And this didn't occur overnight,
this occurred over a period of decades.
Low maximum sea ice extent also
occurred over periods of some decades (e.g., mid-seventeenth and mid-eighteenth centuries, early fifteenth and late thirteenth centuries), with absolute values in some cases as low as the twentieth century ones, but these periods were in no case as persistent as in the twentieth century. . .
This is a current limitation of the models when confronted with, as yet unexplained, real world climate variations
occurring over periods of decades to millennia.
Not exact matches
In addition, most
of the rise from 1900 to 2010
occurred in the middle
of the
period, in just
over one
decade, and has been level the last 50 years.
Much
of this change has
occurred over the last several
decades indicating that the warming trend accelerated
over the 1925 — 2016
period.
Reconstructions
of California climate suggest that meteorological droughts lasting multiple
decades are not uncommon
over the past 1000 years, while there is evidence that dry
periods of even longer duration
occurred in California's deeper geological past.
We don't compare the temperature change that
occurred over the course
of 1 year to the change that
occurred over a 35 - year
period and claim that because the 1 - year
period changed by, say, 0.5 °C (like 2015 to 2016 did), that therefore we are warming at a rate o 5.0 °C per
decade and this is 30 times faster than the 1979 - 2014 rate (0.12 °C per
decade).
A certain amount
of continued warming
of the planet is projected to
occur as a result
of human - induced emissions to date; another 0.5 °F increase would be expected
over the next few
decades even if all emissions from human activities suddenly stopped, 11 although natural variability could still play an important role
over this time
period.12 However, choices made now and in the next few
decades will determine the amount
of additional future warming.
This time
period is too short to signify a change in the warming trend, as climate trends are measured
over periods of decades, not years.12, 29,30,31,32 Such
decade - long slowdowns or even reversals in trend have
occurred before in the global instrumental record (for example, 1900 - 1910 and 1940 - 1950; see Figure 2.2), including three
decade - long
periods since 1970, each followed by a sharp temperature rise.33 Nonetheless, satellite and ocean observations indicate that the Earth - atmosphere climate system has continued to gain heat energy.34
However, the Prudent Path authors fail to reference a recent paper (Kaufmann et al. 2009) which analyzed Arctic temperature changes
over a 2000 year
period (0 to 1999 AD) and concluded that «the most recent 10 - year interval (1999 - 2008) was the warmest
of the past 200
decades» and that «4/5
of the warmest
decades occurred during the last century».
Several analyses
of ring width and ring density chronologies, with otherwise well - established sensitivity to temperature, have shown that they do not emulate the general warming trend evident in instrumental temperature records
over recent
decades, although they do track the warming that
occurred during the early part
of the 20th century and they continue to maintain a good correlation with observed temperatures
over the full instrumental
period at the interannual time scale (Briffa et al., 2004; D'Arrigo, 2006).
abrupt climate change
occurring «
over periods as short as
decades or years,» which could be brought on by positive feedbacks triggered by such events as ice sheet collapse on a large scale, the collapse
of part
of the Gulf Stream, dieback
of the Amazon forest, or coral reef die - off.
In essence, climate variability looks at changes that
occur within smaller timeframes, such as a month, a season or a year, and climate change considers changes that
occur over a longer
period of time, typically
over decades or longer.