Gavin Schmidt writes, «He (Crichton) also gives us his estimate, ~ 0.8 C for the global warming that will
occur over the next century and claims that, since models differ by 400 % in their estimates, his guess is as good as theirs.
«That's a larger change in global temperature than what's likely to
occur over the next century, but it happened over 18 million years,» Diffenbaugh said.
Not exact matches
A doubling of the concentration of carbon dioxide
over its pre-industrial level may
occur by the middle of the
next century.
This story raises questions about the changes that have
occurred in society
over the past
century and the direction that life will take in the
next that will provide fodder for classroom discussion.
For those curious about the pronounced dips in the future scenarios here they are responses to Pinatubo - scale volcanic eruptions that are assumed to
occur at a reasonable frequency
over the course of the
next century.
One reason for this is that many impacts of climate change are expected to be proportional to the amount of global average warming that
occurs over the
next several decades to
centuries.
Consequently, the
next time a serious drought takes hold of some part of the world and the likes of Al Gore blame it on the «carbon footprints» of you and your family, ask them why just the opposite of what their hypothesis suggests actually
occurred over the course of the 20th
century, i.e., why, when the earth warmed - and at a rate and to a degree that they claim was unprecedented overthousands of years - the rate - of - occurrence of severe regional droughts actually declined.»
Here, we argue that the twentieth and twenty - first
centuries, a period during which the overwhelming majority of human - caused carbon emissions are likely to
occur, need to be placed into a long - term context that includes the past 20 millennia, when the last Ice Age ended and human civilization developed, and the
next ten millennia,
over which time the projected impacts of anthropogenic climate change will grow and persist.
Argues that the twentieth and twenty - first
centuries, a period during which the overwhelming majority of human - caused carbon emissions are likely to
occur, need to be placed into a long - term context that includes the past 20 millennia, when the last Ice Age ended and human civilization developed, and the
next ten millennia,
over which time the projected impacts of anthropogenic climate change will grow and persist