Sentences with phrase «observed probability density»

Not exact matches

A number of subsequent publications qualitatively describe parameter values that allow models to reproduce features of observed changes, but without directly estimating a climate sensitivity probability density function (PDF).

Also, I note that by common usage the term «abrupt» (w.r.t. SLR) implies that «mainstream» experts would be surprised to observe such a response to AGW; nevertheless, the Earth's circulatory steams are inherently chaotic, and chaos theory clearly demonstrates that such systems can be subject to «strange attractors» that can increase the probability of occurrence of phenomenon towards the tail of a «fat - tailed» probability density function (PDF), such as that shown in Figure 3.

In the IPCC's Fourth Assessment Report (AR4), an appendix to WGI Chapter 9, «Understanding and attributing climate change» [i], was devoted to these methods, which provided six of the chapter's eight estimated probability density functions (PDFs) for S inferred from observed changes in climate.

The green line on the horizontal axis indicates the probability density function (PDF) of the observed natural fluctuations.

The Wikipedia definition of the likelihood function is reasonable: the likelihood of a set of parameter values given some observed outcomes is equal to the probability [density] of those observed outcomes given those parameter values.