Sentences with phrase «observed weather and climate»

Develop new knowledge and capabilities to explain observed weather and climate extremes, variations, trends, and their impacts to inform risk management and adaptation decisions.

Not exact matches

«However, they are a reminder of how climate uncertainty has increased and that we'll have to get use to variations in the weather as the climate change proceeds,» Laaksonen observes.
«By prescribing the effects of human - made climate change and observed global ocean temperatures, our model can reproduce the observed shifts in weather patterns and wildfire occurrences.»
It's one of the most promising techniques in weather forecasting in a generation, and is already used on government - owned constellations, including the six microsatellites that were launched in the Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere, and Climate (COSMIC), a joint project between NOAA and Taiwan.
The fine - resolution climate projections vary in downscaling techniques and in the choice of historically observed weather datasets used to calibrate their calculations.
His research focuses on how human and natural influences on climate contribute to observed climate change and risks of extreme weather and in quantifying their implications for long - range climate forecasts.
Specific examples of additional impacts include a reduction in capital equipment acquisitions across the entire lab with computing alone sliding from $ 7 million to $ 3 million, the elimination of NCAR's lidar research facility as well as the extra-solar planet program, delays in computer modeling and prediction efforts for both weather and climate, reductions in the solar coronal observing program, a reduction in the number of post doctoral appointments, reduction of the societal impacts program, and widespread deferred maintenance and delays in equipment and instrument acquisition and replacement.
Personally I think simple (climate without weather) models are important and ultimately the way forward, but they must meet the all harsh criteria of the observed climate simultaneously or they are simply to simple for purpose.
In the end, climate observations have requirements that are typically ten times more accurate than weather, and require 10 times as many variables to be observed.
The study, combining data from observed storms with a variety of climate simulations, did not extend beyond 1999 and so does not assess more recent extreme weather events.
NPP serves as a bridge mission from NASA's Earth Observing System (EOS) of satellites to the next - generation Joint Polar Satellite System (JPSS), a National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) program that will also collect weather and climate data.
''... avid birders across the U.S. and Canada have contributed sustained observations of birds at the same broad geographic scale in which weather and climate have also been observed and understood,» says another study author, Julio Betancourt of the U.S. Geological Survey.
Recent trends, assessment of human influence on trends, and projections of extreme weather and climate events for which there is evidence of an observed late 20th - century trend.
Admittedly, that was before a science qualification was required, but nonetheless I have been a weather and climate enthusiast for over 60 years and have observed the differing global weather patterns across three so called «climate regimes».
«By prescribing the effects of man - made climate change and observed global ocean temperatures, our model can reproduce the observed shifts in weather patterns and wildfire occurrences.»
«Our ability to explain our forecast physically and observe the key transition points of the global climate system two to six weeks in advance of the onset of cold weather has proven invaluable to earning the trust of our clients.»
It consists of nine chapters, covering risk management; observed and projected changes in extreme weather and climate events; exposure and vulnerability to as well as losses resulting from such events; adaptation options from the local to the international scale; the role of sustainable development in modulating risks; and insights from specific case studies.
Citing the work of Dr. John Christy and Richard McNider at the University of Alabama in Huntsville (UAH), which compared climate model projections with temperatures measured independently by satellites and weather balloons, he said «the average warming predicted to have occurred since 1979 (when the satellite data starts) is approximately three times larger than what is being observed
The nine chapters deal with issues ranging from the global atmosphere and climate to observing, mapping and forecasting weather, as well as chapters on «Explaining the weather», majoring on moist processes and «Hazardous weather», focusing primarily on hurricanes.
Climate computer models falsely assume that plant - fertilizing carbon dioxide drives climate change... and predict average global temperatures a full 1 degree F higher than have actually been observed by satellites and weather balloons, a gap that is widening everClimate computer models falsely assume that plant - fertilizing carbon dioxide drives climate change... and predict average global temperatures a full 1 degree F higher than have actually been observed by satellites and weather balloons, a gap that is widening everclimate change... and predict average global temperatures a full 1 degree F higher than have actually been observed by satellites and weather balloons, a gap that is widening every year.
Climate computer models falsely assume that plant - fertilizing carbon dioxide drives climate change... and predict average global temperatures a full 1º F higher than have actually been observed by satellites and weather balloons, a gap that is widening everClimate computer models falsely assume that plant - fertilizing carbon dioxide drives climate change... and predict average global temperatures a full 1º F higher than have actually been observed by satellites and weather balloons, a gap that is widening everclimate change... and predict average global temperatures a full 1º F higher than have actually been observed by satellites and weather balloons, a gap that is widening every year.
«The White House decision to create the Joint Polar Satellite System by restructuring NPOESS will improve the development of critical Earth - observing instruments required for improving weather forecasts, climate monitoring and warning leads for severe storms,» NOAA Administrator Jane Lubchenco said yesterday.
For NASA, NPOESS was not only a converged civilian and military weather observing system but also the cornerstone of the nation's future climate research program.
Some observed weather events will have been made more likely by human influence on climate, some less likely, and it is a legitimate and very important field of scientific enquiry to work out which are which.
The model simulated each glacier from 1980 to 2100, using observed weather conditions for the past and a number of climate models for the future.
The «The model simulated each glacier from 1980 to 2100, using observed weather conditions for the past and a number of climate models for the future.»
You and I observe the weather, not the climate (note the dramatic difference of opinion about the reality of climate change between climatologists and television weathercasters).
Recent work (e.g., Hurrell 1995, 1996; Thompson and Wallace 1998; Corti et al., 1999) has suggested that the observed warming over the last few decades may be manifest as a change in frequency of these naturally preferred patterns (Chapters 2 and 7) and there is now considerable interest in testing the ability of climate models to simulate such weather regimes (Chapter 8) and to see whether the greenhouse gas forced runs suggest shifts in the residence time or transitions between such regimes on long time - scales.
The table that accompanies the above passage from the IPCC's report, captioned «Extreme weather and climate events: global - scale assessment of recent observed changes, human contribution to the changes, and projected further changes for the early (2016 — 2035) and late (2081 — 2100) 21 st century `'» has the following entries for «Increases in intensity and / or duration of drought»: under changes observed since 1950, «low confidence on a global scale, likely changes in some regions `'» [emphasis added]; and under projected changes for the late 21 st century, «likely (medium confidence) on a regional to global scale».
You and I observe the weather, not the climate.
In other words, climate describes phenomena observed over long time periods, such as decades and centuries, while weather is observed over short time periods, such as days and weeks.
In addition to its primary mission of observing space weather, the Deep Space Climate Observatory (DSCOVR) satellite is carrying two instruments that are important to climate science: the NISTAR radiometer and the EPIC Climate Observatory (DSCOVR) satellite is carrying two instruments that are important to climate science: the NISTAR radiometer and the EPIC climate science: the NISTAR radiometer and the EPIC camera.
My problem with this rationale is that it only lists a series of weather events but does not explain how much of the observed events are the result of climate change and, therefore, could be affected by the control program they support.
Based on temperature records from 1864 to 2002, the odds of such a heatwave occurring are about 1 in 10 million.4 An event like the 2003 heatwave becomes much more likely after factoring in the observed warming of 2 °F over Europe and increased weather variability.5 In addition, comparing computer models of climate with and without human contribution shows that human influence has roughly quadrupled the odds of a European summer as hot as or hotter than the summer of 2003.6
Evidence for changes in the climate system abounds, from the top of the atmosphere to the depths of the oceans (Figure 2.1).1 Scientists and engineers from around the world have compiled this evidence using satellites, weather balloons, thermometers at surface stations, and many other types of observing systems that monitor the Earth's weather and climate.
Climate changes occur over longer periods and can be observed as changes in the patterns of weather events.
Relating the observed chaotic character of the climatological series to the non-linearity of the equations ruling the weather and thus climate evolution, and presenting the example of a solution of the Lorenz non-linear equations showing that non-linearity may be responsible for the instability of the generated process, it seems justified to conclude that there are severe limits to climate predictability at all scales.
Increases in some extreme weather and climate events have already been observed in some parts of the world and further increases are projected over the course of this century.
Access to long observed daily weather series for many parts of the world (e.g., oceans, polar regions and some developing countries) is a problem for climate scenario developers who wish to calibrate and use weather generators.
As the world wobbles The issue of increased damage from extreme weather driven disasters as a result of climate change is attracts the same polemic that the gallery previously observed about climate change and global warming.
Current weather and climate models (a) are already based on physical laws and (b) satisfactorily reproduce observed patterns and behaviour.
Dekker (Public), 4.60, (4.15 - 5.05 standard deviation range), Statistical Arctic sea ice decline has global implications for Northern Hemisphere weather patterns and Arctic eco systems and wild life alike, and thus it is concerning that our global climate models so far appear to underestimate the observed rate of decline based on albedo amplification of sea ice alone.
The Mission of the Weather and Climate Dynamics Division is to understand how global processes are intertwined to create the weather and climate we observe from the troposphere to the mesoClimate Dynamics Division is to understand how global processes are intertwined to create the weather and climate we observe from the troposphere to the mesoclimate we observe from the troposphere to the mesosphere.
The correct timescale of climate change studies seems closer to 100 years than 30 years and events such as the observed current stasis in regional and global temperature series or any observed increase or decrease in the prevalence of storms are merely weather.
All weather and climate follows, in a plethora of observed phenomena, from that underlying process.
So, the most recent science shows 1) no observed relationship between global warming and winter severe weather outbreaks and 2) future «polar vortex» - associated cold outbreaks are projected to mollify — yet the White House prepares a special video proclaiming the opposite with the intent to spread climate alarm.
APPLICATE brings together an international and multidisciplinary team of experts in weather and climate prediction in order to improve climate and weather forecasting capacity and to provide guidance on the design of the future observing system in the Arctic.
Researchers told Climate Central that the weather pattern driving the extreme cold into the U.S. — with a weaker polar vortex moving around the Arctic like a slowing spinning top, eventually falling over and blowing open the door to the Arctic freezer — fits with other recently observed instances of unusual fall and wintertime jet stream configurations.
For the «2013 as observed» experiment, the atmospheric model uses observed sea surface temperature data from December 2012 to November 2013 from the Operational Sea Surface Temperature and Sea Ice Analysis (OSTIA) dataset (Stark et al. 2007; Donlon et al. 2012) and present day atmospheric gas concentrations to simulate weather events that are possible given the observed climate conditions.
There is a laundry list of possible or observed impacts, from the return of the megadroughts western North America experienced during the Medieval Climate Anomaly, to the continuation of the already observed «death spiral» of the Arctic sea ice, with its implications for Northern hemisphere weather and increased warming of the whole planet.
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