As I mentioned in my last post,
observing larger trends in e-publishing is a critical component to this success.
Not exact matches
It is perhaps small comfort to
observe that the Netherlands was part of a much
larger trend that saw secularization sweep away the remaining vestiges of belief throughout western Europe and the Canadian province of Québec.
These models were then used to assess
observed changes in nest counts and to project future nesting
trends in the Northwest Atlantic loggerhead sea turtle population, the
largest in the world.
If the negative aerosol forcing were very
large, then the cumalative forcing might only be a few tenths of a Watts per square meter, and it would require a rather high sensitivity to explain the
observed trend.
So, to uphold this keenly -
observed trend, Skoda has released a new black - themed styling pack for its Superb 206TSI
large car, available in sedan or wagon form.
Although broadly the same declining
trend in ΔF was
observed in numerically small and
large breeds (Fig. 6 and 7 respectively), the extent of the change was greater in the VNBs.
In the end, I would hypothesize that the result of the freeing of data and code will necessarily lead to a more robust understanding of scientific uncertainties, which may have the perverse effect of making the future less clear, i.e., because it will result in
larger error bars around
observed temperature
trends which will carry through into the projections.
For the 20th C, the increase in GHGs gave faster - than - linear forcing, and so a
larger trend is expected for the last 50 years, as for the first 50 years (as is
observed).
[Response: You're missing the argument about the importance of nonlinear
trends, particular wrt the
large increase in warming since 1980, in driving the pattern of expected and
observed extremes, as discussed on pages 3 - 4 of the article.
Persistent rising
trends require that we have some reservoir that can release the required CO2 and that can do it at a speed that is
large enough to be be significant compared to the
observed increase.
Long - term
trends in precipitation amounts from 1900 to 2005 have been
observed in many
large regions (Figure TS.9).
Generally, the remaining uncorrected effect from urban heat islands is now believed to be less than 0.1 C, and in some parts of the world it may be more than fully compensated for by other changes in measurement methods.4 Nevertheless, this remains an important source of uncertainty.The warming
trend observed over the past century is too
large to be easily dismissed as a consequence of measurement errors.
The differences between the NOAA and Met Office global - mean time series are so
large they call into question our fundamental understanding of
observed temperature
trends in the middle and upper stratosphere.
For the entire Northern Hemisphere, there is evidence of an increase in both storm frequency and intensity during the cold season since 1950,1 with storm tracks having shifted slightly towards the poles.2, 3 Extremely heavy snowstorms increased in number during the last century in northern and eastern parts of the United States, but have been less frequent since 2000.11,15 Total seasonal snowfall has generally decreased in southern and some western areas, 16 increased in the northern Great Plains and Great Lakes region, 16,17 and not changed in other areas, such as the Sierra Nevada, although snow is melting earlier in the year and more precipitation is falling as rain versus snow.18 Very snowy winters have generally been decreasing in frequency in most regions over the last 10 to 20 years, although the Northeast has been seeing a normal number of such winters.19 Heavier - than - normal snowfalls recently
observed in the Midwest and Northeast U.S. in some years, with little snow in other years, are consistent with indications of increased blocking (a
large scale pressure pattern with little or no movement) of the wintertime circulation of the Northern Hemisphere.5 However, conclusions about
trends in blocking have been found to depend on the method of analysis, 6 so the assessment and attribution of
trends in blocking remains an active research area.
Such
trends are at least as
large as any of the
observed trends over the United States (Karl, 1988) or the globe (Jones and Wigley, 1987).»
One of the problems with the EPA's Endangerment TSD is the nearly complete disregard of
observed trends in a wide array of measures which by and
large show that despite decades of increasing anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions the U.S. population does not seem to have been adversely affected by any vulnerabilities, risks, and impacts that may have arisen (to the extent that any at all have actually occurred as the result of any human - induced climate changes).
Although the magnitude of such
trends is unexpectedly
large, it is insufficient to explain the
observed global warming during the twentieth century.»
You shouldn't ignore this quote: «Over the interval 1979 to 2009, model - projected temperature
trends are two to four times
larger than
observed trends in both the lower and mid-troposphere and the differences are statistically significant at the 99 % level.»
1) Connection to global warming The model simulates an increase in Northern England precipitation in winter, but the
trend is not as
large as the
observed one.
The secondary effects of all of the above are very likely to bring on the biggest Earth quakes and
largest volcanic eruptions
observed for 200 years, the
trends of these events have been rising since the early 1990s.
The model simulates an increase in Northern England precipitation in winter, but the
trend is not as
large as the
observed one.
Compelling arguments both for and against significant increases in the land area affected by drought and / or dryness since the mid — 20th century have resulted in a low confidence assessment of
observed and attributable
large - scale
trends.
While this consistency is encouraging, it should be qualified by noting that: 1) The multi-model average TLT
trend is always
larger than the average
observed TLT
trend; 2) As the
trend fitting period increases, values of pf decline, indicating that average
observed trends are increasingly more unusual with respect to the multi-model distribution of forced
trends.
Hi guys, interesting article, but raises one new question to me: These analyses show that
observed surface temperature
trend is
larger than
observed.
While the
observed circulation
trends project most strongly onto the third Z850 PC, the second Z850 PC is congruent with
larger circulation
trends in the western Amundsen and eastern Ross Sea (Fig. 6e).
These changes can locally accelerate, reduce, or even reverse the global - mean
trend, especially if the
trend is not too much
larger than that
observed recently.
I have already provided examples of
observed real world shifts in global temperature
trend going back to 1960 that match very well with shifts in the balance between solar variation and the net global effect of all the separate oceanic oscillations (especially the Pacific Decadal Oscillation which is by far the
largest).
The range of possible sea levels obtained by combining all individual estimates in various combinations (total 144 combinations) suggested that the
observed sea levels lie at the very edge of the range and a residual
trend is needed to make up for the discrepancy, selecting the
largest or smallest estimates for individual contributors.
«for the range of TLT
trends considered here, there is no
trend length at which the multi-model average
trend, bf, is more than 1.73 times
larger than bo, the average
observed TLT
trend»
My issue is, there are uncertanties in the data - temperature for instance (error limits, splicing etc etc) and although not a direct counter to the theory, the statistical error limit is
larger than the
trend we're trying to
observe (particularly for the proxy data).
There are no
trends in temperatures over this period and the inherent uncertainty in the data is
largest at this time due to a sparser
observing network.
«
Observed DTR over land shows a
large negative
trend of ~ 0.4 °C over the last 50 years that is very unlikely to have occurred due to internal variability.
It is suggested that the
large trend in IWV does not represent a genuine climate
trend but an artefact caused by changes in the global
observing system such as the use of SSM / I and more satellite soundings in later years.
which we define as the average DTR for Saturday through Monday minus the average DTR for Wednesday through Friday, can be as
large as 0.5 K, similar to the magnitude of
observed long - term
trends in DTR.
As I
observed in 2005, the bucket adjustments are as
large as the
trend being measured.
While there are areas, such as the extra-tropical Pacific and North Atlantic Ocean, where the GFDL model warms significantly more than has been
observed, the anthropogenic climate change simulations do provide a plausible explanation of temperature
trends over the last century over
large areas of the globe.
Looking at the
trends within markets (specifically the top 500
largest counties), the
trend holds and we
observe a consistent supply and demand imbalance across home sizes (see figure 4).