty, differences and
errors in sea ice model forcing sets complicate the use of models to determine the exact causes of the recently reported decline
in Arctic sea ice thickness, but help
in the determination of robust features if the models are tuned appropriately against
observations.
Even if one were to stipulate all of the ostensible «
errors» Lewis claims, the only way he is actually able to justify his claim of disagreement with
observations» ICS is by throwing out the observational ICS estimate used
in the paper
in favor of once he likes and obviously likes simply because of their low values.
[Update] Steve McIntyre has some interesting
observations about the reviewer's report as well noting that the main shortcoming /
error of the paper seems to be the fact that it compared
observations with models where «no consistency was to be expected
in the first place».
Optimal detection studies that attempt to separate the responses to solar and other forcings
in observations can also account for gross
errors in the overall magnitude of past solar forcing, which remains uncertain (Chapter 2), by scaling the space - time patterns of response (Section 9.2.2.1).
I note the increasing frequency of papers which either seek to deny / explain the observed 21st century pause / cessation
in warming, either through uncertainty or
observation error.
Moreover, because of the effects of wind speed, evaporation, and precipitation intensity, different types of rain gauge, and
observation techniques induce different
errors in precipitation measurements.
However, these measurements contain non-negligible random
errors and biases owing to the indirect nature of the relationship between the
observations and actual precipitation, inadequate sampling, and deficiencies
in the algorithms.
JAXA boasts that, «we can reduce the
error of the estimated values when we introduce IBUKI's
observation data compared to that of the values calculated
in a conventional way based on ground
observation data.»
Increasing the number of measurements
in this case, does decrease the random component of the instrumental
error by 1 / SQRT (n) where n is the the number of
observations.
In a weekly climate - focused newsletter, the SEPP argued that, «given poor geographic coverage of the surface - air
observations, the movement of
observation points on the surface, and the frequent manipulation of the data by the reporting entities, not clearly publically disclosed, the margin of
error is likely to be well above + / - 0.1 deg C and it is actually unknown.»
In fact, most uncertainties in the alarmist pseudo-science are internal contradictions and consequences of its shoddy practices: cherry picking data, making conclusions based on statistically insignificant observations, declaring trends based on variations that are within error margins, relying on computer models that contradict principles of the information theory, forging forecasts for unreasonably long time periods, etc
In fact, most uncertainties
in the alarmist pseudo-science are internal contradictions and consequences of its shoddy practices: cherry picking data, making conclusions based on statistically insignificant observations, declaring trends based on variations that are within error margins, relying on computer models that contradict principles of the information theory, forging forecasts for unreasonably long time periods, etc
in the alarmist pseudo-science are internal contradictions and consequences of its shoddy practices: cherry picking data, making conclusions based on statistically insignificant
observations, declaring trends based on variations that are within
error margins, relying on computer models that contradict principles of the information theory, forging forecasts for unreasonably long time periods, etc..
A very effective method to solve holistic physical problems, is to summarize all of the
observations / paradoxes / anomalies related to the subject
in question and then use the logic of the
observations / analysis / paradoxes / anomalies to appropriately adjust / modify existing mechanisms, to develop new mechanisms, and to correct fundamental
errors in theory.
Measurement and sampling
errors (derived
in part 1) are larger than
in previous analyses of SST because they include the effects of correlated
errors in the
observations.
Initial condition uncertainty arises due to
errors in the estimate of the starting conditions for the forecast, both due to limited
observations of the atmosphere, and uncertainties involved
in using indirect measurements, such as satellite data, to measure the state of atmospheric variables.
(
In addition the relative weights of the
observations vary, and this adds an additional factor to the resulting estimate of the uncertainty from uncorrelated part of the
errors.)
In a 30 - yr historical evaluation period, Climdex indices computed from 800 - m simulated values display reduced error relative to local station observations than those from the 10 - km dataset, with the greatest reduction in error occurring at high - elevation sites for precipitation - based indice
In a 30 - yr historical evaluation period, Climdex indices computed from 800 - m simulated values display reduced
error relative to local station
observations than those from the 10 - km dataset, with the greatest reduction
in error occurring at high - elevation sites for precipitation - based indice
in error occurring at high - elevation sites for precipitation - based indices.
But
in the meantime, I have a couple of
observations (feel free to correct
errors in my interpretation).
By that analysis the CAGWists are not practicing science
in the Aristotelian sense; that would be what causes all their repeated and widespread Aristotelian logical
errors and refusal to accept opposing skeptical dialog on Earthly reality / Earthly
observations and Earthly arguments.