Develop new knowledge and capabilities to explain
observed weather and climate extremes, variations, trends, and their impacts to inform risk management and adaptation decisions.
Not exact matches
«However, they are a reminder of how
climate uncertainty has increased
and that we'll have to get use to variations in the
weather as the
climate change proceeds,» Laaksonen
observes.
«By prescribing the effects of human - made
climate change
and observed global ocean temperatures, our model can reproduce the
observed shifts in
weather patterns
and wildfire occurrences.»
It's one of the most promising techniques in
weather forecasting in a generation,
and is already used on government - owned constellations, including the six microsatellites that were launched in the Constellation
Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere,
and Climate (COSMIC), a joint project between NOAA
and Taiwan.
The fine - resolution
climate projections vary in downscaling techniques
and in the choice of historically
observed weather datasets used to calibrate their calculations.
His research focuses on how human
and natural influences on
climate contribute to
observed climate change
and risks of extreme
weather and in quantifying their implications for long - range
climate forecasts.
Specific examples of additional impacts include a reduction in capital equipment acquisitions across the entire lab with computing alone sliding from $ 7 million to $ 3 million, the elimination of NCAR's lidar research facility as well as the extra-solar planet program, delays in computer modeling
and prediction efforts for both
weather and climate, reductions in the solar coronal
observing program, a reduction in the number of post doctoral appointments, reduction of the societal impacts program,
and widespread deferred maintenance
and delays in equipment
and instrument acquisition
and replacement.
Personally I think simple (
climate without
weather) models are important
and ultimately the way forward, but they must meet the all harsh criteria of the
observed climate simultaneously or they are simply to simple for purpose.
In the end,
climate observations have requirements that are typically ten times more accurate than
weather,
and require 10 times as many variables to be
observed.
The study, combining data from
observed storms with a variety of
climate simulations, did not extend beyond 1999
and so does not assess more recent extreme
weather events.
NPP serves as a bridge mission from NASA's Earth
Observing System (EOS) of satellites to the next - generation Joint Polar Satellite System (JPSS), a National Oceanic
and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) program that will also collect
weather and climate data.
''... avid birders across the U.S.
and Canada have contributed sustained observations of birds at the same broad geographic scale in which
weather and climate have also been
observed and understood,» says another study author, Julio Betancourt of the U.S. Geological Survey.
Recent trends, assessment of human influence on trends,
and projections of extreme
weather and climate events for which there is evidence of an
observed late 20th - century trend.
Admittedly, that was before a science qualification was required, but nonetheless I have been a
weather and climate enthusiast for over 60 years
and have
observed the differing global
weather patterns across three so called «
climate regimes».
«By prescribing the effects of man - made
climate change
and observed global ocean temperatures, our model can reproduce the
observed shifts in
weather patterns
and wildfire occurrences.»
«Our ability to explain our forecast physically
and observe the key transition points of the global
climate system two to six weeks in advance of the onset of cold
weather has proven invaluable to earning the trust of our clients.»
It consists of nine chapters, covering risk management;
observed and projected changes in extreme
weather and climate events; exposure
and vulnerability to as well as losses resulting from such events; adaptation options from the local to the international scale; the role of sustainable development in modulating risks;
and insights from specific case studies.
Citing the work of Dr. John Christy
and Richard McNider at the University of Alabama in Huntsville (UAH), which compared
climate model projections with temperatures measured independently by satellites
and weather balloons, he said «the average warming predicted to have occurred since 1979 (when the satellite data starts) is approximately three times larger than what is being
observed.»
The nine chapters deal with issues ranging from the global atmosphere
and climate to
observing, mapping
and forecasting
weather, as well as chapters on «Explaining the
weather», majoring on moist processes
and «Hazardous
weather», focusing primarily on hurricanes.
Climate computer models falsely assume that plant - fertilizing carbon dioxide drives climate change... and predict average global temperatures a full 1 degree F higher than have actually been observed by satellites and weather balloons, a gap that is widening ever
Climate computer models falsely assume that plant - fertilizing carbon dioxide drives
climate change... and predict average global temperatures a full 1 degree F higher than have actually been observed by satellites and weather balloons, a gap that is widening ever
climate change...
and predict average global temperatures a full 1 degree F higher than have actually been
observed by satellites
and weather balloons, a gap that is widening every year.
Climate computer models falsely assume that plant - fertilizing carbon dioxide drives climate change... and predict average global temperatures a full 1º F higher than have actually been observed by satellites and weather balloons, a gap that is widening ever
Climate computer models falsely assume that plant - fertilizing carbon dioxide drives
climate change... and predict average global temperatures a full 1º F higher than have actually been observed by satellites and weather balloons, a gap that is widening ever
climate change...
and predict average global temperatures a full 1º F higher than have actually been
observed by satellites
and weather balloons, a gap that is widening every year.
«The White House decision to create the Joint Polar Satellite System by restructuring NPOESS will improve the development of critical Earth -
observing instruments required for improving
weather forecasts,
climate monitoring
and warning leads for severe storms,» NOAA Administrator Jane Lubchenco said yesterday.
For NASA, NPOESS was not only a converged civilian
and military
weather observing system but also the cornerstone of the nation's future
climate research program.
Some
observed weather events will have been made more likely by human influence on
climate, some less likely,
and it is a legitimate
and very important field of scientific enquiry to work out which are which.
The model simulated each glacier from 1980 to 2100, using
observed weather conditions for the past
and a number of
climate models for the future.
The «The model simulated each glacier from 1980 to 2100, using
observed weather conditions for the past
and a number of
climate models for the future.»
You
and I
observe the
weather, not the
climate (note the dramatic difference of opinion about the reality of
climate change between climatologists
and television weathercasters).
Recent work (e.g., Hurrell 1995, 1996; Thompson
and Wallace 1998; Corti et al., 1999) has suggested that the
observed warming over the last few decades may be manifest as a change in frequency of these naturally preferred patterns (Chapters 2
and 7)
and there is now considerable interest in testing the ability of
climate models to simulate such
weather regimes (Chapter 8)
and to see whether the greenhouse gas forced runs suggest shifts in the residence time or transitions between such regimes on long time - scales.
The table that accompanies the above passage from the IPCC's report, captioned «Extreme
weather and climate events: global - scale assessment of recent
observed changes, human contribution to the changes,
and projected further changes for the early (2016 — 2035)
and late (2081 — 2100) 21 st century `'» has the following entries for «Increases in intensity
and / or duration of drought»: under changes
observed since 1950, «low confidence on a global scale, likely changes in some regions `'» [emphasis added];
and under projected changes for the late 21 st century, «likely (medium confidence) on a regional to global scale».
You
and I
observe the
weather, not the
climate.
In other words,
climate describes phenomena
observed over long time periods, such as decades
and centuries, while
weather is
observed over short time periods, such as days
and weeks.
In addition to its primary mission of
observing space
weather, the Deep Space
Climate Observatory (DSCOVR) satellite is carrying two instruments that are important to climate science: the NISTAR radiometer and the EPIC
Climate Observatory (DSCOVR) satellite is carrying two instruments that are important to
climate science: the NISTAR radiometer and the EPIC
climate science: the NISTAR radiometer
and the EPIC camera.
My problem with this rationale is that it only lists a series of
weather events but does not explain how much of the
observed events are the result of
climate change
and, therefore, could be affected by the control program they support.
Based on temperature records from 1864 to 2002, the odds of such a heatwave occurring are about 1 in 10 million.4 An event like the 2003 heatwave becomes much more likely after factoring in the
observed warming of 2 °F over Europe
and increased
weather variability.5 In addition, comparing computer models of
climate with
and without human contribution shows that human influence has roughly quadrupled the odds of a European summer as hot as or hotter than the summer of 2003.6
Evidence for changes in the
climate system abounds, from the top of the atmosphere to the depths of the oceans (Figure 2.1).1 Scientists
and engineers from around the world have compiled this evidence using satellites,
weather balloons, thermometers at surface stations,
and many other types of
observing systems that monitor the Earth's
weather and climate.
Climate changes occur over longer periods
and can be
observed as changes in the patterns of
weather events.
Relating the
observed chaotic character of the climatological series to the non-linearity of the equations ruling the
weather and thus
climate evolution,
and presenting the example of a solution of the Lorenz non-linear equations showing that non-linearity may be responsible for the instability of the generated process, it seems justified to conclude that there are severe limits to
climate predictability at all scales.
Increases in some extreme
weather and climate events have already been
observed in some parts of the world
and further increases are projected over the course of this century.
Access to long
observed daily
weather series for many parts of the world (e.g., oceans, polar regions
and some developing countries) is a problem for
climate scenario developers who wish to calibrate
and use
weather generators.
As the world wobbles The issue of increased damage from extreme
weather driven disasters as a result of
climate change is attracts the same polemic that the gallery previously
observed about
climate change
and global warming.
Current
weather and climate models (a) are already based on physical laws
and (b) satisfactorily reproduce
observed patterns
and behaviour.
Dekker (Public), 4.60, (4.15 - 5.05 standard deviation range), Statistical Arctic sea ice decline has global implications for Northern Hemisphere
weather patterns
and Arctic eco systems
and wild life alike,
and thus it is concerning that our global
climate models so far appear to underestimate the
observed rate of decline based on albedo amplification of sea ice alone.
The Mission of the
Weather and Climate Dynamics Division is to understand how global processes are intertwined to create the weather and climate we observe from the troposphere to the meso
Climate Dynamics Division is to understand how global processes are intertwined to create the
weather and climate we observe from the troposphere to the meso
climate we
observe from the troposphere to the mesosphere.
The correct timescale of
climate change studies seems closer to 100 years than 30 years
and events such as the
observed current stasis in regional
and global temperature series or any
observed increase or decrease in the prevalence of storms are merely
weather.
All
weather and climate follows, in a plethora of
observed phenomena, from that underlying process.
So, the most recent science shows 1) no
observed relationship between global warming
and winter severe
weather outbreaks
and 2) future «polar vortex» - associated cold outbreaks are projected to mollify — yet the White House prepares a special video proclaiming the opposite with the intent to spread
climate alarm.
APPLICATE brings together an international
and multidisciplinary team of experts in
weather and climate prediction in order to improve
climate and weather forecasting capacity
and to provide guidance on the design of the future
observing system in the Arctic.
Researchers told
Climate Central that the
weather pattern driving the extreme cold into the U.S. — with a weaker polar vortex moving around the Arctic like a slowing spinning top, eventually falling over
and blowing open the door to the Arctic freezer — fits with other recently
observed instances of unusual fall
and wintertime jet stream configurations.
For the «2013 as
observed» experiment, the atmospheric model uses
observed sea surface temperature data from December 2012 to November 2013 from the Operational Sea Surface Temperature
and Sea Ice Analysis (OSTIA) dataset (Stark et al. 2007; Donlon et al. 2012)
and present day atmospheric gas concentrations to simulate
weather events that are possible given the
observed climate conditions.
There is a laundry list of possible or
observed impacts, from the return of the megadroughts western North America experienced during the Medieval
Climate Anomaly, to the continuation of the already
observed «death spiral» of the Arctic sea ice, with its implications for Northern hemisphere
weather and increased warming of the whole planet.