A new study published in the Nature Geosciences journal this week by largely UK - based climate scientists has led to claims in the media that climate models are «wrong» and have significantly overestimated
the observed warming of the planet.
The paper caused quite a stir, with parts of the media claiming that climate models — the basis for carbon budget estimates — are «wrong» and have overstated
the observed warming of the planet.
Scientists keep track of natural forcings, but
the observed warming of the planet over the second half of the 20th century can only be explained by adding in anthropogenic radiative forcings, namely increases in greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide.
Carbon dioxide is a greenhouse gas and we can demonstrate clearly that
the observed warming of the planet would not have occurred without that change in atmospheric composition.
Not exact matches
According to Wordsworth, «Even then, however, the
warm / wet early Mars does not explain the patchwork
of Martian water erosion features and valley networks
observed on the
planet today, and why these features tend to be concentrated near the
planet's equator.»
«There is no agreement among climatologists as to the relative contributions
of Man and Nature» to the
warming of the
planet that has already been
observed, they claim.
As the
planet warms, scientists have
observed a radical disruption in the geographic distribution
of thousands
of animals and plants, which has unknown consequences for species survival.
Such a tendency is
observed with other variables and is consistent with model projections
of a
warmer planet.
The Solomon Committee report amplifies this conclusion when it confirms that we
observe, in any year, only 50 %
of the
warming to which we have committed the
planet by allowing atmospheric concentrations
of greenhouse gases to rise to the then current level.
Unlike a belief in leprechauns, there is a preponderance
of evidence that CO2
warms the
planet and that the anthropogenic contribution
of CO2 to the atmosphere is causing the
observed warming trend.
If you question whether or not our atmosphere
warms the
planet, consider what the temperature should be at the surface based on the Stefan - Boltzmann Law and
observe the temperatures
of the atmosphereless moon.
DSCOVR was designed to directly measure climate change for the first time ever by
observing our
warming planet from the unique vantage
of the Lagrange Point — one million miles towards the Sun.
Hi gurujames5, First
of all we have not
observed warming on every
planet in our solar system.
It looks likely that the rapid
warming of the Arctic has broken the thermometer temperature record in two different ways - firstly by violating the assumption that unobserved regions
of the
planet warm at a broadly similar rate to
observed regions, and secondly by violating the assumption that neighbouring regions
of the
planet's surface
warm at a similar rate.
Using
observed data for the past and the IPCC assumption that 93 %
of past
warming was anthropogenic, I have just defended the position that raising CO2 level to ~ 1,000 ppmv by burning up all the fossil fuels that exist on our
planet will not cause alarming
warming.
They are also wrong in assuming that the Sun was capable
of warming the surface
of Venus, Earth or other
planets to the
observed temperature which is then maintained by back radiation being supposedly the only process that slows such surface cooling.
I believe, largely from your presentations
of the
observed data and discussion, as well as having read thousands
of other climate change articles and discussion, that it's our
planet's oceans that are the biggest players in climate
warming and cooling, especially on short timescales.
For 46 %
of the surface
of the global oceans (about 33 %
of the surface
of the
planet), the models doubled the
observed warming rate.
Tropical cyclone activity and intensity increasing Record droughts, floods, heat waves, cold spells, high tides occurring Unequivocal
warming of the climate system
observed with very high confidence that human activities are to blame Temperature rising even more dramatically in Arctic, threatening ice loss and extinction
of species Halving human CO2 emissions immediately might save the
planet from catastrophe.
There has been no test, or observation
of CO2
warming the atmosphere, or it «holding the heat», or any other speculated property
of this gases so called greenhouse effect — not
observed on this real
planet's atmosphere.
This page presents the latest information from several independent measures
of observed climate change that illustrate an overwhelmingly compelling story
of a
planet that is undergoing global
warming.
Aubry notes that while the
planet continues to
warm, scientists have
observed a slight decline in the rate
of global
warming over the last 10 to 15 years.
It will also include scientifically refuting the apparent falsification
of the above «dangerous AGW» hypothesis, which has resulted from the
observed «lack
of warming»
of our
planet over the past decade (atmosphere, at both the surface and troposphere since 2001, sea surface temperature since ARGO measurements were installed in 2003), despite record increase in atmospheric CO2, as measured at Mauna Loa, by demonstrating with empirical data where the «missing energy» is hiding.
There is a laundry list
of possible or
observed impacts, from the return
of the megadroughts western North America experienced during the Medieval Climate Anomaly, to the continuation
of the already
observed «death spiral»
of the Arctic sea ice, with its implications for Northern hemisphere weather and increased
warming of the whole
planet.
But in defiance
of the naysayers who want to chalk the recent
warming up to natural cycles, there is insufficient evidence that enough extra solar energy is reaching our
planet to account for the
observed rise in global temperatures.
These cloud changes are,
of course, hardly without consequence — the growth
of so - called dry zones or drylands, as the
planet warms, has been long predicted and indeed,
observed by climate scientists.