Of course, he still claims to have more confidence in astronomical
observations than climate science, but as he put it:
Not exact matches
Over the last five years, the BAMS report has examined more
than 100 events as part of a burgeoning sub-field of
climate science that uses
observations and
climate models to show how human - caused warming has already affected the odds or severity of many of the weather extremes we experience now.
[Response: Experiments and
observations in
climate science are far less controlled
than the neutrino experiment, and yet you think that they somehow rise to the level of unchallengeable?
All in all the
science of hurricanes does appear to be much more fun and interesting
than the average
climate change issue, as there is a debate, a «fight» between different hypothesis, predictions compared to near - future
observations, and all that does not always get pre-eminence in the exchanges about models.
It continues a dangerous president in
climate science to make up data in regions that requires guess work rather
than observations.
Climate science is the only
science of which I'm aware (and my graduate training is in atmospheric
science) where the observed data are consistently altered to conform to the theory, rather
than the theory revised to conform to actual temperature
observations and data.
Climate science, like other branches of
science such as astronomy, relies on
observation rather
than experimentation.
You seem to generally accept WG1 as the «best available summary» of
climate science today, while I am more skeptical, particularly with regard to its understatement of uncertainty, its myopic fixation on anthropogenic
climate forcing, its superficial handling of natural
climate forcing factors and its many exaggerations or distortions, which go toward making AGW look more alarming
than is really supported by the physical
observations.
Andrew Montford's
observation comes in response to an article by Gavin Schmidt, in which he apparently shows more reflection on the problems of
science and advocacy
than I would have expected, given his robust statements about «deniers», and his refusal to debate with more sceptical
climate scientists in the past, and his impatience with his scientific critics, to the delight of
climate activists.
This bizarre notion that models are somehow more reliable
than empirical
observation is NOT just a
climate science thing.
However, I am overjoyed that my despicable tactics, such as deconstructing bad
science and investigating the
climate through
observations rather
than models, have driven you to exclamations marks!
Rather
than seeing
climate science self - correct, most
climate modelers are pretending these
observations have not been made.
A mismatch between them can arise from a mis - specification of any of these components and
climate science is full of examples where reported mismatches ended up being due to problems in the
observations or forcing functions rather
than the models (ice age tropical ocean temperatures, the MSU records etc.).