Recommendation: Where practical, formal expert elicitation procedures should be used to
obtain subjective probabilities for key results.
The International Council of Scientific Academies (InterAcademy Council, IAC) in its review of IPCC procedures recommended in 2010: «Where practical, formal expert elicitation procedures should be used to
obtain subjective probabilities for key results».
Not exact matches
It is probably better to realize that the
probability concept is in a sense
subjective, that it is always based on uncertain knowledge, and that its quantitative evaluation is subject to change as we
obtain more information.