While the AMO has not changed much in the past 10 years, the strong increase in North Atlantic temperatures between 1970 and 2000 may have contributed to the rapid rise in global temperatures over that period, and the leveling - out of the AMO may help make
the observed pause in warming more likely.
Not exact matches
The study also examined anomalies during the «
pause»
in global
warming that scientists have
observed since 1998.
I note the increasing frequency of papers which either seek to deny / explain the
observed 21st century
pause / cessation
in warming, either through uncertainty or observation error.
If IPCC are right, and the current «
pause» will reverse itself at the end of this year, back to the
observed warming trend (0.11 ºC per decade since 1990), it will take 27 years for this to happen, i.e. by 2041, or a bit sooner than predicted by IPCC
in 1990.
First, their arguments for no significant discrepancy between modeled and
observed GMST changes and for no
pause in recent global
warming contradict the widely accepted fact and conclusion that were reported
in the recent literature extensively.
Keeping the
observed oscillation
in mind, the last significant
warming ended with a peak
in 1998 (the peak during 2010 was a very close second) and temperatures have since
paused.
The other being the present length of the
pause in light of Santer 2011 (need 17 years) and McKittrick 2014 (16, 19, or 26 years of no
observed warming).
The «
pause» and the many observation - based studies showing a much lower 2xCO2 ECS than previously predicted by the models cited by IPCC
in AR4, gave IPCC the possibility for a paradigm shift to refocus away from its CAGW premise to one of reduced
warming projections based on the lower
observed CO2 sensitivity.
A new research by NASA has revealed that extra heat from greenhouse gases were trapped
in the Indian and Pacific oceans
in recent years and this could likely be the cause of the so - called
pause in global
warming that was
observed over the past decade.
A new NASA study offers an explanation to the so - called
pause in global
warming observed over the past few years.
It addressed a so - called
pause in global
warming that scientists had
observed from 1998 to 2012.