The study was based on
observational records by a team around Irene Bender and Matthias Dehling of the fruit choices of birds in the Manú Biosphere Reserve on the western slopes of the Andes in Peru.
Not exact matches
Those heat extremes, the hottest in the country's
observational record, were likely caused
by man - made climate change, according to a new study accepted for publication in the journal Geophysical Research Letters.
We've narrowed the uncertainty in surface warming projections
by generating thousands of climate simulations that each closely match
observational records for nine key climate metrics, including warming and ocean heat content.»
By imputing
observational data
recorded around the world, they studied the effect this pollutant might have on the Northern Hemisphere.
Neither did I until I took a look at the new «National
Observational Teaching Exam,» or NOTE, brought to you
by the Educational Testing Service (ETS)-- the same company that brings us the Graduate
Record Exam (GRE), the SAT, the PRAXIS tests, the AP Exams, and the National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP).
They do this
by seeing whether the same result is seen in other simulations, with other models, whether it makes physical sense and whether there is some evidence of similar things in the
observational or paleo
record.
Mike's work, like that of previous award winners, is diverse, and includes pioneering and highly cited work in time series analysis (an elegant use of Thomson's multitaper spectral analysis approach to detect spatiotemporal oscillations in the climate
record and methods for smoothing temporal data), decadal climate variability (the term «Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation» or «AMO» was coined
by Mike in an interview with Science's Richard Kerr about a paper he had published with Tom Delworth of GFDL showing evidence in both climate model simulations and
observational data for a 50 - 70 year oscillation in the climate system; significantly Mike also published work with Kerry Emanuel in 2006 showing that the AMO concept has been overstated as regards its role in 20th century tropical Atlantic SST changes, a finding recently reaffirmed
by a study published in Nature), in showing how changes in radiative forcing from volcanoes can affect ENSO, in examining the role of solar variations in explaining the pattern of the Medieval Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age, the relationship between the climate changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global sea level, and even a bit of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measurements).
Since our
observational record is far to short to have documented any D - O event previously, we could be «blindsided»
by the onset of such a phenomenon.
A typo in mine at # 25 is where 40,000 m3 should read 400,000 m3, and an addendum is the reference for the forcing from the Albedo Loss feedback shown in the satellite
record: «
Observational determination of albedo decrease caused
by vanishing Arctic sea ice» See: http://eisenman.ucsd.edu/publications/Pistone-Eisenman-Ramanathan-2014.pdf
And I'd have to say that if I have to save my life
by winning an argument with oil men in a bar in Midland, Tex., on this topic, I would go in with some lumps of black mudstone from the ancient rock
record, I'd go in with the established figures on our present input of carbon dioxide, and I'd say which bit of this
observational science do you guys quarrel with, and why?
The day -
by - day, month -
by - month, year -
by - year, etc. sequencing of values, however, will not correspond to observations, since climate models solve a «boundary value problem» and are not constrained to reproduce the timing of natural climate variability (e.g., El Niño - Southern Oscillation) in the
observational record.
According to NOAA's 2016 Arctic Report Card, the average annual surface air temperature anomaly (+3.6 °F / 2.0 °C relative to the 1981 - 2010 baseline) over land north of 60 ° N between October 2015 and September 2016 was
by far the highest in the
observational record beginning in 1900.
Observational records show that anthropogenic - influenced climate change has already had a profound impact on global and U.S. warm season climate over the past 30 years, and there is increasing contrast between geographic regions that are climatologically wet and dry - the hypothesis that the «wet gets wetter, dry gets drier» is seen in a new paper
by Chang et al..
It is likely that all of these have left their mark on the climate signal, but the room within which they may have operated is limited
by the reasonably close approximation between the known non-chaotic signals and the
observational record.
«To some extend», because the limited length of the
observational record does not allow any estimate of very rare events, which in contrast can be done
by a long model integration.
Individual
observational temperature
records are represented
by coloured lines.
By these measures, the CESM - LE produces a credible NAO, given the length of the
observational record available for assessment.
The
observational record, which of course was affected
by these other variables, showed a greater divergence from a smooth curve during some intervals, but the difference from the simulations was not extreme.
The uncertainties in the
observational records are discussed in detail in Section 3.4.1 and
by Karl et al. (2006).
The more direct measure of global warming provided
by measuring the energy content of the climate system avoids many of these problems, although the
observational record is shorter and less complete (e.g. Church et al 2011).
The study of solar cycles and their climatic effect is hampered
by a very short
observational record (~ 400 years), an inadequate understanding of the physical causes that might produce centennial to millennial changes in solar activity, and an inadequate knowledge of how such changes produce their climatic effect.
This technical document provides guidelines with the aim to provide managers and operators of climate monitoring networks with a set of recommended procedures / practices
by which change can be managed in the
observational programs in a manner that best maintains the required integrity of the climate
record.
One of the
observational records employed in the GISS analysis is the Global Historical Climatology Network (GHCN) data set for surface air temperature at meteorological stations, which is maintained
by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) National Climatic Data Center (NCDC).
Pepijn Bakker and colleagues combine
observational records of iceberg - rafted debris with climate models to show that the climate fluctuations seen during the Holocene may have been driven
by small variations in the discharge of freshwater from the Antarctic Ice Sheet, amplified through the climate system.
With this being the «warmest winter on
record» per the warmers and this now doccumented
record snow extent, there is certainly enough
observational evidence to further research my theory that the rise of man made CO2 in the atmosphere has increased the freezing point of water
by about 5degrees F.
JAMES SCHOOL, Shamrock, NJ 6/2011 to 6/2012 Special Needs Assistant • Assisted the teacher in creating and implementing effective lesson plans for each child • Provided support in building a sympathetic environment in the classroom • Helped the teacher apply safety measures to ensure the physical wellbeing of each student • Created individual student
records and managed documentation on each student • Helped the teacher supervise the students during recess and outdoor activities • Assisted the teacher in assessing and evaluation each child
by providing them with
observational feedback