Arbetter, 4.7, Statistical A statistical model using regional
observations of sea ice area and global NCEP air temperature, sea level pressure, and freezing degree day estimates continues the trend of projecting below - average summer sea ice conditions for the Arctic.
Passive microwave
observations of the sea ice area are well validated and reliable.
Not exact matches
Total
sea ice cover on the Arctic Ocean peaked on March 7, satellite
observations show, reaching a total
area of 14.42 million square kilometers.
1) Japanese
observations in the
Sea of Okhotsk from 1934 (note that this
area is relatively southerly, so if there's
ice there, we can be quite sure there is lots
of ice elsewhere):
One
of the difficulties using charts based on in situ
observations is that there was very little exploration poleward
of the «marginal
ice zone» (the
area of partial
sea ice cover near the
ice edge), so in older reconstructions the
ice concentration was often assumed to be 100 % beyond the marginal zone.
Or you could plot the fourth powers
of the temperatures in K, approximate a uniform function that fits both periods taking into account what
observations from
sea ice and land
area deglaciation and humidity levels tell us, and derive a metric.
Werner's
observation follows the announcement in September by the National Snow and
Ice Data Center that the surface area of Arctic sea ice had reached a new low in 2012, breaking a previous record reached in 20
Ice Data Center that the surface
area of Arctic
sea ice had reached a new low in 2012, breaking a previous record reached in 20
ice had reached a new low in 2012, breaking a previous record reached in 2007.
Within the Outlook project, there may be differences in how each group obtains their
area (e.g., model grid cells
of varying resolution,
sea ice charts, and satellite
observations); each
of these could produce a different value for
ice extent.
In addition, the
area of sea ice in the control run exceeds
observations, which may increase the modelled sensitivity in the 1 — 4 × CO2 range.
In 1974, newly available satellite
observations unveiled the presence
of a giant
ice - free
area, or polynya, within the Antarctic
ice pack
of the Weddell
Sea, which persisted during the two following winters1.
«It is unlikely that coastal cities or low - lying
areas such as Bangladesh, European lowlands, and large portions
of the United States eastern coast and northeast China plains could be protected against such large
sea level rise,» states a report co-authored by Hansen, titled «Ice Melt, Sea Level Rise and Superstorms: Evidence from Paleoclimate Data, Climate Modeling, and Modern Observations that 2 °C Global Warming is Highly Dangerous&raqu
sea level rise,» states a report co-authored by Hansen, titled «
Ice Melt,
Sea Level Rise and Superstorms: Evidence from Paleoclimate Data, Climate Modeling, and Modern Observations that 2 °C Global Warming is Highly Dangerous&raqu
Sea Level Rise and Superstorms: Evidence from Paleoclimate Data, Climate Modeling, and Modern
Observations that 2 °C Global Warming is Highly Dangerous».
Ship - based
observations from the NASA Icescape cruise with USCG Healy (Perovich and Polashenski) indicate that the
ice cover in the Chukchi
Sea is in an advanced state
of melt with melt ponds melted through in many
areas and
ice thicknesses on the order
of 1m (Figure 3).