Of course plotting accurate instrumental or
observational records becomes progressively less feasible as it is taken further back in time.
Not exact matches
But from an email conversation with Francis, Vavrus, and several other atmospheric scientists this week, it
became clear that there may be more questions than answers at this point, given the large amount of natural variability that affects winter weather patterns, and the very short
observational record of how the atmosphere responded to extreme losses of sea ice (only five winters of
records since 2007).
Furthermore, as the length of the
observational series
become longer, the probability of seeing new
record - events diminishes and the expected number of
records gradually declines.
As early as February 2016, climate scientists were making evidence - based predictions that 2016 would
become the hottest year in the
observational record.
But from an email conversation with Francis, Vavrus, and several other atmospheric scientists this week, it
became clear that there may be more questions than answers at this point, given the large amount of natural variability that affects winter weather patterns, and the very short
observational record of how the atmosphere responded to extreme losses of sea ice (only five winters of
records since 2007).