Sentences with phrase «observational probability density»
Regression of ECS on the strength of the relationship between TLC reflection variability and SST with models weighted by how «good» they are, using either Brient & Schneider's model weightings or those derived directly from model likelihoods given the observational probability density, explains almost none of the intermodel variance in ECS.
https://judithcurry.com/ Not exact matches
One recent paper (Libardoni and Forest, 2011) has addressed how alternative observational records of surface temperature changes have an impact on the probability density distributions.
This time round we have had some minor concessions to observational estimates, but a significant proportion of the probability density of the observational studies remains outwith the IPCC's likely range of 1.5 - 4.5 °C.