Sentences with phrase «observed global rate»

That is almost twice the observed global rate of 0.5 to 0.7 inches per decade over a similar time period.

Not exact matches

That some of the forces governing capital flows and asset values are driven not by market - determined expected return but by policy measures directed at, for example, an exchange rate objective means that at least some of what we observe in global capital markets may be attributed to these distortions.

http://www.nzma.org.nz/journal/120-1250/2441/ http://infoproc.blogspot.com/2007/01/metric-on-space-of-genomes-and.html Also, note global crime rates are consistent with the rates observed by Liddle.

«The global ocean observing system has become stalled; it is not progressing at the rate that is necessary,» said Ed Hill, executive director of Southamption, Britain's National Oceanography Centre.

To be more specific, the models project that over the next 20 years, for a range of plausible emissions, the global temperature will increase at an average rate of about 0.2 degree C per decade, close to the observed rate over the past 30 years.

In 2004, Paul Epstein of Harvard Medical School's Centre for Health and the Global Environment, and James McCarthy of Harvard University, claimed: «We are already observing signs of instability within the climate system -LSB-...] there is no assurance that the rate of greenhouse gas build up will not force the system to oscillate erratically and yield significant and punishing surprises.»

The observed and projected rates of increase in freshwater runoff could potentially disrupt ocean circulation if global temperatures rise by 3 to 4 °C over this century as forecast by the IPCC 2001 report.

It's a start, but we should be observing a global response that would really crash the emission numbers instead of possibly reducing the rate of increase or producing several years of flat emission numbers.

But a strong signal is found in proportions of both weaker and stronger hurricanes: the proportion of Category 4 and 5 hurricanes has increased at a rate of ~ 25 — 30 % per °C of global warming after accounting for analysis and observing system changes.

The contribution from glaciers and ice caps (not including Greenland and Antarctica), on the other hand, is computed from a simple empirical formula linking global mean temperature to mass loss (equivalent to a rate of sea level rise), based on observed data from 1963 to 2003.

Boyce observed that coal has been the world's fastest - growing fuel this past decade, with demand growing at nearly twice the rate of natural gas and hydro power and more than four times faster than global oil consumption.

Preliminary analysis had already observed that the amount of research endorsing human caused global warming was increasing at an accelerating rate.

Continued greenhouse gas emissions at or above current rates would cause further warming and induce many changes in the global climate system during the 21st century that would very likely be larger than those observed during the 20th century.

However, with improving techniques, researchers recently estimated total submarine groundwater (saline and fresh water combined) discharges suggesting a rate 3 to 4 times greater than the observed global river runoff, or a volume equivalent to 331 mm / year (13 inches) of sea level rise.

Tamino at the Open Mind blog has also compared the rates of warming projected by the FAR, SAR, and TAR (estimated by linear regression) to the observed rate of warming in each global surface temperature dataset.

It may be worth considering that if climate models are underplaying the actual amount of Arctic sea ice loss, and if Arctic sea ice loss is a positive feedback on global temperature, then, the observed rate of Arctic sea ice loss ought to be applying a warming pressure over and above that from greenhouse gas emissions.

If you're referring to modern sensitivity, Steven, I would agree because it is so strongly influenced by the high rate of global warming, creating a huge gap between theoretical and observed sensitivity.

Climatologist and lead author Colin Kelley notes in an article he cowrote for the International Peace Institute, «three of the four most severe multiyear droughts in Syria's observed record occurred during the last 30 years, when the rate of global carbon emissions has seen its largest increase.»

The input of assumed anthropogenic aerosol cooling is needed because the model «ran hot»; i.e. it showed an amount and a rate of global warming which was greater than was observed over the twentieth century.

«It is very likely that the rate of global mean sea level rise during the 21st century will exceed the rate observed during 1971 — 2010 for all Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios due to increases in ocean warming and loss of mass from glaciers and ice sheets.

This is based on the high correlation (r = 0.88) of the observed Global Mean Temperature Anomaly (GMTA) to be represented by cyclic global mean temperature pattern with an overall linear warming rate of 0.6 deg C per century as shown Global Mean Temperature Anomaly (GMTA) to be represented by cyclic global mean temperature pattern with an overall linear warming rate of 0.6 deg C per century as shown global mean temperature pattern with an overall linear warming rate of 0.6 deg C per century as shown below:

Global warming must be the primary cause of glacier retreat, which is occurring on a global scale, but observed rapid melt rates suggest that other factors may be invGlobal warming must be the primary cause of glacier retreat, which is occurring on a global scale, but observed rapid melt rates suggest that other factors may be invglobal scale, but observed rapid melt rates suggest that other factors may be involved.

Temperatures on the Tibetan Plateau — sometimes called Earth's «third pole» — have warmed by 0.3 °C (0.5 °F) per decade over the past 30 years, about twice the rate of observed global temperature increases.

For 46 % of the surface of the global oceans (about 33 % of the surface of the planet), the models doubled the observed warming rate.

It's obvious that global sea surfaces simulated by the GISS climate model were warmer than observed and that the GISS model warming rate is too high over the past 3 decades.

The JGR paper is full of «might have», «may have», «could have» caveats along with «Its comparison with available bottom water measurements shows reasonably good agreement, indicating that deep ocean warming below 700 m might have contributed 1.1 mm / yr to the global mean SLR or one - third of the altimeter - observed rate of 3.11 ± 0.6 mm / yr over 1993 — 2008.»

«It is very likely that the rate of global mean sea level rise during the 21st century will exceed the rate observed during 1971 — 2010 for all RCP scenarios... with a rate of rise 8 — 15 mm yr — 1 over the last decade of the 21st century) for RCP8.5.»

Since 1992, the rate of global sea level rise measured by satellites has been roughly twice the rate observed over the last century, providing evidence of acceleration.

The authors observe that wide variations in rates of tectonic uplift and subsidence in different locations around the world at particular times mean no effective coastal management plan can rest upon speculative computer projections regarding an idealised future global sea level, such as those provided by the United Nations» Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

Because in the temperature record, in a 10 year period, a global warming rate of 0.37 deg C per decade was never observed.

IPCC overestimate temperature rise «The IPCC's predicted equilibrium warming path bears no relation to the far lesser rate of «global warming» that has been observed in the 21st century to date.»

When the paper's four authors first tested the finished model's global - warming predictions against those of the complex computer models and against observed real - world temperature change, their simple model was closer to the measured rate of global warming than all the predictions of the complex «general - circulation» models (see the picture which heads this post).

If we take a further step and consider the atmospheric state at a location (or even the global average) with respect to temperature or precipitation, we may observe that physics does not imply any preservation law for temperature (the total energy is preserved, not temperature) or for precipitation (the total water balance is preserved, not the rate of precipitation).

October 2006: Reported on 2006 Arctic sea ice minimum and its global warming significance; collaborated on an analysis of the predicted and observed sea ice decline rates with J. Stroeve, W. Meier, M. Holland, and T. Scambos.

Dekker (Public), 4.60, (4.15 - 5.05 standard deviation range), Statistical Arctic sea ice decline has global implications for Northern Hemisphere weather patterns and Arctic eco systems and wild life alike, and thus it is concerning that our global climate models so far appear to underestimate the observed rate of decline based on albedo amplification of sea ice alone.

Aubry notes that while the planet continues to warm, scientists have observed a slight decline in the rate of global warming over the last 10 to 15 years.

In 2004, Paul Epstein of Harvard Medical School's Centre for Health and the Global Environment, and James McCarthy of Harvard University, claimed: «We are already observing signs of instability within the climate system -LSB-...] there is no assurance that the rate of greenhouse gas build up will not force the system to oscillate erratically and yield significant and punishing surprises.»

When the likely impact of climate change on the global economy is considered, a more rapid decline of the discount rate is observed than in previous work.

The current rate of global warming, faster than any observed in the geological record, is already having a major effect in many parts of the world in terms of droughts, fires, and storms.

It shows how the observed rate of global warming compares with the rate of global warming projected to have occurred by the collection of climate models used by the IPCC.

Because the observed and predicted rate of increase in greenhouse gas concentrations and global warming is faster than seems to have happened during the Last Interglacial may mean that we are heading into uncertain territory.

The speedometer for the 15 years 4 months January 2001 to April 2016 shows the [1.1, 4.2] C ° / century - equivalent interval of global warming rates (red / orange) that IPCC's 1990, 1995 and 2001 reports predicted should be occurring by now, compared with real - world, observed warming (green) equivalent to less than 0.5 C ° / century over the period.

The observed global - warming rate has been nonuniform, and the cause of each episode of slowing in the expected warming rate is the subject of intense debate.

«We observe declines [in phytoplankton] in eight out of ten ocean regions, and estimate a global rate of decline of ~ 1 % of the global median per year.

A study of observational data sets from the World Glacier Monitoring Service (WGMS) concluded that «rates of early 21st - century mass loss are without precedent on a global scale, at least for the time period observed and probably also for recorded history» (Zemp et al. 2015).

6) Over the last two decades the observed rate of increase in GMST -LCB- global mean surface temperature -RCB- has been at the lower end of rates simulated by CMIP5 models (Figure11.25 a).

From 1993 to 2012, the «global mean surface temperature... rose at a rate of 0.14 ± 0.06 °C per decade,» and the observed warming over the last 15 years of the period was, «not significantly different from zero.»

However, according to the IPCC AR5, the average rate of global sea level rise over the 21st Century will very likely exceed that observed during 1971 - 2010 for a range of future emission scenarios.

For the last 50 years, global temperature rose at an average rate of about 0.13 °C (around one - quarter degree Fahrenheit) per decade - almost twice as fast as the 0.07 °C per decade increase observed over the previous half - century.

In a statement to the British House of Lords, Lord Hunt of King's Heath said «Observations collated at the Met Office Hadley Centre and the University of East Anglia Climate Research Unit indicate that the rate of increase in global average surface temperature between 1975 and 1998 was similar to the rates of increase observed between 1860 and 1880 and between 1910 and 1940 (approximately 0.16 C ° per decade).»